NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)

[dax00]

Biden's vote share most likely will fall somewhat over time. Current results on CNN is somewhat Clark County heavy and as that gets normalized the weak Biden levels of support outside of Clark County will drag down his vote share.  He is still likely to be ahead of Buttigieg overall at the end of the day.

The NYT page has no results from Washoe County. I don't know what that means for individual candidate support (Biden, Pete, etc.), but nothing from the second most populated county in the state means the current results aren't representative of what the final results will likely be.

Clark has like 5 times more people than Washoe

[2016]

Biden's vote share most likely will fall somewhat over time. Current results on CNN is somewhat Clark County heavy and as that gets normalized the weak Biden levels of support outside of Clark County will drag down his vote share.  He is still likely to be ahead of Buttigieg overall at the end of the day.

The NYT page has no results from Washoe County. I don't know what that means for individual candidate support (Biden, Pete, etc.), but nothing from the second most populated county in the state means the current results aren't representative of what the final results will likely be.

They have Votes and State Delegates from Washoe BUT only 10 % reporting. Buttigieg is beating Biden by almost 10 Points, has double the State Delegates Biden has (50-25).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bernie will be the next Prez, Bernie is surging at right time and not even Trump can stop Bernie

[One Term Floridian]

So far, it seems like fantastic results for Bernie, good/decent for Biden and downright terrible for everyone else.

[jaichind]

Biden's odds in SC are rising in betting markets.

[2016]

Biden's vote share most likely will fall somewhat over time. Current results on CNN is somewhat Clark County heavy and as that gets normalized the weak Biden levels of support outside of Clark County will drag down his vote share.  He is still likely to be ahead of Buttigieg overall at the end of the day.

The NYT page has no results from Washoe County. I don't know what that means for individual candidate support (Biden, Pete, etc.), but nothing from the second most populated county in the state means the current results aren't representative of what the final results will likely be.

Clark has like 5 times more people than Washoe

Yes, but most of the Clark Vote is Inner City Las Vegas or North Las Vegas. That's why Bernies & Bidens Vote Share will fall once the suburbs begin to report.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who cares, about Biden winning SC, Bloomberg isnt in the ballot and ST, Bloomberg will split moderate votes away from Biden. Bernie will get most of the delegates here in Cali

[Amtrak Joe]

S A N D S L I D E
A
N
D
S
L
I
D
E

2 0 2 0
0
2
0

Just like the Corbynslide 2019

Glad you cannot vote in my country.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Boris Johnson isnt corrupt like Trump, and Theresa May was the Trump of England and she retired

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Well y’all, it’s time to put your #BlueNoMatterWho bonafides to the test and commit to the glorious revolution of our comrade and Supreme Leader Bernard Sanders.  

[NOVA Green]

Carson City: (17/20) precincts officially reporting....

1,697 Attendance

Final Allocation:

Bernie: 38.0%
Amy:    20.3%
Pete:    14.3%
Steyer:  9.0%
Warren: 8.4%
Biden:   5.4%

[Amtrak Joe]

Well y’all, it’s time to put your #BlueNoMatterWho bonafides to the test and commit to the glorious revolution of our comrade and Supreme Leader Bernard Sanders.  

I updated my 2020 prediction for your "glorious revolution." There's no hope for this country it seems, or the world as a whole.

[Oryxslayer]

Biden's vote share most likely will fall somewhat over time. Current results on CNN is somewhat Clark County heavy and as that gets normalized the weak Biden levels of support outside of Clark County will drag down his vote share.  He is still likely to be ahead of Buttigieg overall at the end of the day.

The NYT page has no results from Washoe County. I don't know what that means for individual candidate support (Biden, Pete, etc.), but nothing from the second most populated county in the state means the current results aren't representative of what the final results will likely be.

Clark has like 5 times more people than Washoe

Yes, but most of the Clark Vote is Inner City Las Vegas or North Las Vegas. That's why Bernies & Bidens Vote Share will fall once the suburbs begin to report.

To put this in perspective, here is NYT's map. most of Clark's Minority communities are to the right of the diagonal line or just over it in the center of Las Vegas. It's generally Hispanics, but nearly all of Nevada's AAs are in North Las Vegas. The the south and west of the line are the whiter parts - some GOP, some Democratic, some swingy. At least to me, it appears that there is more empty space to the South and west than to the North and East. So Pete's Clark share will likely rise, and Biden's will fall.

[One Term Floridian]

Boris Johnson isnt corrupt like Trump, and Theresa May was the Trump of England and she retired

Lol no.

[2016]

42,170 Votes have been counted per NBC.

[Mr. Morden]

CNN's statewide popular vote tally is now 34% reporting, and works out to...

Initial preference:
Sanders 34%
Biden 19%
Buttigieg 16%
Warren 13%
Klobuchar 9%
Steyer 9%

Reallocated preference:
Sanders 41%
Biden 22%
Buttigieg 18%
Warren 11%
Klobuchar 6%
Steyer 3%

[atheist4thecause]

Boris Johnson isnt corrupt like Trump, and Theresa May was the Trump of England and she retired

This shows you know nothing about British politics. May was the Establishment candidate that voters hated. Johnson was the outsider that the voters loved. It's really Nigel Farage is the Trump of England but Farage didn't want to run things.

Anyways, it looks like the Biden Firewall is kicking in. He's 2nd right now and will finish in a strong position, wherever it is. He's still leading in South Carolina and with the strong finish tonight he's going to carry momentum.

[Storr]

Boris Johnson isnt corrupt like Trump, and Theresa May was the Trump of England and she retired

Lol no.

The only thing giving me pause about being ok with Bernie as the probable nominee is that Olawakandi now supports him, evidently.

[2016]

Biden's vote share most likely will fall somewhat over time. Current results on CNN is somewhat Clark County heavy and as that gets normalized the weak Biden levels of support outside of Clark County will drag down his vote share.  He is still likely to be ahead of Buttigieg overall at the end of the day.

The NYT page has no results from Washoe County. I don't know what that means for individual candidate support (Biden, Pete, etc.), but nothing from the second most populated county in the state means the current results aren't representative of what the final results will likely be.

Clark has like 5 times more people than Washoe

Yes, but most of the Clark Vote is Inner City Las Vegas or North Las Vegas. That's why Bernies & Bidens Vote Share will fall once the suburbs begin to report.

To put this in perspective, here is NYT's map. most of Clark's Minority communities are to the right of the diagonal line or just over it in the center of Las Vegas. It's generally Hispanics, but nearly all of Nevada's AAs are in North Las Vegas. The the south and west of the line are the whiter parts - some GOP, some Democratic, some swingy. At least to me, it appears that there is more empty space to the South and west than to the North and East. So Pete's Clark share will likely rise, and Biden's will fall.

Thanks for the kind explanation. You've likely nailed it here.

[Horus]

Looks like a lot of Steyer voters are from the heavily black precincts. Steyer wants Bernie to love him but his supporters seem more like the Biden type.. wonder where they'll go since he'll probably drop out in a week or two

[Pericles]

If Biden wins South Carolina by like 5 points, that would still be a bad result for him and he would not suddenly be on track for the nomination. If Biden gets a double digit win or pretty close to it then a comeback is more plausible but not likely. South Carolina is not the bellwether no matter how much Biden wishes it is.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Well y’all, it’s time to put your #BlueNoMatterWho bonafides to the test and commit to the glorious revolution of our comrade and Supreme Leader Bernard Sanders.  

I updated my 2020 prediction for your "glorious revolution." There's no hope for this country it seems, or the world as a whole.

At least we won’t be forced to decide between two racist, perverted, misogynistic, billionaires from New York — thank God.

[Oryxslayer]

42,170 Votes have been counted per NBC.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1231414127265927170?s=19

[One Term Floridian]

Well y’all, it’s time to put your #BlueNoMatterWho bonafides to the test and commit to the glorious revolution of our comrade and Supreme Leader Bernard Sanders.  

I updated my 2020 prediction for your "glorious revolution." There's no hope for this country it seems, or the world as a whole.

At least we won’t be forced to decide between two racist, perverted, misogynistic, billionaires from New York — thank God.

Not even a Bernie fan but this we can agree with lmao

[ElectionsGuy]

Let's be real: Nevada is a fast-growing state and the option of early voting has been introduced. Turnout should be a decent amount higher than 2008 this year if Democrats should feel confident about their enthusiasm. If they only beat it by a little bit that's not too great.