These are naturally decent numbers for Sanders being tied in VA, and for whatever reason folks seem to forget about an extremely large Asian-American, and Latino-American population within NOVA...
VA will likely be relatively close in the '20 DEM PRIM, and Bernie is doing much better among the Black, Brown, and Asian Minority voters than he did in '16.
Sure White Wealthy folks do their own thang.... Bernie will not rack up margins in the rural White Communities like he did in '16....
Coalitions shift, Coalitions change.... nobody is a hater on either sides of the Democratic Civil War.
Still, the future is coming and many 45+ are worrying, and although they are a fearin' that Trump might be able to close the deal, they are still listening to the Siren songs of their Children and Grandchildren knowin' that a New Earth and a New Future is singing upon the waves....
I agree with you first point about NOVA as it’s extremely diverse in terms of ethnicity and income. Rural VA has a lot of college towns in the mix so I’m not sure. Virginia Tech, UVA, James Madison etc.
A geographic cross tab would be helpful. I’ve lived all over VA as it is my home state yet I moved away Each area is like a different world. It’s an interesting state.
There is a geographic breakdown, but into 3 very broad areas ("East" includes Hampton Roads, Richmond, & varied rural areas):
JB BS EW PB AK MB TG O U
15% 21% 9% 7% 12% 26% 0% 1% 9% NoVa CD8\10\11
19% 25% 2% 14% 7% 21% 2% 0% 11% East CD1\2\3\4\7
22% 19% 5% 9% 10% 19% 1% 0% 16% West CD5\6\9
btw Steyer's on the ballot, right? Why wasn't he included in the poll?
Thanks!
I grew up in CD2 (military family that is still there), undergrad CD9 and grad school in CD8/11. Yes, very broad. These groupings are so dissimilar it doesn’t tell us much. 3 and 4 are distinctly different west of Suffolk. North of Newport News to Richmond are more like 5 and 7. 8/11 and eastern portion of 10 is not considered “VA” by the rest of the state, it’s “DC”. It may be the only grouping that makes sense.
Yes, Steyer is on the ballot. Not sure why he wasn’t polled.
