Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden will probably campaign in MT on behalf of Bullock, AZ on behalf of Kelly and NH on behalf of Volinsky. Aside from that its WI and PA. Cooper in NC is gonna win and NC is probably a wave insurance seat for Senate, with Cunningham. But, dont do the Hilary strategy and campaign in FL with 12 days left without going to WI

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unlike what Solid and Politician thinks, the Coronavirus isnt gonna tank Trump approval ratings to mid 30s and we get a 60 seat majority in the Senate. The govt doesnt have the money for Bernie programs and have to use its resources instead to get us out from this recession

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is definitely not gonna crater to 35 percent, there isnt gonna be a Biden slide. Biden is still sleepy Joe

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is electable, but the EC map is the same with Bernie or Biden 279, Biden should not campaign in FL with 12 days left, like Hilary and ignore MI, again. That strategy failed

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What a complete failure by the Democratic Party to expose Trump’s mistakes to the American people. Trump surging and stronger than ever now.

Its obvious now, other Dems are getting nervous like Blue Swan who attacks other Dems for stating the truth that it's not gonna be a 300 or 413 landslide anymore

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democracy Corp poll has a Biden lead of 4 points. Its a valid natl poll, it contradicts the Emerson poll, that shows Biden lead by 6 or 7.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 279 EC race due to fact Trump approvals have not cratered since the Coronavirus have started, since there are no deaths. There have polls showing that there is a rally around the flag effect going on.  Biden still has Ukraine scandal and there hasnt been no negative ads by either camp. Trump exploited Hilary's negatives and the polls reflected by the Democracy D internal Biden +3 to 4 says its gonna get close. This is the same lead Hilary had going into 2016, which she under polled and won PVI due to Comey letter by 1

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Because the same electorate is gonna come out in 2020 that came out in 2016. Hilary lost due to Walker's high approvals in WI, which is the tipping point race. Dems have replaced WI, MI with D govs and they all have 50 percent approvals.  Gary Johnson was the spoiler and took 3 percent from Hilary in the Midwest

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why the polls are volatile is that one day you see a poll showing a Biden lead of 10 and then its contradicted by another poll Biden plus 3 is that until there are an overwhelming number of deaths, Trump isnt gonna crater with job losses and most of the job losses are seasonal restaurant workers. Although, college professors are going on line. Those are the two jobs that will lose the most from this Recession. Being a college professor making mega bucks is gonna end as online college classes is gonna make up for the student loan debt that arent being paid to schools

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump approvals are at 45% to 54% and Biden's is 48 to 50%. FL, OH, and AZ are statistically within the margin of error and Trump hasn't campaigned yet. Pundits are still saying Trump is in the worst position and his polls haven't even slipped under 40, where they thought they would be, when coronavirus began. We might not even have conventions this summer, this isn't a normal election.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They stopped polling these races which seems to me that Trump approvals are stablizing; otherwise, we have had daily numbers showing promising numbers for Biden +10, which he ismt gonna win by👍👍👍, more like 3.2

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We havent seen much of Biden, and the rallies are hurting Dems more than Rs, and there havent been much polling. But, there has been no stimulus checks paid yet. Until the campaign gets going, Trump has an advantage.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Biden fails after Obama did everything to push all the Dems out to rally behind Biden, who is the same as Benghazi Hilary, Obama is the problem, not just Biden. Gavin Newsom and Whitmer would be the nominees in 2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls are gonna go up and down based on the 278 EC map by 538. That's why leads flux file. 3.5 to 5.5 percent.

But the fact of the matter is that Trump polls at 45 to 52 percent while Biden polls 48 to 50 percent. Trump believes in TARP for corporations but doesnt believe in reform for Mainstream,  that's why his 2017 tax cuts failed. So far, Trump has funded the govt 2017 failed tax cuts and failed Obamacare repeal.  Thus, Joe Biden will finish reform effort and passed stalled Pelosi Bill's that raises minimum wage and campaign finance reform

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, when I go outside, people are angry and immigration reform is DOA and the Dems will need a super majority to pass it. Trump will use the same play book as he did on Hilary. It also depends on the Veep selection. Harris or Warren or Klobuchar are pretty much out of the running. Sally Yates have folksy populist appeal like Ernst, SMC as a soccer mom, just like Barb Bollier, and she is from a swing state GA. Voters dont vote solely on Veep, but they can lose an election for you and John Edwards,  and Sarah Palin cost Kerry and McCain the Prez. Harris would resurrect Jesse Smolette and Fox News. Whereas Huckabee for McCain and Dick Gephardt for Kerry could of won the election for them

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump isnt gonna be reelected, he still has been impeached and his lawyers are serving 40 mnths in prison

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is electable, he is just as wise as Trump and can beat him on the debate stage. I have changed my mind, it will be a wave election, just like Biden won 8 senate seats in 2008 for Obama, on the heels on another Occupy Wallstreet. Trump believes, like Bush W, Tarp for Corporations,  but call it socialism when voters are on public assistance. Public assistance isn't permanent it's a helping hand to get back on your feet, like TARP

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I guess the Firehose polls were right, but PA, since 2010, since Corbett was elected,  has trended right. The Dems were saved in 2018 due to Casey.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems are gonna have a close election on their hands, but polling has flux between 5 and 3 point leads anyways. I wouldnt put much stock in polling due to fact, if it's a 2004, Dems will win WI, by a narrow margin, just like Kerry did.

Blowouts had a 1 percent chance anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We havent seen much of Biden as his many of the rallies have stopped and since he stopped winning primaries, his polls are equalizing back to norm. As Dems keep asking for donations and people need to conserve money

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is a news flash that Trump can indeed win, he was always never out of it, as Bush W, Obama also had similar approval ratings as Trunp 49 percent and Melania Trump,  soccer moms connect with.

Pelosi spent all that time on impeachment for nothing, to result in a reelection of Trump

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have mixed feelings about these R polls coming out, all of a sudden Biden is trailing Trump, if Biden does lose, this will be big, no wonder why Trump is getting cocky

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I doubt that Trump is still at 44 percent approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fox news own polling has Biden plus 9, and the House Rs objected to their own Prez own stimulus bill, Biden and Harris are gonna be in the Oval Office, due to face Trump own NAFTA policies that he reneged on, with China, created this coronavirus from China. That's why Trump has flatlined in MI🤩🤩🤩

A wave isnt imminent until the end of the election cycle,  but since MI is a Bellwether,  Trump has lost the 279 EC map

OH can go to Biden due to Black support in NE Ohio and Cincinnati unlike IA which is rural

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why havent bprower responded in this thread with his maps?