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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  AL-Mason Dixon: Sessions +13, Tuberville +8, Byrne +9 over Jones
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Author Topic: AL-Mason Dixon: Sessions +13, Tuberville +8, Byrne +9 over Jones  (Read 1155 times)
gracile
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« on: February 12, 2020, 10:45:25 am »
« edited: February 12, 2020, 10:51:09 am by Councilor Gracile »

https://www.aldailynews.com/new-alabama-poll-shows-tight-race-for-u-s-senate/

Jeff Sessions (R) 54%
Doug Jones (D-inc) 41%

Bradley Byrne (R) 51%
Doug Jones (D-inc) 42%

Tommy Tuberville (R) 50%
Doug Jones (D-inc) 42%

They also polled a bunch of primary scenarios too, but here is the horserace before the runoff:

Jeff Sessions 31%
Tommy Tuberville 29%
Bradley Byrne 17%
Roy Moore 5%
Other 2%
Undecided 16%
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2020, 10:48:53 am »

Sessions (R) 54
Jones (D, inc.) 41

Tuberville (R) 50
Jones (D, inc.) 42

Byrne (R) 51
Jones (D, inc.) 42

Jones favorability: 32/47

GOP Primary:
Sessions 31
Tuberville 29
Byrne 17
Moore 5

Runoff:
Sessions 49
Tuberville 42

Sessions 48
Byrne 35

https://www.aldailynews.com/new-alabama-poll-shows-tight-race-for-u-s-senate/
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Governor R2D2 (Biden/Harris 2020 Edition)
20RP12
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« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2020, 11:09:31 am »

Jones is toast, unfortunately Sad
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2020, 11:10:16 am »

Yeah, it's very hard to see how Jones wins at this point.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2020, 11:14:47 am »

We get so many polls from AL, AZ, NC. They wont bother to poll MA Dem primary
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Daines' Bipartisan Billsô
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« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2020, 11:20:28 am »
« Edited: February 12, 2020, 11:27:26 am by Titanium Tilt R North Carolina »

"Tight race for Senate" lmao

Even the NRSC probably isnít incompetent enough to blow this race.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2020, 11:28:23 am »

Jones is DOA. No point polling this race anymore.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #7 on: February 12, 2020, 11:54:56 am »

Not surprising, and it's notable that Sessions polls the best out of all the Republicans. This is because he is the prior incumbent, and thus has higher name recognition than Tuberville or Byrne.
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RJ
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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2020, 12:22:50 pm »

LOL at Tuberville. I wonder if Nick Saban could win this seat if he ran as a Democrat?
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #9 on: February 12, 2020, 12:37:43 pm »

Jones is going to lose as badly as Maddox did.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #10 on: February 12, 2020, 03:02:01 pm »
« Edited: February 12, 2020, 03:09:14 pm by Frenchrepublican »

Itís a great thing that AL conservative leaning voters are not as much gullible than their WV counterparts.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #11 on: February 12, 2020, 03:03:30 pm »


Fortunately
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #12 on: February 12, 2020, 03:06:18 pm »

"Tight race for Senate" lmao

Even the NRSC probably isnít incompetent enough to blow this race.

Well, they blew the WV Sen race..... donít you think thatís enough already ?
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President Johnson
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« Reply #13 on: February 12, 2020, 03:08:31 pm »

Better than expected, but Jones is doomed anyway. Hopefully the next Attorney General, who can restore honor to the Justice Department after Trump lapdog Barr.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #14 on: February 12, 2020, 03:11:09 pm »

Better than expected, but Jones is doomed anyway. Hopefully the next Attorney General, who can restore honor to the Justice Department after Trump lapdog Barr.

The next AG ? First, you need to take back the presidency and it seems that #SenileJoe has some problems at the moment.
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: February 12, 2020, 04:05:51 pm »

Pretty much Safe R, at this point.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #16 on: February 12, 2020, 04:22:29 pm »

Better than expected, but Jones is doomed anyway. Hopefully the next Attorney General, who can restore honor to the Justice Department after Trump lapdog Barr.

The next AG ? First, you need to take back the presidency and it seems that #SenileJoe has some problems at the moment.

Jonea wont be AG, Holder was AG for Obama. Likely, Klobuchar,  in a Bernie Admin, since she is on Judicial Cmte.

French Republican doesnt realize QU was right on Bernie winning NH and Bernie is ahead of Trump 50-42. A 2012 landslide is 51-47 Obama v Romney
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #17 on: February 12, 2020, 05:01:19 pm »

Pretty much Safe R, at this point.

It was always Safe R. The only question is if Jones loses by 15 points, 20 points, or even more.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #18 on: February 12, 2020, 05:43:14 pm »

Pretty much Safe R, at this point.

It was always Safe R. The only question is if Jones loses by 15 points, 20 points, or even more.

I wouldnt be so sure about this race, there is a poll that has Jones only down by 8
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2016
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« Reply #19 on: February 12, 2020, 06:17:33 pm »

This Race bascially confirms one important METRIC:

Democrats will need to win a NET GAIN of 4 Senate Seats in November if they win the Presidency or a NET GAIN of 5 Senate Seats if Trump gets reelected.

Given the Democrats lackluster Senate Recruitment this Cycle even getting this 4 Seat Net Gain will be a stretch.

The only two big Candidates Dems got are in AZ & CO.

ME: Sara Gideon will not beat Susan Collins
GA-1: Theresa Tomlinson will not beat David Perdue
NC: Cal Cunningham will not beat Thom Tillis
and IA: Greenfield will not beat Ernst.

Dems need 2 out of these 4 Races with the Alabama Race all but lost.
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UWS
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« Reply #20 on: February 12, 2020, 06:34:30 pm »

This Race bascially confirms one important METRIC:

Democrats will need to win a NET GAIN of 4 Senate Seats in November if they win the Presidency or a NET GAIN of 5 Senate Seats if Trump gets reelected.

Given the Democrats lackluster Senate Recruitment this Cycle even getting this 4 Seat Net Gain will be a stretch.

The only two big Candidates Dems got are in AZ & CO.

ME: Sara Gideon will not beat Susan Collins
GA-1: Theresa Tomlinson will not beat David Perdue
NC: Cal Cunningham will not beat Thom Tillis
and IA: Greenfield will not beat Ernst.

Dems need 2 out of these 4 Races with the Alabama Race all but lost.

And I think the Republicans' chances to keep Senate increased as Biden is struggling and if Sanders is the nominee.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #21 on: February 12, 2020, 06:52:39 pm »

This Race bascially confirms one important METRIC:

Democrats will need to win a NET GAIN of 4 Senate Seats in November if they win the Presidency or a NET GAIN of 5 Senate Seats if Trump gets reelected.

Given the Democrats lackluster Senate Recruitment this Cycle even getting this 4 Seat Net Gain will be a stretch.

The only two big Candidates Dems got are in AZ & CO.

ME: Sara Gideon will not beat Susan Collins
GA-1: Theresa Tomlinson will not beat David Perdue
NC: Cal Cunningham will not beat Thom Tillis
and IA: Greenfield will not beat Ernst.

Dems need 2 out of these 4 Races with the Alabama Race all but lost.

Polls this far out are meaningless on the Congressional ballot when Dems dont have a nominee

And Dems in 2018 at this state were only supposed to net  10-18 seats and we netted 40

ME, AZ, CO, KS and NC are winnable, in 9 mnths
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UWS
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« Reply #22 on: February 12, 2020, 06:56:23 pm »

This Race bascially confirms one important METRIC:

Democrats will need to win a NET GAIN of 4 Senate Seats in November if they win the Presidency or a NET GAIN of 5 Senate Seats if Trump gets reelected.

Given the Democrats lackluster Senate Recruitment this Cycle even getting this 4 Seat Net Gain will be a stretch.

The only two big Candidates Dems got are in AZ & CO.

ME: Sara Gideon will not beat Susan Collins
GA-1: Theresa Tomlinson will not beat David Perdue
NC: Cal Cunningham will not beat Thom Tillis
and IA: Greenfield will not beat Ernst.

Dems need 2 out of these 4 Races with the Alabama Race all but lost.

Polls this far out are meaningless on the Congressional ballot when Dems dont have a nominee

And Dems in 2018 at this state were only supposed to net  10-18 seats and we netted 40

ME, AZ, CO, KS and NC are winnable, in 9 mnths

I think it depends on whether Biden wins the nomination.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #23 on: February 13, 2020, 03:10:01 am »

Looks legit. 41-42% is about what Jones will get.
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Lemme tell you how Bernie can still win in 2016 & 2020
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« Reply #24 on: February 13, 2020, 03:24:12 pm »

Wtf these look like fantastic #s for Jones! Safe R.
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