Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In a neutral environment the EC map is Biden 256 to Trump 200 and VA clinches the election for Biden

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In a neutral environment the EC map is Biden 256 to Trump 200 and VA clinches the election for Biden

Virginia will not be the tipping point state, lmao.

It is according to John King on CNN election tracker, argue with him

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is at 200 and Biden is at 255, while VA brings it to 268 and WI brings it to 278 and ME 2 brings it to 279.

OH, FL, IA are irrelevant, in that scenario,  that's what John King was referring to

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We dont even know what the recovery looks like, we cant assume anything that Biden has won, but Biden will have 256 EC votes compared to Trump 201, and VA makes it 268 and WI gives Biden 270 plus. While OH, FL and IA are purple states not trippers, that's the Nate Silver blue wall

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump deserves to lose

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is not gonna win, regardless if it's a 413 election or a 278 election,  Trump is doomed and will take McConnell or the R senate with him. Regardless of McConnell loses, but Amy McGrath and Doug Jones stands a chance in this environment.  Bush W only won reelection due to Katrina, another national disaster took place in 2005, not 2004🤩🤩🤩

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I couldnt even find the polls these are internet based polls, why dont they poll Senate races and congressional races, instead

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Those MSN polls arent scientific and are junkie. The best Dems can hope for is winning AZ, FL as wave insurance,  IA and OH goes GOP and VA is the Bellwether

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is already in trouble, the 278 states are stacked against him this time. Like it was for GW Bush, but he managed 44 percent of the Latino vote by having Jeb as Gov of FL to take from Dems, that Trump doesn't have. Trump only won FL due to Rubio dropping out of campaign and running for Senate. Without McCain or Rubio on ballot in 2020, Trump is certainly to lose the minority vote by a wider margin.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MSN wasted money on spending money on states that's not gonna be competetive due to the fact that Senate races are important factors in the Prez matchup as well. That's why they should of polled the Senate races in conjunction with the Prez race and they would have saved themselves time that AZ, CO, ME and MT are Dem pickups and can go with the 278 blue wall

That's why www.electionprojection.com still has 278 blue wall minus AZ in the Senate still as a prediction.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

www.electionprojection goes by what Larry Sabato Crystal Ball and so far Sabato Crystal ball has 278 blue wall still alive and well and has only moved ME and CO to Likely D, for Senate, well within the 278 Blue wall.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

www.electionprojection.com goes by what Larry Sabato Crystal Ball and so far Sabato Crystal ball has 278 blue wall still alive and well and has only moved ME and CO to Likely D, for Senate, well within the 278 Blue wall.

It was reasonable at the time because the polling reality was generally changing slowly if at all, and was highly responsive if a poll showed a change in any one state.

Should there be a pervasive shift as the MSN data suggests, then what may have been high accuracy may become irrelevant.

Yes, as I stated yesterday,  the polls coming from MSN are online polls and Trump has a 51 percent approval rating in FL, GA, TX, the election projection is accurate, but has Trump narrowly winning. Sabato isnt changing his rating based on Biden +10 polls due to fact, they will indeed get back to normal. Biden has been accused of sexual assault and Ukraine report on Hunter Biden is due put in Aug

Biden.poll numbers will return back to normal

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden has just accused or sexually assaulting women again and the Hunter Biden report is due out in Aug, by Congressional Rs and Rob Johnson. Chris Matthew's,  whom was biased towards Biden and the secular press has given Biden a free pass during primaries. The polls are gonna get tighter as they always have and Trump may indeed take a small lead by the his convention

269-269 tie and way back to White House is thru the R delegation in the House

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We still have 6 mnths til the election here and incumbent approvals tend to lag. Bush Sr came back in the final days of the campaign but as we know Ross Perot cost his reelection,  Bush W came back and so did Obama. There has been no campaigning

Biden will replicate the 279 EC map but a wipe out is far from assured

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All Trump has to do is allow Leader McConnell to sign Dem Bill's sent over from Speaker Pelosi, minimum wage increase and campaign finance reform and allow vote by mail by bailing out the Post Office and do and triangulation like Bush W did. But, those are McCain ideas too, and McCain isnt there, any longer

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump isnt at 49 percent and Biden isnt up by 8 either
 Trump is at 46 percent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Contrary to the MSN polls that show LA as a battleground state which it isnt CO and KS can give Dems 271 votes to secure the EC map and KS would give Dems the Senate majority with Barb Bollier. KS has replaced IA as the Bellwether of the election with its 6 EC votes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

LA is a Trump +20 state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It does indeed looks like a wave, Biden +5 and the changes Biden would make is testing before you go to work, which Trump could do and he wont do it. Just like many things Trump can do like sign campaign finance reform and minimum wage increase, and free college tuition. Which is very sad, that Trump wont triangulate like Bush W did in the aftermath of Enron.

KS would go Dem in such scenario, and is the new Iowa

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's not the only reason why Trump is losing,  he is losing because he is corrupt as well and voters still remember he has been impeached.  He wont sign campaign finance reform and raise minimum wage that will be income inequality or corruption.

That's why the job handling of COVID 19 isnt affecting his electability, he is still corrupt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

COVID-19 will be dealt with by the Fall, anyways, NFL, and NBA plan on playing in the fall. Its gonna go back to income inequality and corruption, it's not good for Dems to put all their eggs in Trump's poor response to COVID 19.

A nationwide shutdown isnt gonna last until Nov 3rd that is wishful thinking

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Schools and restuarants will be open by the Fall, except for colleges which are going on line. They are already opening up in the South. Trump's response will improve, by the Fall, that's why Dems are gonna have to go back to issues by then, too. Joe Biden already said he expects this.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The country is getting ready to open up, Trump approvals are gonna improve

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The country is getting ready to open up, Trump approvals are gonna improve

45 thousand people are still dead and we are still in recession
So no trump is not going to improve at all........

if anything his approval going to get a lot worse since the 1000 dollar checks trump has been hyping up wont be nearly enough to help many as this recession drags on over the next few months

I predict there will be A backlash against both trump and the GOP once people really start to feel the pain of this ongoing recession

The only thing is that Trunp will remind the voters Dems are gonna raise taxes just like he did against Hilary and the South will go R. Voters like their rebates but cringe when it comes to tax cuts in the South except VA.

The North will still vote for Biden as they are entitlement states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There will be a backlash but it isnt gonna be an EC landslide, its gonna be reverse of 2016, with MI/PA/WI flips and Dems gain AZ, CO, ME, NC in the Senate; whereas, Dems should of won PA and WI Senate seats, in 2016. BIDEN is up 3 to 5 points not 6 to 10 and will choose Warren or Yates as Veepstakes