Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

3 Poll


https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1303530168741396482?s=19

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1303529786086748160?s=19

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1303530466277044225?s=19

Trump is behind in a Rassy OH poll

[solidcoalition]

3 Poll


https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1303530168741396482?s=19
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1303529786086748160?s=19
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1303530466277044225?s=19

Okay it’s obvious Trump is on the rise. Hard to spin.

[Brittain33]

Okay it’s obvious Trump is on the rise. Hard to spin.

It's an improvement of +1 in SurveyMonkey (rated D-) and +3 in HarrisX (rated C), and Rasmussen isn't worth commenting on. A small bump in a couple of bad polls, matching his overall small rise as the memory of nationwide protest in June fades.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Okay it’s obvious Trump is on the rise. Hard to spin.

It's easy to do that when you cherry pick three of Trump's consistently best pollsters.  I'll counter with this morning's 40/57 from Morning Consult and yesterday's 42/55 from Research Co.

Having said that, Trump's approval has indeed improved somewhat, although he's still well underwater.  

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Blue Avatars think we are still in a 4 percent unemployment rate, Obama economy, which he raised taxes on the rich, v a 10 unemployment rate under Bush W and Trump, that cut taxes for the wealthy. Trump loses

What are you yapping about?

Obama won in 2012 with unemployment at 7%. He won because the economy turned around at just the right time. And the trend mattered, from a high of 10% to 7%.

Trump is in an even better spot. Record low unemployment, a spike to 16% due to the pandemic and not Trump’s fault, for half the year. It has now fallen to 8%, and will be even lower than that by November. That’s a massive victory for the president.

2012 is an excellent analogue to 2020. Polling literally does not matter, many of the parameters are there for a Trump win. Which is what I’m forecasting. Good luck lol

Every poll today shows Biden plus 10, sorry Trump is done

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Blue Avatars think we are still in a 4 percent unemployment rate, Obama economy, which he raised taxes on the rich, v a 10 unemployment rate under Bush W and Trump, that cut taxes for the wealthy. Trump loses

What are you yapping about?

Obama won in 2012 with unemployment at 7%. He won because the economy turned around at just the right time. And the trend mattered, from a high of 10% to 7%.

Trump is in an even better spot. Record low unemployment, a spike to 16% due to the pandemic and not Trump’s fault, for half the year. It has now fallen to 8%, and will be even lower than that by November. That’s a massive victory for the president.

2012 is an excellent analogue to 2020. Polling literally does not matter, many of the parameters are there for a Trump win. Which is what I’m forecasting. Good luck lol

Every poll today shows Biden plus 10, sorry Trump is done

And next week you’ll say it’s even. You lose all credibility when you keep changing predictions - I’m not entirely sure what you’re trying to accomplish?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol, VBM in CALI starts October 5th, I doubt I am gonna change my prediction, from here on out. I will do my Early Voting or VBM on 10/5

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Lol, VBM in CALI starts October 5th, I doubt I am gonna change my prediction, from here on out. I will do my Early Voting or VBM on 10/5

It's gonna be a blowout. Write it down, folks.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, 1500 adults including 1183 RV and 1057 LV.  This is the first week they have included LV.

Adults:

Approve 42 (nc)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

Strongly approve 24 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-2)


RV:

Approve 43 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (+1)

Strongly approve 28 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-3)

Biden 49 (-2), Trump 42 (+2)

GCB: D 46 (-5), R 39 (+1)


LV (no prior):

Approve 43
Disapprove 57

Strongly approve 30
Strongly disapprove 48

Biden 52, Trump 43

GCB: D 48, R 41

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Lol, VBM in CALI starts October 5th, I doubt I am gonna change my prediction, from here on out. I will do my Early Voting or VBM on 10/5

It's gonna be a blowout. Write it down, folks.

Take away Missouri and Kentucky and this is actually Bidens ceiling

[Ferguson97]

Lol, VBM in CALI starts October 5th, I doubt I am gonna change my prediction, from here on out. I will do my Early Voting or VBM on 10/5

It's gonna be a blowout. Write it down, folks.

Take away Missouri and Kentucky and this is actually Bidens ceiling

I think he could also win SC in a ridiculous blowout

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Lol, VBM in CALI starts October 5th, I doubt I am gonna change my prediction, from here on out. I will do my Early Voting or VBM on 10/5

It's gonna be a blowout. Write it down, folks.

Take away Missouri and Kentucky and this is actually Bidens ceiling

This is OC's prediction map. OC's word is law, as far as I am concerned.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We just got revelations that Trump downplayed Covid before it even happened. Politics isn't stable, it changes and evolves, thats why we have elections, due to the evolution of voter's thinking.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

We just got revelations that Trump downplayed Covid before it even happened. Politics isn't stable, it changes and evolves, thats why we have elections, due to the evolution of voter's thinking.

But how does Trump still manage to get >80% in Arkansas, Louisiana, the Mormon triangle, and the Plains States?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Sep. 3-8, 1337 adults including 1107 RV and 823 LV.  This is their first week with LV.

Adults:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 56 (+2)

Strongly approve 22 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-1)

Biden 45 (+2), Trump 37 (-1)


RV:

Approve 40 (-4)
Disapprove 57 (+3)

Strongly approve 24 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Biden 48 (+1), Trump 40 (nc)


LV (no approvals):

Biden 52, Trump 40

[woodley park]

Pretty bad. It seems like Trump gets repeatedly sucked back towards the upper 30s.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Lol, VBM in CALI starts October 5th, I doubt I am gonna change my prediction, from here on out. I will do my Early Voting or VBM on 10/5

It's gonna be a blowout. Write it down, folks.

Take away Missouri and Kentucky and this is actually Bidens ceiling

I think he could also win SC in a ridiculous blowout

Biden's ceiling is +12 in the NPV. He would lose SC by 2-3 points in his ceiling. Myrtle Beach is the fastest growing metro area in the US, and is getting filled with Republican retirees.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

After yesterday, Rs throughout history have ignored intellegence that puts Americans in harms way that could have been prevented or steps could have been prevented to stop the act: Hoover knew that Lee and Robert were cousins of Robert E Lee and Lee Oswald wanted Pernament normal relations with Cuba, and vowed to kill Kennedy if his Russian wife, didn't get a visa to Cuba; consequently, Jack Ruby took it upon himself to kill Lee Oswald, due to Hoover's negligence, Reagan traded arms for Hostages to Iran, Bush W went on vacation and was warned about leaving cockpit doors open before 911, when he was briefed that Bin Laden was determined to strike within US, Bush W was briefed that levies would be topped before Katrina, and now Trump knew that Covid was deadly and mislead Americans.

This is why a 2008 blowout is all but assured, and an Electoral collapse is all but assured by Trump, whom is gaffe prone like Palin.

Dems understand this, and we have won IA, OH, FL in the past, conservatives think that 2016 is gonna live in eternity and we won't win another IA and OH ever in history

[woodley park]

After yesterday, Rs throughout history have ignored intellegence that puts Americans in harms way that could have been prevented or steps could have been prevented to stop the act: Hoover knew that Lee and Robert were cousins of Robert E Lee and Lee Oswald wanted Pernament normal relations with Cuba, and vowed to kill Kennedy if his Russian wife, didn't get a visa to Cuba; consequently, Jack Ruby took it upon himself to kill Lee Oswald, due to Hoover's negligence, Reagan traded arms for Hostages to Iran, Bush W went on vacation and was warned about leaving cockpit doors open before 911, when he was briefed that Bin Laden was determined to strike within US, Bush W was briefed that levies would be topped before Katrina, and now Trump knew that Covid was deadly and mislead Americans.

This is why a 2008 blowout is all but assured, and an Electoral collapse is all but assured by Trump, whom is gaffe prone like Palin.

Dems understand this, and we have won IA, OH, FL in the past, conservatives think that 2016 is gonna live in eternity and we won't win another IA and OH ever in history

Don't get me wrong, I like your conclusion but you said just like two days ago that this was a 270 + 8 election!

[Progressive Pessimist]

Pretty bad. It seems like Trump gets repeatedly sucked back towards the upper 30s.

That actually sounds pretty good to me. It should be lower though, he shouldn't have an approval rating above 0%.

[pbrower2a]

Defaming America's soldiers and veterans is political suicide for someone on the Left -- legitimately so. What is so bad about Trump is that he exposes a contempt for soldiers that might manifest in a willingness to sacrifice them for his glory.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1304541236473344001

[Progressive Pessimist]

Defaming America's soldiers and veterans is political suicide for someone on the Left -- legitimately so. What is so bad about Trump is that he exposes a contempt for soldiers that might manifest in a willingness to sacrifice them for his glory.

It's the same thing with his base. He doesn't care if they live or die (as long as they survive long enough to vote for him, of course), but they don't care either.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump toupe or any Blue avatar that keeps going by Rassy and even he has Trump behind by 8 pts in WI and MI, is gonna be wrong on election day, if Hillary ran in 2008, not in 2016 Benghazi, she would be right where Biden is now, at 50percent in every Rust belt state and Trump like Palin would be at 39 percent. Just like Yahoo polls show 49 percent to 39 percent for Biden lead.

[pbrower2a]

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1304541236473344001

Translate the approval into votes for and disapproval as votes against, and one comes close to Mondale 41%, Reagan 58% in 1984. That may be imprecise, but it is closer than anything else in the last forty years. It is relevant.