TX: Bernie +2; Bernie 24 - Biden 22 - Warren 15 - Bloomberg 10 (U. TX/TX Trib.)

[Florida Man for Crime]

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/02/14/bernie-sanders-leading-texas-ahead-super-tuesday-uttt-poll-says/

https://twitter.com/evanasmith/status/1228197466010292224



Bernie 24 (+12)
Biden 22 (-1)
Warren 15 (-3)
Bloomberg 10 (+10)
Buttigieg 7 (+1)
Yang 6 (+2)
Klobuchar 3 (+1)
Steyer 3 (+3)
Gabbard 2 (+0)
Others 8 +3)

note in the previous poll from November 2019, Beto O'Rourke had 14%.

[Hindsight was 2020]

NUT

[OSR stands with Israel]

Disaster

[EliteLX]

RIP in peace Joseph

[Eraserhead]

I'm surprised Warren is doing as well as she is.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Incredible news for Mister Bernie!!!  

[Hydera]

Makes me wonder if Warren leads in Oklahoma. Perhaps her strongest parts will be the Texas part bordering the state. Along with the weird conservatives still registered as democrats who are basically voting for the most anglo sounding candidate/name as a protest.

[DrScholl]

OMG JESUS IS COMING THROUGH FOR BERNIE! HE'S ALREADY PRESIDENT!

If only we could get Trump to drop out, then Bernie would really be on easy street!

Sarcasm aside, with AOC throwing Medicare for All under the bus, it's clear that Sanders strategy is to move to the center in order to pick up delegates in states less favorable to him.

[cvparty]

this was conducted from 1/31 to 2/9, weird time frame but good poll for bernie

[Eraserhead]

It should be noted that this poll was done completely before New Hampshire... a little bit of it was even done before Iowa.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Makes me wonder if Warren leads in Oklahoma. Perhaps her strongest parts will be the Texas part bordering the state. Along with the weird conservatives still registered as democrats who are basically voting for the most anglo sounding candidate/name as a protest.

My guess is Warren's strongest area will probably be around Austin (if her support doesn't all bleed away in the meantime, anyway). But early voting is about to begin in TX in a few days. So these #s are going to start getting baked in by actual voting.

[AtorBoltox]

It should be noted that this poll was done completely before New Hampshire... a little bit of it was even done before Iowa.

You think Bernie would have risen after his victories?

[cvparty]

change from oct if anyone’s interested:

Sanders 24 (+12)
Biden 22 (-1)
Warren 15 (-3)
Bloomberg 10 (NE)
Buttigieg 7 (+1)
Yang 6 (+2)
Klobuchar 3 (+1)
Steyer 3 (NE)
Gabbard 2 (=)
dropped out: O’Rourke (14), Harris (5), Castro (2)

[Florida Man for Crime]

It should be noted that this poll was done completely before New Hampshire... a little bit of it was even done before Iowa.

You think Bernie would have risen after his victories?

That makes sense. In that case, this is not just a good poll for Bernie, but an amazing one. And to think that in 2016 he lost TX in a landslide. His coalition is clearly pretty different in 2020 than it was in 2016.

[Xing]

If Sanders really does win TX and get a decisive win in CA, the nomination will be his to lose. I want to see more polls to see if this is actually close to accurate, but it’s worth noting that Sanders really didn’t compete in Texas in 2016, and he’s very strong with Latinos this time around, so he might just pull this off.

[Statilius the Epicurean]

Makes me wonder if Warren leads in Oklahoma.

no

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

this was conducted from 1/31 to 2/9, weird time frame but good poll for bernie

Those pollsters always have odd 8-day polling windows, then releasing them a week afterwards.

Nonetheless, the Bernie camp certainly knows the windows of opportunity are open. He'll be holding a rally in Dallas later tonight (Friday) & they just opened a field office in Houston. More offices will be opening over the weekend in Dallas, San Antonio & McAllen in time for early voting.

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/politics/texas/article/Bernie-Sanders-campaign-opening-new-offices-in-15047201.php



Forget California, Texas is the real prize now!

[Terry the Fat Shark]

I'm surprised Warren is doing as well as she is.

Because it's YouGov, who have been Warren's best pollster consistently.

[Oryxslayer]

If 4-5 candidates are getting delegates from TX and CA, then we basically have a divided convention right there. Too many delegates would be lost and now in the rear-view mirror. This poll suggests that such an outcome is not just possible, but very likely considering how many factors they havn't or have yet to capture like Yang, Warren, potentially Bidens collapse, and potentially more Bloomberg AA growth.

[Walmart_shopper]

Bernito Sanders.

[ElectionsGuy]

Since this was done pre-NH and some even pre-IA, we can reasonably assume Biden and Warren are doing worse while Bloomberg, Sanders, and Buttigieg doing slightly better.

[Skill and Chance]

I mean if Texas goes for Bernie the primary is pretty much over. 

[Sbane]

I mean if Texas goes for Bernie the primary is pretty much over. 

Not if Biden, Warren, Bloomberg and Buttigieg end up taking delegates from here. Same deal over in California.

[We Live in Black and White]

Jesus H. Christ.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

I mean if Texas goes for Bernie the primary is pretty much over. 

Not if Biden, Warren, Bloomberg and Buttigieg end up taking delegates from here. Same deal over in California.

If Bernie enters the convention with the plurality of delegates but isn’t the nominee there will be riots