Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Just wait to you see USA Today’s general election polls....

A lot of red showing up now. As the general election nears, this will tighten in favor of Trump. Happy Days!

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/general_election/

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

RCP: “Trump Approval Hits 3 Month High” in their aggregator.

Meaning, Trump is right back to pre-Impeachment polling.

Let me enjoy this moment: HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

RCP: “Trump Job Approval Hits 2-Year High”, with their average at 45.3%

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

RCP: “Trump Job Approval Hits 2-Year High”, with their average at 45.3%

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

I couldn't agree more. Having the best approval rating in two years from a friendly posllster of only 45% is quite laughable.

"HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA" indeed.

Worked for Obama.

Was just reading this from Nov 2011

https://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/06/magazine/nate-silver-handicaps-2012-election.html

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

As the Dems go low, Trump’s approvals go high!

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

He’s been hitting some really strong numbers recently - many upper 40s over the last couple weeks.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Voter enthusiasm swings towards the GOP: https://apnews.com/4daf1b154eeff75b97b886e2fe8c1d29

Basically, Trump will equal or better his electoral landslide of 2016.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

It’s been well studied that most voters have their minds made up in a general election year going into July. You’re running out of time, Dems...

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

lol

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

lol

He’s still losing in h2h polling so keep being arrogant 👍

Those don't matter this far out whatsoever.

And lol Emerson poll

Polls will continue to tighten and improve for Trump as the general election continues to approach.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Gallup lol

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Lol

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

47.0/49.5 on the RCP Avg

Lol

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Taken March 17-25, so basically a very long time in the current matter, but still interesting nonetheless:

MICHIGAN
Trump job approval: 46/50 (-4)
Trump corona approval: 51/43 (+8)
Gov. Whitmer corona approval: 69/22 (+47)

PENNSYLVANIA
Trump job approval: 49/48 (+1)
Trump corona approval: 52/43 (+9)
Gov. Wolf corona approval: 69/22 (+47)

WISCONSIN
Trump job approval: 48/49 (-1)
Trump corona approval: 53/42 (+11)
Gov. Evers corona approval: 67/21 (+46)

OHIO
Trump job approval: 51/46 (+5)
Trump corona approval: 58/36 (+22)
Gov. DeWine corona approval: 80/15 (+65)

https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/03-2020_great_lakes_poll_ii%20final.pdf

This is exactly what I was talking about when I described Trump as being anti-Teflon.  The sort of things that would result in a surge in approval for anyone else barely register for Trump.  

Virtually every other state leader and every other world leader are seeing approval ratings of 60-70% right now.  The only exception is Trump.  

All of these approval numbers are going to fade when the crisis is over but the economy still struggles, and this could put Trump at absolutely historic lows.

Same was true about Obama. One small bump for the bin laden kill and that was basically it.

In fact:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_vs_president_obama_job_approval.html

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Taken March 17-25, so basically a very long time in the current matter, but still interesting nonetheless:

MICHIGAN
Trump job approval: 46/50 (-4)
Trump corona approval: 51/43 (+8)
Gov. Whitmer corona approval: 69/22 (+47)

PENNSYLVANIA
Trump job approval: 49/48 (+1)
Trump corona approval: 52/43 (+9)
Gov. Wolf corona approval: 69/22 (+47)

WISCONSIN
Trump job approval: 48/49 (-1)
Trump corona approval: 53/42 (+11)
Gov. Evers corona approval: 67/21 (+46)

OHIO
Trump job approval: 51/46 (+5)
Trump corona approval: 58/36 (+22)
Gov. DeWine corona approval: 80/15 (+65)

https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/03-2020_great_lakes_poll_ii%20final.pdf

This is exactly what I was talking about when I described Trump as being anti-Teflon.  The sort of things that would result in a surge in approval for anyone else barely register for Trump.  

Virtually every other state leader and every other world leader are seeing approval ratings of 60-70% right now.  The only exception is Trump.  

All of these approval numbers are going to fade when the crisis is over but the economy still struggles, and this could put Trump at absolutely historic lows.

Same was true about Obama. One small bump for the bin laden kill and that was basically it.

In fact:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_vs_president_obama_job_approval.html

That graph shows Obama getting a 7-point approval bump from the killing of bin Laden (45.5-->52.5 in early May 2011).  Trump is showing a 3-point bump.  Seems like a big difference to me. 

More importantly, other leaders are seeing a 20-30 point bump across the board.  A recent Italian poll showed PN Conte up 27 points in the last month, from 44% to 71%, despite their crisis being even more dire than ours at that point.

Don’t really care the size as so much that it continues his momentum in securing a second term....

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

The inevitable Phase 4 with an additional direct deposit check will surely keep his approvals strong. Trickle down corruption.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Trump has expended his ceiling. Lovely stuff.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Biden has just accused or sexually assaulting women again and the Hunter Biden report is due out in Aug, by Congressional Rs and Rob Johnson. Chris Matthew's,  whom was biased towards Biden and the secular press has given Biden a free pass during primaries. The polls are gonna get tighter as they always have and Trump may indeed take a small lead by the his convention

269-269 tie and way back to White House is thru the R delegation in the House

Durham report lurking too....

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

For an impeached president, who was hounded by an aggressive and open ended 3 year Russian collusion hoax, now dealing with the biggest economic crisis in generations and yet he remains competitive, if not still the electoral college favorite.

If Trump hasn’t been rocked down to 20% approval by now, then nothing will. He will win re-election similar to GWB.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Incorrect, Trump wins ONE of PA, WI, or MI and he’ll win re-election. I think he has good odds of keeping one of those. That’s the election.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Incorrect, Trump wins ONE of PA, WI, or MI and he’ll win re-election. I think he has good odds of keeping one of those. That’s the election.

He is losing WI 43 to 40 and losing PA and MI by 4 pts

Polls are snap shots of the past. They aren’t predictive. Coronavirus is starting to recede, his numbers will swing the other way in the coming weeks.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Betting Odds are firmly Trump.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Betting Odds are firmly Trump.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/

Egh, betting odds aren't a great metric. 

And besides, Trump +6 is pretty poor for an incumbent during a time when the country should be uniting behind its leader. 

For an impeached Russian agent who is both dumb and a criminal genius, and is also simultaneously in dementia, I would say those are very good betting odds for all of that.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Who cares, MI/PA/WI are gonna flip back to Dems, regardless what happens, Biden have substantial leads in them

Why do you continue to change your predictions on a whim? Why not formulate a belief and stick with it....? Just wondering.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

The Bleach mishap and bloated press briefings are now being reflected in the polls. Remember, the polls lag by a week or two. Tara Reade story is now entering the news cycle. More twists yet to come.