Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump job approval: 43/54 (-11)
Trump virus approval: 43/53 (-10)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F04.21.20.pdf

MSNBC has his polls 46/51, the same as last yr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems made a big fuss about these stimulus checks, I havent gotten mine yet.  Alot of people havent gotten theirs yet.


That's why Trump polls are rising, the stimulus payments the Dems promised are gonna be delivered but we havent gotten our payments yet and Pelosi controls the House

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

For an impeached president, who was hounded by an aggressive and open ended 3 year Russian collusion hoax, now dealing with the biggest economic crisis in generations and yet he remains competitive, if not still the electoral college favorite.

If Trump hasn’t been rocked down to 20% approval by now, then nothing will. He will win re-election similar to GWB.

Trump is gonna lose 279 to 259, Dems only have to flip WI/PA and MI. Bush Jr, had NV and CO in his pocket already and only needed OH. Trump needs WI and Va and he is losing both. Only a major gaffe in selecting Abrams or Val Demings as Veep would stop Biden. But, he is gonna select Liz Warren

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Incorrect, Trump wins ONE of PA, WI, or MI and he’ll win re-election. I think he has good odds of keeping one of those. That’s the election.

He is losing WI 43 to 40 and losing PA and MI by 4 pts

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KS is gonna trend Dem due to popularity of Gov Kelly and the fractious R party of Marshall and Kobach. It wont matter what Trump approvals R, Trump was popular in KS in 2018, too. KS is replacing IA as a Dem state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is finished, he is all but guaranteed to lose MI/WI and PA. The other battleground states will be poll watching for Senate seats.  Trump will be a 1 ter m Prez, and his outing of the briefings just shows why Pence is such a bad Veep. Trump cant entrust his own Veep with Briefings

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Harrison has a chance since he has been out raising Graham

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who cares, MI/PA/WI are gonna flip back to Dems, regardless what happens, Biden have substantial leads in them

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who cares, MI/PA/WI are gonna flip back to Dems, regardless what happens, Biden have substantial leads in them

Why do you continue to change your predictions on a whim? Why not formulate a belief and stick with it....? Just wondering.

I am not an R, I am an objective Democrat, whom thinks that Pelosi wants campaign donations more than governing. I lived in her city SF and she does nothing about the homelessness like Harris, but they wont give tax cuts to rich that's exacerbates the income inequality. I am from Cali and have lived in Orange, LA and SF

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The 2020 election clinches reapportionment for a decade for Dems and the last time there was a Recession Rs lost 9 Senate seats and lost all 3 branches of power. Bush W did have 25 percent approvals at the time of 2008, but Obama and Biden didnt run against Bush W, they ran against McCain in 2008, with Palin, he had 44 percent approvals, likewise in 2012, they ran against Romney whom had 46 percent approvals.  

This time Rs can lose 12 seats in a landslide in the Senate, even at Trump level approvals at 44 percent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Incorrect, Trump wins ONE of PA, WI, or MI and he’ll win re-election. I think he has good odds of keeping one of those. That’s the election.

He must also not lose Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, or Ohio.  

The Rs see these bad poll numbers and know Trump is gonna lose in a landslide that's why they still insist Trump is favored to win WI/PA/MI which has voted 1× since 1988 for an R. SN2903 did the samething and that was part of the reason he isnt blogging

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fox News is paying tons of attention to it. Elsewhere, not so much.

Even if it gains traction, it shouldn't have any effect on Trump's approval ratings.

Sure it will. It changes the topic, and puts Trump back on the offensive. Come on dude, think a bit...

Trump all he can do is keep the election closer than expected, with Latinos going 2 to 1 and AZ, CO, NV, and NM going Dem and Rs havent won AZ since McCain died, AZ is a progressive state, now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gallup's polling isnt reliable. Trump and his gaffes has made his election prospects dim

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

47/51 is probably where Trump approvals are not enough for an EC landslide like polls have been inflating Biden's poll, but a 278 to 260 map reaffirming the blue wall

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That Gallup poll wasnt accurate, Trump is taking a beating

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Most voters feel the 2017 tax cuts was a 2008 bailout to the Banks. Voters want to overwhelmingly rescind the tax cuts and want UBI benefits like European countries like Sweden are now doing.

McConnell says he doesnt want debt passed to Grandchildren and Rs believe money not coming into Treasurer in the form of tax cuts doesn't contribute to debt, but money coming out in form of tax hikes and social programs does contribute to debt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems can still remove Biden before the nomination process and put Bernie as the nominee. This is Obama's pick to be nominated not the people's pick, Trump already said that

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The only reason why Biden is escaping the sexual allegations as of now, is that COV 19 is taking all the oxygen out the room. If this was a typical election,  Biden would have a much tighter election

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Social distancing will end sooner or later, before January 2021 and Hunter Biden report is due out in August as well as the sex allegations.  Biden has a rosey scenario, but it's not over, yet.

Cali is set to reopen next week

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah due to fact bars, sports and schools, men and women with kids want their country back.

That's why Rs are rushing to put baseball on tv but without bars and fanfare and football it wont be the same

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Senate: Ernst 43, Greenfield 42

Dems hold 3/4 Congressional districts in IA and JD Scholten can beat King, Dems are campaigning in Iowa in 2020 to protect incumbents

This is the most competitive I've seen this senate election. I thought Ernst was winning easily...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MSN polls were right except in LA and MS, there is a leftward trend of the nation

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Senate: Ernst 43, Greenfield 42

This is the most competitive I've seen this senate election. I thought Ernst was winning easily...

Why this forum seems to think IA Senate is Safe R is beyond my understanding.

Badger, 538, SN2903, and 2016 blue avatars are trained that 2016 will forever be the EC map and PA is the new R  version of VA. Dems will never get to 270 ever again

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well change gave a 278 map again, Biden +3, Biden isnt up 12 or 14 points, he is up by 2-4 points replicating the 278 EC battleground.  The election is gonna keep playing itself out and replicate the 278 EC battleground,  Trump is at 47 percent approvals.  We should ignore 10 polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democratic sweep as Ginsburg is getting closer to retirement in 2021. She will retire once Biden is sworn in