How many states do Biden/Sanders/Bloomberg win on Super Tuesday?

[Blue3]

How many states does Biden win on Super Tuesday?

[Blue3]

How many states does Sanders win on Super Tuesday?

[Blue3]

How many states does Bloomberg win on Super Tuesday?

[ShamDam]

Lmao 0 but that’s not an option

[ShamDam]

Safe Bernie:
VT, CA, CO, UT

Likely Bernie:
MA, ME

Lean Bernie:
American Samoa (lol)

Toss-Up:
TX, VA

Lean Klobuchar:
MN

Lean Biden:
OK, AR

Likely Biden:
NC, TN

Safe Biden:
AL

I’ll say Bernie pulls off Texas and gets 7. Biden gets 6, Klob gets 1. Bloomberg and Warren go home empty-handed.

[Politics Fan]

0. At most I would think he would win 1. Anyway I think a better question how many contests does Bloomberg hit statewide viability in.

[Politics Fan]

8. CA CO ME MA MN OK UT VT

[krb08]

Safe Sanders: CA, UT, CO, VT

Likely Sanders: ME

Lean Sanders: MA

Tossup: MN, TX, AS

Lean Biden: VA, OK

Likely Biden: AR, NC

Safe Biden: TN, AL

At this point I wouldn't be surprised if Biden wins Texas, Klobuchar wins Minnesota and Warren wins Massachusetts, leaving Sanders with only 5 wins. But he could definitely potentially win up to 8 states on a good night. The last 48 hours have been great for Biden in every way, there's no other way to spin it. I really think there's movement towards him that won't be seen until Tuesday night.

[brucejoel99]

I'll be the first person to cast my vote for 7-9 (I say 7).

Tilt: TX

Lean: VA, NC, OK

Likely: AR, TN

Safe: AL

[brucejoel99]

Optimistically, 1. Realistically, 0. He has an outside chance of winning OK, but he's much more likely to wake up on Wednesday morning having not won any states.

[Politics Fan]

6. AL AR NC VA TN TX though I think he’ll win AS as well.

[brucejoel99]

8.

Tilt: MN (Amy either drops out tomorrow or loses it in an upset), MA

Lean: AS (Tulsi win?)

Likely: ME, UT, CA

Safe: CO, VT

[YE]

Merging this into one topic. Let me fix the poll.

[YE]

Also why is TX a tossup given Bernie's strength with Hispanics and the polls there recently?

I think Klobuchar wins MN. VA and NC are lean Biden after today but not impossible Bernie wins either. OK is a wildcard.

I don't think the rest can really be disputed at this point.

[iceman]

BIDEN: OK, AR, TX, NC, VA, AL, TN

SANDERS: CA, UT, CO, VT, ME, MA

KLOBUCHAR: MN

THE REST: 0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bernie VA, CA, TX, UT, MA
Rest goes to Biden

[😥]

Joe Biden: 7 states (AL, AR, NC, OK, TN, TX, VA)
Bernie Sanders: 6 states (CA, CO, ME, MA, UT, VT)
Amy Klobuchar: 1 state (MN)

Others will not win any state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Remember Bloomberg is on ballot and eat away at Biden's support in Cal, VA and TX

[SN2903]

Biden (7): AL, AR, TN, OK, TX (by less than 1%), VA, NC

Sanders (6): CA, VT, MA, UT, CO, ME

Klobuchar (1): MN

Bloomberg (0)

[T'Chenka]

Bloomberg won't win anything.

[Podgy the Bear]

Bloomberg won't win anything tomorrow, and he's out after that.

[mgop]

Bernie
7
North & West (CA, CO, MA, ME, MN, UT, VT)

Biden
7
South (AL, AR, NC, OK, TN, TX, VA)

Bloomberg, Warren, Klobuchar and Gabbard 0.

[SWE]

Bernie wins California, Colorado, Mass, Maine, Minnestota, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Texas, and North Carolina, the rest go Biden

[Cassandra]

I think Bloomberg could sneak a victory somewhere like Arkansas or Oklahoma. I also think it's too early to give MN, NC, and VA to any candidate; these feel like toss-ups. Otherwise, I agree with the consensus. Biden should certainly be taking AL and TN while Bernie cleans up outside the south. The interesting question to me is the margin CA. It's looking less and less likely that Bernie can keep the competition under 15%; the margin in CA will tell us a lot about whether this race is going to the convention.

[Mr. Morden]

It occurs to me that Bloomberg (or less likely, Warren) could end up in 3rd place in the national popular vote by the end of primary season, but with zero state victories.  Usually, if a candidate is in 3rd place with zero state victories, they dropped out before Super Tuesday (like Edwards in '08 or O'Malley in '16).  Not sure I can think of any recent analogous cases where third place was a player on Super Tuesday but won nothing.