Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Once Dems have a nominee and Veep, the race will be defined. Trump is running against Generic Dems

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls are snapshots in time and they only measure turnout, this was not gonna be an easy election for Dems, with a 3.6 unemployment rate. White males are the enterpreneurs while females and minorities are the workers whom are living off minimum wages like teenagers, instead of living off salaries, like they suppose to. New normal

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With surge in Bernie support, a 2008 nightmare scenario is about to happen, not only McConnell loses Senate, he loses his seat

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs think WI, OH, IA and FL are gone, except for 2000, and 2016 along with NM, when Dems secured the 278 Blue wall, in 1964, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, they have voted correctly for the Dem Prez. It's not a 278 election it's a 538 election, that's what Rs want Dems to believe

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX will go Dem in such scenario

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With Trump losing by a 70-65 M mark like Romney and McCain, he will lose TX. Map will go back to pre 2016 and after 2004

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As long as Pelosi remains in charge of Dems in the House, there wont be a Female Prez, Warren, Harris and Hilary, but Klobuchar should be Veep and sit side by side next to Pelosi at the 2021 SOTU address; consequently,  Trump only won in 2016, because Strickland,  McGinty,  and Evan Bayh had scandals, just like Hilary did. That's why Trump overachieved in 2016, not against a seasoned Vet like Bernie

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This isnt Bush W TX anylomger, Dallas, Miami are international cities like Chicago and NY

WI isn't gonna be the tipping point race, FL will

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is losing badly in their own conservative polls, that is great news to Dems

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is only up 5 pts in SC, Graham is still vulnerable. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Bernie surge should convince even skeptical Rs that he is the strongest nominee, not Biden. Even Trump, due to his closeness to Netanyahu,  cant criticize Bernie the way he went after Hilary and Biden, calling Biden a sloth; consequently,  Bernie will be the 46th Prez.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why Trump is losing is due to the new normal of adults living off of minimum wage jobs, not salaried jobs and McConnell wont raise the minimum wage in states that it is 7.25 to 15.00. Hawaii has a 10 minimum wage and it's the most expensive place to live. Minimum wage jobs used to be as a supplemental income job, or teenager positions, with loss of secretarial positions, it's now the new normal.

People can only pay the bare minimum of the interest off their student loans, and housing is going thru roof, as well as gas prices, and Trump saying the economy is sound. It's not, just like he criticized Obama, on the same economic growth

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs think Trump is gonna win WI, but Bernie is gonna win WI and secure 279 EC wall for President,  no matter what happens.  WI, PA and MI going R again, isnt happening

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, Dems are gonna rest easy, there was a fear that Bernie was gonna lose WI and make it hard on Dems in FL, to win the state. Bloomberg collapse, has resulted in a Biden surge. Its gonna be a Biden sweep except for Cali this Tuesday.

But, the gamble of calling an end to the Cuban embargo didnt pay off and Flavor Flav turned the Public Enemy concert into a nightmare concert, by dissing Bernie, that mostly Latinos showed up to anyways, not Blacks

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

VA just came in for Biden, VA isnt in play for Trump in Nov, and he loses VA, again, he win lose this time, GE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, Congressional Dems can rest in FL, Biden is gonna be nominee

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, a sigh of relief by Dems that Bernie isnt gonna be nominated, again. Bernie isnt winning both OH and FL and Biden only needs to get delegates in IL, WI and NY. Biden v Trump

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is finished with Biden rather than Bernie is nominee. If current trends after 2018 midterm continue in SF, LA, Chicago and NYC metros, Trump will stay at 65 M while Dems reach over 70+M

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I thought I was gonna be disappointed when Biden won primary,  I am more excited, as stated above this isnt a 278 election,  it's a 413 election.  McConnell and Elaine Chao obstruction of impeachment worked, but next year, the Crts will send Trump to jail as Private Citizen,  not Prez. No one is Prez forever

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump's approvals are gonna be right where Bush W's were in 2004, and WI, just like OH will determine the election. These 43 or 42 approvals are a distraction to the real issues of the election and Trump isnt going away and neither is Biden

3.5 percent is relatively low unemployment,  but stagnant wages not keeping up with gas, food and Housing is an issue

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump's approvals are gonna be right where Bush W's were in 2004, and WI, just like OH will determine the election. These 43 or 42 approvals are a distraction to the real issues of the election and Trump isnt going away and neither is Biden

3.5 percent is relatively low unemployment,  but stagnant wages not keeping up with gas, food and Housing is an issue

the big difference between the 2 is Bush actually spent years expanding his base of support and He pulled off getting 40 percent of the Hispanic vote on election day 2004.

Trump on the other hand has done nothing like that. He has only ever tried to appeal to his base. He now claims he is trying to win over black voters but his effort does not feel genuine at all  

Bush spent years building a relationship with Hispanic voters going all the way back to his time as TX governor. he did not just show up on during election time expecting Hispanics support like trump is currently doing with black voters

Yes, that's why NV and CO are Bellwethers and VA, not OH anymore, but it's a 278 EC, 538 says so and so does Labato Crystal Ball and www.electionprojection.com

Granted, that election projection has WI, PA and MI going R, which is wrong, its D 278 R 260👍👍👍

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was right the IA poll confirmed that it's a 278 to 260 election,  but MT, AZ, CO and ME are Senate takeovers and NC will remain in D Gov hands

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bullock is the best chance for a Senate majority,  not Barb Bollier.  Gov races are different than Senate races

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ is one of those states that voted for Ducey and voted for Sinema,  we can see the samething happen in 2020; whereas, Trump wins AZ but Kelly wins the Senate race by a 2 pt margin

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden approval is 48 to 50 percent and Trump is at 45 to 54 percent.  Ohio just proved that it's a Trump state, since it has moved its primary to June, DeWine is a Trump conservative. If I were Biden, I wouldn't spend time in IA or OH, which are fools gold for Dems, just like VA and WI are for Rs.

Spend all the time you need in MI, WI and NV