NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Does anyone know if the early votes are already included in those NYT numbers ?

Early votes aren't separate precincts.

[Bidenworth2020]

Bernie keeps winning more precincts people are reporting on twitter:

https://twitter.com/itsnotjessica/status/1231329318774534144

https://twitter.com/LordMomanga/status/1231329498399817728

https://twitter.com/beaversandbrush/status/1231329499398037504

One where Warren is also doing well, Bernie-Warren tie! That seems to be a rarity:

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1231329933424840711

Looks like Biden will come in second, but the question at this point is really does it even matter?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1231331390865596416

[GP270watch]

 These incoming results are slaying the conventional wisdom. Bernie is doing great across the board. Amy and Pete dropping out might just be a wash for Biden since Bernie seems to be within a few percentage points of him with self described moderate voters. He is also doing better than expected with African American voters. He is also doing really great with Latinos, and seems to be turning out Latinos who were never engaged in the political process.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Does anyone know if the early votes are already included in those NYT numbers ?

Yes, all actual results reported include early vote.

[dax00]

Does anyone know if the early votes are already included in those NYT numbers ?

All the official numbers coming out have early votes factored in. Otherwise, it would have been impossible to do any math.

[atheist4thecause]

Buttigieg getting so personal with Klobuchar is really hurting him. He has alienating Klobuchar supporters, who are now refusing to help him get viable.

No, it’s the other way around:

Klob was first to attack him on the debate stage a few months ago ...

They both did nothing but split the moderate vote from Biden and helped Bernie.

You mean that Biden split the moderate vote from Klobuchar. Klobuchar has more delegates than Biden.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Bernie Sanders now giving his victory speech in El Paso, TX. He graciously accepts the nomination of the Democratic Party.

[Lourdes]

https://twitter.com/Analilia_Mejia/status/1231327373506699264

[Holmes]

Does anyone know if the early votes are already included in those NYT numbers ?

Yes, early votes are included in first and second round vote totals.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Getting 2nd place to Sanders by ~25 points is probably not the “momentum” Biden needs to stay afloat in SC

[We Live in Black and White]

If these numbers stay even remotely steady throughout the night, there will be absolutely no way for the media to spin this. To get really really really 90s, Nevada will be Bernie's Limit Break.

[Gracile]

It looks like Warren just jumped ahead of Buttigieg in terms of CCDs on the NYT site, though she's still in 4th place.

[atheist4thecause]

If Sanders is that strong with Hispanics, he easily will win NV in a GE.

But probably lose a couple of big midwest states.

Being strong with Hispanics doesn't mean you have to be weaker with white people. The only people who are repulsed by the idea that Hispanics are voting for their guy are already Trump voters. In any case, it is possible that a strong showing among minorities could bring black turnout back up in the midwest and more than offset a drop in white support.

Like I said, Moderator Ye doesn't allow legitimate on-topic points about Sanders being extreme and his success in the voting today showing the Democratic Party is extreme, but Moderator Ye will allow open season on Trump in an off-topic and trolly manner based on the standards Moderator Ye has already set. This is not the first time this Israeli has said this. He has droned on-and-on in this manner. Sad!

Atheist, for your own benefit, I suggest you stop there.  You're going down a road that you don't want to take.  

--

Does Klobuchar drop out now?

I figure she stays on through Minnesota on 3/3. 

What road is that? What I said was perfect. You're making false assumptions that I find offensive and you need to stop.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Bernie is in first place
Biden in second
Steyer in third
Warren in fourth
Buttigieg in fifth
Klobuchar in sixth
Gabbard in seventh
Only 1% reporting

[Tender Branson]

0.9% of the precincts reporting.

20/2.097 precincts.

2.500 first preference votes in.

Projected turnout: 250.000 votes

This is taking too long for my taste.

I’m going to sleep and see what the results are in the morning.

[We Live in Black and White]

It looks like Warren just jumped ahead of Buttigieg in terms of CCDs on the NYT site, though she's still in 4th place.

I think this is the end. Still all my respect to her for that ballistic last stand in the debate.

[Bidenworth2020]

Getting 2nd place to Sanders by ~25 points is probably not the “momentum” Biden needs to stay afloat in SC

Only question for him really is if Pete/Klob get embarrassed enough here to drop out.

[BP🌹]

People talk about suburban voters in Maricopa, but goddamn Bernie might just turbocharge nonvoting Hispanics, if going by these results, in a GE.

Hillary crushed him with Hispanics in 2016 and that didnt translate much to the GE.

Did she make the same efforts toward low-propensity communities like Bell, California as he has this time around?

[YE]

Keep in mind Henderson and Summerlin and parts of Spark should be very friendly towards Buttigeg and Klobuchar and less so for Biden and Sanders and I haven't seen much from there.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Overwhelming Bernie win in heavily Hispanic precinct:

https://twitter.com/makeroadactNV/status/1231326904214413312

[Statilius the Epicurean]

People talk about suburban voters in Maricopa, but goddamn Bernie might just turbocharge nonvoting Hispanics, if going by these results, in a GE.

Hillary crushed him with Hispanics in 2016 and that didnt translate much to the GE.

Hispanic turnout was very strong in 2016, kept states like Nevada blue despite a huge surge in rural turnout for Trump.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

People talk about suburban voters in Maricopa, but goddamn Bernie might just turbocharge nonvoting Hispanics, if going by these results, in a GE.

Hillary crushed him with Hispanics in 2016 and that didnt translate much to the GE.

Bernie isn't Hillary.

[Oryxslayer]

Okay, I have the answer to the discrepancy between first and final round votes.

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1231331562366607364?s=19

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

We’re getting a preglimpse of the upcoming California landslide