CA-AtlasIntel: Sanders 34, Biden 26, Warren/Bloomberg 15
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  CA-AtlasIntel: Sanders 34, Biden 26, Warren/Bloomberg 15
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Author Topic: CA-AtlasIntel: Sanders 34, Biden 26, Warren/Bloomberg 15  (Read 909 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« on: March 02, 2020, 05:59:04 PM »

Sanders - 34%
Biden - 26%
Warren - 15%
Bloomberg - 15%
Buttigieg - 3%
Klobuchar - 1%
Gabbard - 1%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200302_CA.pdf
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2020, 06:03:51 PM »

2/24 - 3/2. Seems like a big Biden number for that time frame.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2020, 06:14:27 PM »

Disaster poll for Sanders.  He only gets about a 30 delegate lead over Biden from this.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: March 02, 2020, 06:21:33 PM »

Disaster poll for Sanders.  He only gets about a 30 delegate lead over Biden from this.

The early vote was cast before Biden's surge, let's wait 24 hours, Biden was supposed to have been nominated by now, he flopped in early states
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: March 02, 2020, 06:22:19 PM »

Disaster poll for Sanders.  He only gets about a 30 delegate lead over Biden from this.

The early vote was cast before Biden's surge, let's wait 24 hours, Biden was supposed to have been nominated by now, he flopped in early states

In before "Perfect voters are still holding onto their ballots" argument
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DrScholl
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« Reply #5 on: March 02, 2020, 06:28:04 PM »

Even with the early vote skewing towards Sanders it's not likely that it is loaded enough to get Sanders all 415 delegates like a lot of people thought last week. Sanders supporters more likely than not sent in their ballots early and there is less election day vote for Sanders out there than there is for Biden. It would be very surprising if Sanders got all the delegates tomorrow.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: March 02, 2020, 06:30:18 PM »

20% Latino? Press X to doubt.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #7 on: March 02, 2020, 06:44:18 PM »

That was the general sample. The dem subsample is probably a bit better , and any discrepancy is largely compensated for by the young breakdown of the poll
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #8 on: March 02, 2020, 07:24:00 PM »

There is enough of these polls out now that at least confirms that Sanders won't be winning all of the delegates. I still think he'll win it by more than 10 percent
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« Reply #9 on: March 02, 2020, 07:46:46 PM »

Unrated by 538
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: March 02, 2020, 08:10:24 PM »

They did well in New Hampshire and Nevada but flopped in South Carolina. They have basically no track record to look at outside of those races that I know of.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: March 02, 2020, 08:20:09 PM »


I've seen more callbacks to LA Noire on this forum than anywhere else online.

And it's only this specific reference and it's only by you Tongue
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