Brazil Municipal Elections (November 15th, November 29th, 2020) (user search)
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  Brazil Municipal Elections (November 15th, November 29th, 2020) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Brazil Municipal Elections (November 15th, November 29th, 2020)  (Read 17198 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,168
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: November 21, 2020, 10:25:18 PM »

Sorry if I'm out of the loop, but what exactly happened to PT? iirc they did pretty bad in 2016, so I was expecting them to pick up a bit this time. You'd think that with how unpopular Bolsonaro is, and with Lula coming back to the scene, they'd be able to start rebuilding. Is there a reason why that failed?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,168
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2020, 04:08:13 AM »

Thanks for the detailed explanation.

Personally, I feel like leaders of Lula's caliber are so hard to come by that, if one of them showed up in France or Italy, I would be quite wary of abandoning them in favor of the hot new thing. But I guess I understand why other people might feel differently.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,168
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2020, 08:58:18 PM »

Since 2014, the polls on the eve of the election day underestimate the right. This problem happened in 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020.

Didn't Bolsonaro underperform his polls in the runoff?
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