Predict the third-party vote share.
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Predict the third-party vote share.
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Poll
Question: What percentage of the vote will candidates other than Trump and the Democratic nominee get in the general election?
#1
0-2%
 
#2
2-4%
 
#3
4-6%
 
#4
6+%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 11

Author Topic: Predict the third-party vote share.  (Read 137 times)
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,565
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« on: February 13, 2020, 12:44:12 PM »

My guess is 2-4%.
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,066
United States


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« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2020, 12:47:39 PM »

I feel like this depends a lot on whether the media decides to include the Libertarian and Green nominees in most of their general election polls, like they did in 2016.  Just listing them in polls in the first place gives the media an excuse to talk about them and give them exposure, and that leads to more support, IMHO.  Not yet sure if that'll happen.
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