PPP-AZ & ME: Kelly +5, Gideon +4
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  PPP-AZ & ME: Kelly +5, Gideon +4
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Author Topic: PPP-AZ & ME: Kelly +5, Gideon +4  (Read 1943 times)
Gass3268
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« on: March 05, 2020, 08:26:05 AM »

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2020, 08:26:22 AM »

Hot damn!

Collins at a 33/57% disapproval rating.
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Rose-Colored Boy
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« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2020, 08:29:24 AM »

I DON'T WORSHIP A CONCEPT

I FOLLOW A QUEEN


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andjey
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« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2020, 08:49:17 AM »

Congratulations to Senator-elect Mark Kelly (D-AZ) and Senator-elect Sarah Gideon (D-ME)
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pppolitics
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« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2020, 09:00:17 AM »

Please make separate thread for each poll.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2020, 09:11:53 AM »

In the last poll Dem, Senate candidates are leading in CO, AZ, ME and NC.


If Collins falls, New England Senators would be 100% in the Dem fold for the first time in history (12/12 Senate seats).

Just 10 years ago the GOP held 5 of 12 Senate seats,
and 20 years ago 7 of 12, a majority! (counting Liebermann as GOP)



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libertpaulian
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« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2020, 09:25:08 AM »

Susan Collins must be concerned, disappointed, maybe even TROUBLED!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #7 on: March 05, 2020, 10:12:40 AM »
« Edited: March 05, 2020, 12:57:28 PM by PA is Lean D »

Crucial: Gideon is crushing Collins with Clinton voters 81-10%, a year ago, she was ahead 59-28%.

Collins will probably still outperform Trump, but not by a lot.

Edit: Combing through this poll a little more, Collins is less popular than Trump...
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OneJ
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« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2020, 10:18:59 AM »

Wonderful polls!
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2020, 10:32:58 AM »

If a Democrat wins, they are probably taking the senate. If Republicans pick up seats, Trump is probably winning in a landslide.
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indietraveler
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« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2020, 11:07:34 AM »

Wow surprised at Collin's low approval rating. I've sort of been in the camp that didn't really believe she was as vulnerable as democrats want her to be. Looking forward to more polls.

Seems like democrats are on their way to flipping the senate but getting over that last hump to the majority is going to feel uphill.
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Vern
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« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2020, 11:12:45 AM »

One poll with lead in winter
Atlas: she done
Real world: letís see polls in October
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Gracile
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« Reply #12 on: March 05, 2020, 11:38:15 AM »

One poll with lead in winter
Atlas: she done
Real world: letís see polls in October

This is true (and it would be nice to see results from pollsters other than PPP), but the trendline looks pretty worrisome for Collins given her sinking approval numbers. At the very least, itís clear sheís not going to have a big victory.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2020, 12:41:58 PM »

If this holds up, it's completely unsurprising for Collins. If all Clinton voters are coalescing against her this time, she has no path
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Nyvin
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« Reply #14 on: March 05, 2020, 01:02:31 PM »

Amazing how quickly Collins has gone downhill in approval.
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YE
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« Reply #15 on: March 05, 2020, 01:29:49 PM »

Might be the best news Iíve heard all week.
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Xing
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« Reply #16 on: March 05, 2020, 01:43:45 PM »

Very encouraging, though early. Collins is definitely losing a lot of her crossover support, though the question is whether it will be enough. Kelly looks increasingly favored over McSally.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #17 on: March 05, 2020, 01:51:56 PM »

I know some people will dismiss this because Collins is #invincible, burn itís really not that surprising a result when you consider how effective Democrats have been in nationalizing Maine and turning Collins into a national laughingstock
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: March 05, 2020, 03:51:04 PM »

Collins trailing in a poll that has Trump approval at -14 (42/56), Trump losing ME by 10, and Collins approval at -24 (33/57, including 27% disapproval among Republicans) isnít exactly surprising.

Sheís vulnerable, but a poll from a Maine-based polling firm would be nice.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #19 on: March 05, 2020, 04:00:22 PM »

Collins trailing in a poll that has Trump approval at -14 (42/56), Trump losing ME by 10, and Collins approval at -24 (33/57, including 27% disapproval among Republicans) isnít exactly surprising.

Sheís vulnerable, but a poll from a Maine-based polling firm would be nice.

There was the Colby College poll just a few weeks ago before the acquittal vote effect had fully marinated in.

I agree that itís premature to call Collins DOA, but I think itís clearly a tossup at least. Democrats have nationalized the hell out of this race over the past six months
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #20 on: March 05, 2020, 04:02:40 PM »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2ABifAVYoA
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Horsemask
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« Reply #21 on: March 05, 2020, 06:00:34 PM »

As a long time Mainer, I can imagine that Collins is disappointed or perhaps even troubled by this.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #22 on: March 05, 2020, 06:31:16 PM »

This is now the second poll that I have seen showing Collins trailing Gideon. And this is only the latest in a series of polls which have shown Kelly in the lead over McSally. Both races are tossups, but Arizona is clearly on the "lean Democratic" end of the tossup category at this point. And as I've said before, a Collins victory will be a close one.
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Yoda
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« Reply #23 on: March 06, 2020, 02:12:24 AM »

Crucial: Gideon is crushing Collins with Clinton voters 81-10%, a year ago, she was ahead 59-28%.

Collins will probably still outperform Trump, but not by a lot.

Edit: Combing through this poll a little more, Collins is less popular than Trump...

Maine is probably a state where Clinton could be a big help if she campaigned for the Dem candidate. Come to think of it, probably the only state where she would help the Dem candidate besides Colorado, but Gardner is already a dead man walking.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: March 06, 2020, 02:53:35 AM »

Running with Biden increases Dems chances of taking Senate
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