Rate the House in a Trump vs. Sanders Race

[Frodo]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

[ElectionsGuy]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

No more imperiled than it otherwise would be...

[We Live in Black and White]

It will not be. Stop s**tting your pants and try - just try, I beg of you - to have at least a rudimentary grasp of politics and the trends thereof.

[here2view]

House is Safe D regardless of the nominee.

[Tekken_Guy]

Likely D. I can’t see more than 10 Democrats lose their seats.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely D

[Frenchrepublican]

House is Safe D Likely D regardless of the nominee.

[Frenchrepublican]

The identity of the presidential nominee will likely hardly matter for the House.

The main problem for republicans is that they have failed to recruit strong challengers in many must win congressional districts (think about WI-3, MI-8, MI-11, NY-19), thus their chances of taking back the house are fairly low (around 15% to 20%) no matter who will run against Trump

[Orser67]

Likely D. I think the identity of the Democratic presidential nominee could have a strong impact on control of the Senate, but I doubt Democrats would lose by a large enough margin to imperil the House. On the other hand, I'm not ready to completely rule it out this far from the election.

[coloradocowboi]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

No more imperiled than it otherwise would be...

[Frodo]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

No more imperiled than it otherwise would be...

So you want people to take a leap of faith on Bernie Sanders when we are staring at the prospect of losing the House and other down-ballot races if he is nominated?  

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean D

[ElectionsGuy]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

No more imperiled than it otherwise would be...

So you want people to take a leap of faith on Bernie Sanders when we are staring at the prospect of losing the House and other down-ballot races if he is nominated?  

You're the one taking the leap of faith presuming that nominating Bernie Sanders comes with losing the house. There's no evidence to suggest that, only decades of conventional wisdom and brainwashing that farther left = less electable.

[We Live in Black and White]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

No more imperiled than it otherwise would be...

So you want people to take a leap of faith on Bernie Sanders when we are staring at the prospect of losing the House and other down-ballot races if he is nominated?  

I see it's peak "knowing nothing at all about politics and trends" hours again.

[Frodo]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

No more imperiled than it otherwise would be...

So you want people to take a leap of faith on Bernie Sanders when we are staring at the prospect of losing the House and other down-ballot races if he is nominated?  

I see it's peak "knowing nothing at all about politics and trends" hours again.

Instead of condescending to me, and telling me the equivalent of 'do your own research' (that I simply do not have the time or inclination to do), why don't you use your undoubtedly vast reservoir of knowledge and explain why I am wrong to think the way I do?  Because your approach isn't assuaging any of my concerns that I regard as reasonable.  And I highly doubt I am alone in this. 

[We Live in Black and White]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

No more imperiled than it otherwise would be...

So you want people to take a leap of faith on Bernie Sanders when we are staring at the prospect of losing the House and other down-ballot races if he is nominated?  

I see it's peak "knowing nothing at all about politics and trends" hours again.

Instead of condescending to me, and telling me the equivalent of 'do your own research' (that I simply do not have the time or inclination to do), why don't you use your undoubtedly vast reservoir of knowledge and explain why I am wrong to think the way I do?  Because your approach isn't assuaging any of my concerns that I regard as reasonable.  And I highly doubt I am alone in this.  

I say what I say because I seriously need to know: are you naive enough to believe that candidate ideology matters to the point of costing us suburban seats that are trending massively leftward and that, in some cases, we won by significant margins? Because I can very safely assure you that it doesn't. The moderates we picked up in Virginia and California are seriously not likely to suddenly decide to like Trump, who was the keystone reason they bolted from the GOP in the first place, just because we nominated Bernie Sanders.

Also, if you're willing to admit that you don't actually want to do research, maybe you shouldn't be on a political forum.

[Frodo]

Basically, how imperiled will our majority in the House be if Bernie Sanders becomes our nominee?

No more imperiled than it otherwise would be...

So you want people to take a leap of faith on Bernie Sanders when we are staring at the prospect of losing the House and other down-ballot races if he is nominated?  

I see it's peak "knowing nothing at all about politics and trends" hours again.

Instead of condescending to me, and telling me the equivalent of 'do your own research' (that I simply do not have the time or inclination to do), why don't you use your undoubtedly vast reservoir of knowledge and explain why I am wrong to think the way I do?  Because your approach isn't assuaging any of my concerns that I regard as reasonable.  And I highly doubt I am alone in this.  

I say what I say because I seriously need to know: are you naive enough to believe that candidate ideology matters to the point of costing us suburban seats that are trending massively leftward and that, in some cases, we won by significant margins? Because I can very safely assure you that it doesn't. The moderates we picked up in Virginia and California are seriously not likely to suddenly decide to like Trump, who was the keystone reason they bolted from the GOP in the first place, just because we nominated Bernie Sanders.

Bernie Sanders is perceived as a radical given his history with the Soviet Union, Cuba, and Nicaragua.  That already makes voters nervous about the prospect of him as President of the United States.  If you combine his problematic background with the likely astronomical costs to middle-class taxpayers of his policy proposals like Medicare-for-All, Tuition-Free College, and the Green New Deal, it looks like a disaster-in-the-making to anyone not already supporting Bernie Sanders. If you think that will not be taken advantage of by Republicans up and down the ballot, perhaps it is you who suffers from projection as severely as some of our dear friends on the right.

Voters (at most) want reform, not revolution.  At least this election cycle.  

Also, if you're willing to admit that you don't actually want to do research, maybe you shouldn't be on a political forum.

I post here because I am interested in politics, and I enjoy interacting with (and learning from) those who know more about it than I do.  Just because my approach is more casual than you prefer is hardly reason for me to banish myself from this forum because it suits you.  If (God willing) I eventually stop posting here semi-permanently, it will be because I have outgrown this place, and left out of my own volition, not because I was prompted to.