Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/u9tu99dui5/econTabReport.pdf
The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Nov. 17-19, 1500 adults including 1224 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 51 (+1)

Strongly approve 23 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+1)

Generic D 49 (nc), Trump 40 (-1)

Impeach? Yes 45 (nc), No 40 (+1)

Remove? Yes 47 (+2), No 39 (nc)


RV:

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 28 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Generic D 49 (nc), Trump 40 (-1)

Impeach? Yes 48 (-1), No 42 (-1)

Remove? Yes 49 (nc), No 42 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 46 (-3), R 39 (-1)

[pbrower2a]

St. Anselm's College, New Hampshire:

Trump approval 45%, disapproval 53%. No change on the map.

https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/1119%20Topline%20Summary.pdf

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Tracker (weekly), Nov. 18-19, 1116 adults including 960 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (-3)

Strongly approve 21 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 42 (-2)

Impeach Trump?  Yes 46 (+1), No 41 (-1)


RV:

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 56 (-2)

Strongly approve 22 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 44 (nc)

Impeach Trump?  Yes 48 (+2), No 42 (-1)

[pbrower2a]

Maybe some people think -- as if such is the operative word -- that House Democrats are subjecting their beloved President to a witch hunt.

 

[GeorgiaModerate]

ARG economic survey (monthly), Nov. 17-20, 1100 adults including 992 RV

Adults:

Approve 37 (nc)
Disapprove 60 (+1)

RV:

Approve 36
Disapprove 61

[Cinemark]

Emerson:

RV:
Approve - 48%(+5)
Dissaprove - 47%(-1)

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/november-national-poll-support-for-impeachment-declines-biden-and-sanders-lead-democratic-primary

Emerson has been one of Trump's best pollsters this years.

I personally think its because they use 65% robo landline polls myself.

Edit: And for the love of all that is holy, stop using Amazon Turk.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/11/15/nyregion/amazon-mechanical-turk.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur&mtrref=t.co&gwh=69D80EA020147C9059B6171DF2C88B3C&gwt=pay&assetType=REGIWALL

[GeorgiaModerate]

Morning Consult/Politico, Nov. 15-17, 1994 RV (1-week change)

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (-1)

Strongly approve 24 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 45 (+1)

[Bandit3 the Worker]

People won't use Targoz polls but they use Emerson?

[GeorgiaModerate]

It's amusing that averaging the two extreme polls released today (Emerson's 48/47 and ARG's 36/61), the result is 42/54 -- which is very close to the 538 average.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump has recovered, he is no where near where he was in he Summer time. Trump has recovered to some degree. Emerson does phone polls, others do on line polls. We saw the same thing in 2004, Dubya came back and recover.

Trump will probably end up close to 50%

[Storr]

Trump has recovered, he is no where near where he was in he Summer time. Trump has recovered to some degree. Emerson does phone polls, others do on line polls. We saw the same thing in 2004, Dubya came back and recover.

Trump will probably end up close to 50%

Based on what, an Emerson poll?

[emailking]

Trump will probably end up close to 50%

That would be a first.

[Earthling]

Trump has recovered, he is no where near where he was in he Summer time. Trump has recovered to some degree. Emerson does phone polls, others do on line polls. We saw the same thing in 2004, Dubya came back and recover.

Trump will probably end up close to 50%

 

Based on one poll? 

And he has not been close to 50% his entire presidency. Why would that change?

[Person Man]

Trump has recovered, he is no where near where he was in he Summer time. Trump has recovered to some degree. Emerson does phone polls, others do on line polls. We saw the same thing in 2004, Dubya came back and recover.

Trump will probably end up close to 50%

 

Based on one poll? 

And he has not been close to 50% his entire presidency. Why would that change?

Both Bush and Obama looked on the ropes a year out and yet polarization saved them. Even Carter improved for a little while. Right now, Trump is still the most unpopular president in modern times for this day in office according to 538. Then again, maybe he just wins because all that matters is that he is the most conservative candidate. The way Bush won in 2004 or Obama won in 2012 when people just didn’t want a conservative.

[Earthling]

Trump has recovered, he is no where near where he was in he Summer time. Trump has recovered to some degree. Emerson does phone polls, others do on line polls. We saw the same thing in 2004, Dubya came back and recover.

Trump will probably end up close to 50%

 

Based on one poll?  

And he has not been close to 50% his entire presidency. Why would that change?

Both Bush and Obama looked on the ropes a year out and yet polarization saved them. Even Carter improved for a little while. Right now, Trump is still the most unpopular president in modern times for this day in office according to 538. Then again, maybe he just wins because all that matters is that he is the most conservative candidate. The way Bush won in 2004 or Obama won in 2012 when people just didn’t want a conservative.

True. He could win. The same way he did in 2016.

But based on one poll coming to the conclusion that Trump is in reach of having a approval rating of 50% is just dumb.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy polls had already showed Trump recovering. Biden, as crooked as he is was never gonna win by 10 points.

[Earthling]

Rassy polls had already showed Trump recovering. Biden, as crooked as he is was never gonna win by 10 points.

And you take Rasmussen seriously?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The same on-line polls stopped even surveying Senate polls, they consistently poll House polls saying Dems have the clear advantage

All I am saying is that Biden, is just like Hilary, they both came out of Obama administration and he is crooked just like Trump. There is no difference from Benghazi and Ukraine and Russiagate

[Earthling]

Where is the proof that Biden is a crook?

Trump is a crook. That has been proven many times. But Biden?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ukraine scandal has exposed Hunter Biden with getting money

[Progressive Pessimist]

Where is the proof that Biden is a crook?

Trump is a crook. That has been proven many times. But Biden?

Don't pay attention to Olawakandi. Nobody understand show his mind works.

In answering your question though, for any other American who may legitimately think that Biden is corrupt, it's because Republicans interpret reality differently and stubbornly insist on it. That's it. It's the same reason why Clinton was apparently corrupt for her emails.

Sadly, if you say something enough-people listen, especially in our pathetic country. That works both ways though, it's possible that if Democrats hammer a corruption narrative against Trump and his entire party, which facts back up much more to boot, that they can alter public perception enough into having him and other Republicans be punished at the ballot box in November 2020.

[Farmlands]

Honestly, this feels very similar to the rhetoric democrats were using to defend Clinton 2016, as in, how dare people believe that having allegations of corruption/nepotism over your head could hurt a candidate in the general election. And in this case, it is a fact that almost everyone views Hunter Biden getting his cushy job in Burisma negatively.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Honestly, this feels very similar to the rhetoric democrats were using to defend Clinton 2016, as in, how dare people believe that having allegations of corruption/nepotism over your head could hurt a candidate in the general election. And in this case, it is a fact that almost everyone views Hunter Biden getting his cushy job in Burisma negatively.

Sure, but that cannot be separated from Trump and how his family has even more blatantly used Trump's presidency to enrich themselves. That's what's so frustrating. Same with Clinton's emails. Nikki Haley and Trump's Ukraine scandal have made that an even sadder event in our nation's history, that something which continues to prove itself so inconsequential in comparison, managed to cause such a ripple effect in our country and its politics.

Peoples trusting their perceptions more than empirical facts is a major ailment in our republic that is part of many things that is causing it to slowly rot. It's why I cannot forgive American voters and spare them from some of the blame when it comes to elections and their consequences. Voters get the politicians they deserve, and politicians won't change unless the voters change too. Clearly, that's asking for something insurmountable though.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen continues their recent crazy swings, back to -11 (44/55) after being at +1 a week ago.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1198970339881037829