New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)
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  New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 54041 times)
NOVA Green
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« Reply #1000 on: February 11, 2020, 09:16:38 PM »

Starting to look like Klob beat Warren in places that I expected Amy to do better in... looking at some of the posh burbs of Manchester and places in SE Rockingham....

Thinking maybe she had a bit more of WASP DEM female feed and maybe Pete did a bit better with Male DEM non-WASP European Ethnics???
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #1001 on: February 11, 2020, 09:16:56 PM »

Klobuchar’s performance in NH reminds me of Kasich’s runner-up finish in 2016.   Just like Kasich, it might make her competitive to win her home state.  But no chance anywhere else.
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musicblind
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« Reply #1002 on: February 11, 2020, 09:17:16 PM »

It is going to be UGLY if Buttigieg does end up pulling off this win.

Ugly because Sanders supporters can't accept any result where Bernie doesn't win?  I agree in that respect.

Yes, they will make up some elaborate conspiracy theory about how the state was stolen. It won't make any sense, but it will catch on with 100% of Twitter.

However, I don't think we'll have to worry about that. It looks like Sanders will win.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #1003 on: February 11, 2020, 09:17:18 PM »



So Deval Patrick is also likely out. Still need to hear from Gabbard if she  is going to keep going or follow the lead of her fellow minors.
Gabbard sent out emails saying she's moving on to SC. She'll probably drop after that.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1004 on: February 11, 2020, 09:17:34 PM »

Ddhq missing a large number of Buttigieg votes in Londonderry.
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Zanas
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« Reply #1005 on: February 11, 2020, 09:17:55 PM »

Bloomberg and Trump have got to be loving this. A muddled primary.

To be fair, Democrats laughed their way through the GOP primary in 2016, too. Be careful what you laugh for.
Yeah I'm so worried. Your party can't even run a caucus and the frontrunner is a 80 year old socialist.

Some of you are acting just like overconfident Democrats in 2016 who were delighted to be facing Trump.
I'm not worried at all. Democrats are a joke right now.
ALL of this is a joke, didn't you get the memo?
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #1006 on: February 11, 2020, 09:19:02 PM »

CNN's precinct updates looking very similar to 2012. Here's around we should see the next few updates

9:27       50% precincts in
9:51       60% precincts in
10:15     70% precincts in
10:56     80% precincts in
11:37     90% precincts in
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atheist4thecause
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« Reply #1007 on: February 11, 2020, 09:19:28 PM »

Klobuchar won 30% of those who said the debate was the deciding factor, 22% for Buttigieg, 20% for Sanders per CNN.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1008 on: February 11, 2020, 09:19:30 PM »

Bloomberg and Trump have got to be loving this. A muddled primary.

McCain had the nomination wrapped up 4 months before Obama did.
Democrats don't have an Obama running.

That's not the point. The point is that the length and 'divisiveness' of primaries are pretty minor factors (the 2016 Republican primary was far more divisive than the Democratic one, and Trump still won after all). Both parties hate the other so much that they'll unite in the vast majority of circumstances no matter what.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1009 on: February 11, 2020, 09:20:07 PM »

It is going to be UGLY if Buttigieg does end up pulling off this win.

Ugly because Sanders supporters can't accept any result where Bernie doesn't win?  I agree in that respect.

Bingo.

Such unpleasant people.

Again: You don't get to talk about civility when you recommended a post attacking me for sharing my abuse story.

I have literally no recollection of that, but it's nice to know that you're so bitter you remember every little wrong somebody has done you Tongue
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1010 on: February 11, 2020, 09:20:11 PM »

Middleton is tied (Buttigieg and Sanders with 57 votes each).
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1011 on: February 11, 2020, 09:20:11 PM »

Reiterating my question about whether there is somewhere where we can see the results from the CDs ?

Nobody's likely calculating these yet (at least live, and online) given half the vote is still out.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1012 on: February 11, 2020, 09:20:35 PM »

Klobuchar’s performance in NH reminds me of Kasich’s runner-up finish in 2016.   Just like Kasich, it might make her competitive to win her home state.  But no chance anywhere else.

And like Kasich, the main effect would be to take votes away from the candidates in the establishment wing that can actually win.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #1013 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:04 PM »

Henry Hewes (WTF) is in second place in Pittsburg.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1014 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:14 PM »

Oh god Pete might win this
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Matty
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« Reply #1015 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:23 PM »

Wasserman calls for sanders
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atheist4thecause
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« Reply #1016 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:24 PM »

Klobuchar’s performance in NH reminds me of Kasich’s runner-up finish in 2016.   Just like Kasich, it might make her competitive to win her home state.  But no chance anywhere else.

You think Klobuchar has no chance in the Midwest? O.o
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #1017 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:30 PM »

With 57% in, Sanders' lead is now 2.76%. Klobuchar in third with 19.6%
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swf541
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« Reply #1018 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:40 PM »


Literally how?
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Pyro
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« Reply #1019 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:46 PM »

fwiw

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cvparty
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« Reply #1020 on: February 11, 2020, 09:21:56 PM »

Reiterating my question about whether there is somewhere where we can see the results from the CDs ?

they’re actually very similar between both CDs
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Horsemask
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« Reply #1021 on: February 11, 2020, 09:22:08 PM »

This is much closer than I thought it would be.
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Green Line
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« Reply #1022 on: February 11, 2020, 09:22:19 PM »

"divisive primary is bad for November" has been a media talking point in every election that I can ever remember.  It has NEVER made a difference.  Media talking heads are paid to talk and they feel like they need to say these things since there's really nothing else to do but say "let the people vote".  I have zero concern that a long primary will hurt the ultimate winner.
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SN2903
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« Reply #1023 on: February 11, 2020, 09:22:52 PM »

Bernie up less than 3% 57% in. Wow this is close.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #1024 on: February 11, 2020, 09:23:03 PM »

Yeah, underwhelming (distinctly underwhelming) Sanders win here. Oh well. On to Nevada.
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