Could Collins become even more vulnerable than McSally

[OSR stands with Israel]

Given their states

[MT Treasurer]

No, I get that "Collins is DOA" has kind of become a meme but she’s definitely not more likely to lose than McSally.

[KaiserDave]

No no no

Collins is still in this.

McSally.....eeeehhh

[Pericles]

Well Trump is going to do better in Arizona than in Maine. I would be a bit surprised if this were the case, but an unlikely but possible scenario is Collins not overperforming or barely overperforming Trump. Or alternatively if Maine has a surprisingly large shift back to the Democrats. That said, I think it is more likely that McSally loses than that Collins loses. My feeling is that AZ is Tossup/Tilt D while ME is Tilt to Lean R.

[Galeel]

Maine isn't that blue of a state. It's no Colorado. Collins only has to outrun Trump by a few points to win.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Maine isn't that blue of a state. It's no Colorado. Collins only has to outrun Trump by a few points to win.

I don’t think it’s a given that she outperforms Trump. These things have a weird way of turning conventional wisdom on its head

[MT Treasurer]

Maine isn't that blue of a state. It's no Colorado. Collins only has to outrun Trump by a few points to win.

I don’t think it’s a given that she outperforms Trump. These things have a weird way of turning conventional wisdom on its head

Okay this is getting ridiculous now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ernst is in the same boat, IA have a Dem congressional delegation and we havent seen an Iowa poll, lately. All three will lose

[wbrocks67]

Maine isn't that blue of a state. It's no Colorado. Collins only has to outrun Trump by a few points to win.

I don’t think it’s a given that she outperforms Trump. These things have a weird way of turning conventional wisdom on its head

Okay this is getting ridiculous now

Collins only survived because had Indy and Dem support. That isn't likely to happen this time around.

[Brittain33]

Maine isn't that blue of a state. It's no Colorado. Collins only has to outrun Trump by a few points to win.

I don’t think it’s a given that she outperforms Trump. These things have a weird way of turning conventional wisdom on its head

Okay this is getting ridiculous now

Collins only survived because had Indy and Dem support. That isn't likely to happen this time around.

Who would a Trump-Gideon voter be?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs are gonna lose AZ, CO, IA, KS, ME and NC. Also, have problems in TX, GA, AK, KY and SC. Ernst and Collins were wrong in acquitting Trump. SMC isn't in a tough race that's why she will get away with it

[MT Treasurer]

Maine isn't that blue of a state. It's no Colorado. Collins only has to outrun Trump by a few points to win.

I don’t think it’s a given that she outperforms Trump. These things have a weird way of turning conventional wisdom on its head

Okay this is getting ridiculous now

Collins only survived because had Indy and Dem support. That isn't likely to happen this time around.

So why is she going to underperform Trump, exactly? Why does Gideon have more appeal in ME than Sanders? You’re insinuating that there will be no split-ticket voting here because of "polarization" and the fact that Collins has lost all of her crossover appeal because she’s been exposed as a R hack, so surely all those attack ads portraying her as a Trump pawn and reminding voters of her Kavanaugh/impeachment vote/etc. aren’t going to hurt her with the R base? If the race turns into generic R vs. generic D and candidates and electoral history don’t matter, why would she underperform Trump?

[TDAS04]

Nope.

[Yellowhammer]

Not a chance

[We Live in Black and White]

Well, no. I personally believe that Collins is teetering on the point of no return after impeachment, but Martha McSally has already past it.

(And Cory Gardner is jetpacking some 80 miles beyond the point of no return, for comparison.)

[Ljube]

Nope.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Collins is set to lose, anyways just like Scott and Sununu will lose reelection,  every state except WI is set to join the popular vote referendum and ending EC by 2024. Ernst is gonna lose because she isnt Chuck Grassley. She would of lost to Braley but 2014 had 6 percent unemployment

[Horsemask]

I wish lmao

Collins is safer than McSally.

[Young Conservative]

No because Collins is objectively a better candidate than McSally and Mark Kelly is an objectively better candidate than Gideon.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Collins actually won statewide before.

[Frenchrepublican]

No because Collins is objectively a better candidate than McSally and Mark Kelly is an objectively better candidate than Gideon.

Yeah and it’s unlikely than Maine will be much more democratic than Arizona (Trump probably loses Maine by 5 and AZ by 1) at the presidential level

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

She already is lol.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I think her chances of winning are being seriously overrated by Atlas and the media.

[Yellowhammer]

She already is lol.

You made a complete fool out of yourself in 2018, Mr. "Bill Nelson will win by 20%" -- not surprised to see you haven't learned your lesson!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NC isnt Tilt R, its voting Popular vote over EC winner and Tillis is toast. But, Collins is finally gonna lose