Trump approval ratings thread 1.6 (user search)
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  Trump approval ratings thread 1.6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 1.6  (Read 168320 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #25 on: December 04, 2019, 06:09:40 PM »
Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Dec. 2-3, 1117 adults including 955 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 55 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-2)

Impeach Trump? Yes 44 (-3), No 42 (+2)


RV:

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

Strongly approve 24 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 41 (-2)

Impeach Trump? Yes 45 (-2), No 45 (+3)


Most pollsters take a break around holidays (it's harder to poll people then), so the recent polling drought should be ending soon now that Thanksgiving is over.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #26 on: December 11, 2019, 09:25:06 AM »
Morning Consult/Politico, Dec. 6-8, 1994 RV (2-week change)

Approve 39 (-1)
Disapprove 58 (+2)

Strongly approve 22 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (+1)

Support impeachment inquiry? Yes 49 (+1), No 42 (-1)

Impeach? Yes 50 (nc), No 41 (nc)

Remove? Yes 50 (nc), No 41 (-1)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #27 on: December 11, 2019, 02:34:23 PM »
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_us_121119.pdf/
Monmouth, Dec. 4-8, 903 adults (1-month change)

Approve 43 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

Do you think President Trump should be impeached and compelled to leave the presidency, or not?

Yes 45 (+1)
No 50 (-1)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #28 on: December 11, 2019, 06:32:58 PM »
Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Dec. 9-10, 1116 adults including 945 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (+1)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 23 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (nc)

Impeach Trump: Yes 45 (+1), No 41 (-1)


RV:

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (+2)

Strongly approve 25 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (+2)

Impeach Trump: Yes 47 (+2), No 42 (-3)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #29 on: December 12, 2019, 09:00:50 AM »
Civiqs, Dec. 7-11, 1411 RV

Approve 43
Disapprove 54

Impeach and remove Trump: Yes 50, No 47
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #30 on: December 12, 2019, 01:41:01 PM »

Since impeachment is a bigger hammer than voting against the incumbent, I think it's reasonable to assume that voting intention against Trump is at least as high as impeachment support.  In that case, these numbers don't bode well for Trump:

51% support for impeachment: CO, FL, ME, MI, NV, PA, VA

49%: AZ, MN, TX, WI

48%: GA, LA(!?), NC

47%: IA

46%: NH, OH
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #31 on: December 12, 2019, 04:08:18 PM »
Wisconsin: Marquette, Dec. 3-8, 800 RV (prior poll Nov. 13-17)

Approve 47 (nc)
Disaspprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 32 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+2)

Impeach and remove Trump: Yes 40 (nc), No 52 (-1)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #32 on: December 12, 2019, 04:52:33 PM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on December 12, 2019, 04:40:02 PM
Quote from: Beef on December 12, 2019, 02:48:33 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on December 12, 2019, 01:41:01 PM

Since impeachment is a bigger hammer than voting against the incumbent, I think it's reasonable to assume that voting intention against Trump is at least as high as impeachment support.  In that case, these numbers don't bode well for Trump:

51% support for impeachment: CO, FL, ME, MI, NV, PA, VA

49%: AZ, MN, TX, WI

48%: GA, LA(!?), NC

47%: IA

46%: NH, OH

In a normal world this might be true, but we live on Planet Trump now.

Anyway some of these numbers don’t make any sense

They're inconsistent, to say the least.  I think the methodology here is interesting, but it's questionable how sound it is.  G. Elliott Morris has a thread with more details for those interested: https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1205160992180723712.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #33 on: December 13, 2019, 06:47:47 AM »
Quote from: Hammy on December 12, 2019, 10:38:11 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on December 12, 2019, 07:52:24 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on December 12, 2019, 04:08:18 PM
Wisconsin: Marquette, Dec. 3-8, 800 RV (prior poll Nov. 13-17)

Approve 47 (nc)
Disaspprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 32 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+2)

Impeach and remove Trump: Yes 40 (nc), No 52 (-1)

WHY!? Why do the worst states always have to be the most important! We're so f***ed next year...

I wouldn't take opposing impeach and remove as meaning supporting Trump--I am opposed because it's a bad idea to have an acquittal on the eve of the election, and because I know Pence is far, far worse than Trump because he doesn't wear how incompetent and evil he is on his sleeve.

I also wonder if Wisconsinites might be a little more leery of impeachment after living through the extremely divisive attempted recall of Scott Walker a few years ago.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #34 on: December 15, 2019, 09:26:27 AM »
Fox News, Dec. 8-11, 1000 RV (prior poll OCt. 27-30)

Approve 45 (+3)
Disapprove 53 (-4)

Impeach and remove Trump?  Yes 50, No 46 (was 49/45)

Biden 48, Trump 41 (was 51/39)
Sanders 49, Trump 43 (49/41)
Bloomberg 45, Trump 40 (no prior)
Warren 46, Trump 45 (46/41)
Buttigieg 43, Trump 42 (41/41)

An interesting question: do you THINK <candidate> can beat Trump in 2020?

Biden: Yes 77, No 17 (was 68/17)
Sanders: 60/31 (54/34)
Warren: 59/34 (57/25)
Bloomberg: 55/33 (no prior)
Buttigieg: 48/42 (30/44)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #35 on: December 16, 2019, 10:11:05 AM »
Marist, Dec. 7-11, 1744 adults including 1508 RV (1-month change)

Adults:

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (+1)

Strongly approve 31 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-1)
Disapprove 53 (+2)

Strongly approve 32 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 42 (nc)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #36 on: December 16, 2019, 08:33:41 PM »
CNN/SSRS, Dec. 12-15, 1005 adults including 888 RV

Adults:

Approve 43 (+1)
Disapprove 53 (-1)

RV:

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Impeach and remove Trump: Yes 45 (-5), No 47 (+4)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #37 on: December 16, 2019, 08:56:49 PM »
Quote from: #Klobmentum on December 16, 2019, 08:52:43 PM
interesting. looks like these was a significant drop in impeachment support amongst democrats. I guess the shine wore off. could also just be holiday ambivalence.

Here's another possible reason:
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #38 on: December 17, 2019, 09:22:32 AM »
IBD/TIPP, Dec. 5-14, 905 adults (change from late Oct.)

Approve 44 (+5)
Disapprove 52 (-4)

I believe this is Trump's highest approval this year in this poll.

Impeach and remove Trump?  Yes 49, No 49 (no prior)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #39 on: December 17, 2019, 11:10:37 AM »
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #40 on: December 17, 2019, 05:38:28 PM »
Quote from: marty on December 17, 2019, 05:35:05 PM
How will trump being officially impeached affect his approval ratings?

No change?

I expect a minimal effect either way.  People's minds are already made up on Trump.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #41 on: December 18, 2019, 08:03:31 AM »
Emerson, Dec. 15-17, 1222 RV (1-month change)

Approve 46 (-2)
Disapprove 49 (+2)

Impeach Trump?  Yes 45 (+2), No 45 (nc)

Biden 52 (+3), Trump 48 (-3)
Sanders 52 (+2), Trump 48 (-1)
Warren 51 (+1), Trump 49 (-1)
Buttigieg 50 (+2), Trump 40 (-2)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #42 on: December 18, 2019, 08:35:09 AM »
Florida: Mason-Dixon, Dec. 11-16, 625 RV

Approve 47
Disapprove 50

Impeach Trump: Support 46, Oppose 50
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #43 on: December 18, 2019, 09:30:30 AM »
Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Dec. 16-17, 1117 adults including 963 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 53 (-1)

Strongly approve 25 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+2)

Impeach Trump: Yes 46 (+1), No 42 (+1)


RV:

Approve 45 (+4)
Disapprove 53 (-3)

Strongly approve 28 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 43 (nc)

Impeach Trump: Yes 47 (nc), No 45 (+3)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #44 on: December 18, 2019, 10:27:40 AM »
The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Dec. 14-17, 1500 adults including 1164 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Strongly approve 24 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+1)

Impeach Trump? Yes 47 (+2), No 39 (-1)

Remove Trump? Yes 47 (+3), No 38 (-2)


RV:

Approve 44 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (nc)

Strongly approve 29 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Impeach Trump? Yes 50 (+2), No 43 (-1)

Remove Trump? Yes 50 (+3), No 42 (-1)

2020 (RV only): Generic D 49 (+2), Trump 40 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 48 (nc), R 40 (nc)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #45 on: December 18, 2019, 01:56:33 PM »
Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #46 on: December 20, 2019, 04:06:22 PM »
AP/NORC, Dec. 5-9, 1015 adults (change from late Oct.)

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 60 (+4)

Strongly approve 23 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 45 (+3)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #47 on: December 20, 2019, 08:16:52 PM »
Morning Consult/Politico, Dec. 19-20, 1387 RV (prior poll Dec. 14-15)

This poll was conducted entirely after the House impeachment vote.

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (+1)

Strongly approve 27 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 46 (+2)

Do you approve or disapprove of the House of Representatives impeaching President Trump? (Previous wording: would you approve of...)

Approve 52 (+2)
Disapprove 43 (nc)

And would you approve or disapprove of the Senate removing President Trump from office?

Approve 51 (+1)
Disapprove 42 (-1)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #48 on: December 23, 2019, 11:00:25 AM »
ARG economic survey (monthly), Dec. 17-20, 1100 adults including 992 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (+2)
Disapprove 57 (-3)

RV:

Approve 38 (+2)
Disapprove 58 (-3)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #49 on: December 25, 2019, 09:59:19 AM »
With the usual caveats about polling during the holidays...

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Dec. 22-24, 1500 adults including 1240 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (+2)

Strongly approve 26 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+1)

Approve of impeachment? (previously: should the House impeach Trump?) Yes 49 (+2), No 41 (+2)

Remove Trump? Yes 44 (-3), No 41 (+3)


RV:

Approve 43 (-1)
Disapprove 54 (+1)

Strongly approve 31 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Approve of impeachment? Yes 49 (-1), No 45 (+2)

Remove Trump? Yes 47 (-3), No 44 (+2)

2020 (RV only): Generic D 47 (-2), Trump 42 (+2)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (-1), R 41 (+1)
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