New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)

[The Free North]

RIP FF

[Tintrlvr]

Extrapolating from the exit poll gender breakdown gets you:

Sanders: 26
Buttigieg: 22
Klobuchar: 21
Biden: 10
Warren: 9

Would be disappointing if Biden pipped Warren for fourth. Also, if the exit poll is right, Sanders should be thankful Klobuchar had a strong debate.

[Gass3268]

Wow! Turnout in Hollis is ~41% above what it was in 2016.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Just announced: Yang suspending campaign.

[atheist4thecause]

Yang is out. How soon before he endorses Bernie?

Very good question. Remember, 42% of Andrew Yang supporters said they would consider not supporting another Democrat. I think his voters would probably go to Sanders, but what if he endorsed a Liberal? That would be quite interesting. Btw, I think Yang is personally closer to a Liberal than a Progressive, so he might feel some obligation to endorse a Liberal.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Why Buttigieg lost NH:

Here are the Salem results (1 ward, anyway):

Buttigieg 28.3%
Bernie 23.8%
Klobuchar 17.5%

If Buttigieg (or Klobuchar) can't beat Sanders by more than 5% in Salem, they are not going to win. Salem is right on the MA border, an exurb/commuter town to Boston.

[Vern]

I still think Buttigieg wins NH.

[Gass3268]

18-29 only went up to 12%. NH's election law is horrendous.

[The Free North]

A 5% Bernie win is not going to change anything in the race.

[Tender Branson]

Turnout projection update:

320.000 (D)
125.000 (R)

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

So Sanders and Buttigieg are both underperforming in what "should" be their heartlands.

[NOVA Green]

18-29 yrs only 12% in exit poll per MSNBC, 65+ has dropped from 33% to 27%

[Tender Branson]

I still think Buttigieg wins NH.

How so ?

[John Dule]

As a Yang supporter I had no illusions about his ability to win this election. Dropping out is probably wise now. I just hope he's built a strong enough political machine to keep this going in activist circles. I would very much like to see a Yang-led coalition promoting electoral reform, direct democracy initiatives, ranked-choice voting, and big tax cuts for the working class in the future. The dream is not dead. It's just beginning.

[Oryxslayer]

All of Portsmouth is in:

27-24-23 Bernie/Pete/Amy

[Florida Man for Crime]

MSNBC: Sanders leads, but too early to call.

It is not too early to call. There is nowhere giving either Buttigieg or Klobuchar the margins they would need to catch up with Bernie. They would have to consistently win all the suburban areas in the south-east by more than 5 to catch up (and it would have to be the same one of them winning, not them splitting the vote with each other).

[Senator Cris]

Exit poll:

Sanders 25.9%
Buttigieg 21.7%
Klobuchar 21.1%
Biden 10%
Warren 8.7%

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

I still think Buttigieg wins NH.

At some point he actually will have to start making up the ground because as it stands, the raw vote gap between Bernie and him grows with pretty much every dump

[Dr. Arch]

Biden's campaign has cratered like malarkey!

[Horsemask]

I do hope Yang stays involved somehow. Maybe he should run for Congress? Not sure what his home district is. Probably a Dem seat already.

[NOVA Green]

Tiny Township in Coos County (Far Northern NH)

Pete-Tulsi-Amy... Bernie places 5th...

[Lourdes]

https://twitter.com/DanaBashCNN/status/1227397044458991616

lol

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1227399172120305664

[Thunder98]

Biden at around 8-9%. Exactly what I predicted

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Not really surprising Yang choose this moment to drop out:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/fear-chaos-andrew-yang-staffers-140500500.html