New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

If Sanders loses NH to Pete tomorrow, I think he is in hot water. This is a neighboring state that he won by a large margin in 2016. He already received fewer votes in Iowa than he did in 2016.

[Tender Branson]

If Sanders loses NH to Pete tomorrow, I think he is in hot water. This is a neighboring state that he won by a large margin in 2016. He already received fewer votes in Iowa than he did in 2016.

Sanders still would have the better path forward, because Pete has Biden, Klobuchar and soon even Bloomberg as competition on the moderate side.

Bernie only has a fading Warren (unless she does well tomorrow).

[Tender Branson]

So, based on the one registered Republican in the town, my new prediction:

1 Trump

2 Pete
1 Bernie
1 Amy

[Tender Branson]

Harts Location and Millsfield are also voting at midnight.

Do you have registration statistics for those as well ?

[Tender Branson]

I thought I’ll post a final Michael Bennet tweet before he’s out on Wednesday ...

https://twitter.com/michaelbennet/status/1226922483732758530

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Deval Patrick and Michael Bennet will both go up there to campaign personally, and it ends up:

Deval Patrick: 2
Michael Bennet: 2
Trump: 1

Then Bennet and Patrick get huge media coverage from this and pick up so much momentum that they end up coming in 1st and 2nd in the NH primary overall. The final ticket after all the states are done voting ends up being Patrick/Bennet.

[Former President tack50]

I will go with a very wild prediction because why the hell not:

1 Weld

2 Bennet
1 Yang
1 Gabbard

[It’s so Joever]

Deval Patrick and Michael Bennet will both go up there to campaign personally, and it ends up:

Deval Patrick: 2
Michael Bennet: 2
Trump: 1

Then Bennet and Patrick get huge media coverage from this and pick up so much momentum that they end up coming in 1st and 2nd in the NH primary overall. The final ticket after all the states are done voting ends up being Patrick/Bennet.

A Bennet win would be a dream tbh

[Thunder98]

3 Sanders
1 Klobuchar

1 Trump

[eric82oslo]

With surprise, does he mean 1% or 1.5%?

[MR DARK BRANDON]

#Yangwillshocktheworld let’s get this trending atlas!

[Oryxslayer]

Since there was discussion about the geographic breakdown of results earlier:

https://twitter.com/JaredGaffke/status/1226931846530899970


These numbers would normally suggest a tight race, except Bernie is getting 50% in the west and north, aka the Connecticut river towns. Very possible that if the race is close that Bernie loses the first via racking up the score in the second.

[Gass3268]

Since there was discussion about the geographic breakdown of results earlier:

https://twitter.com/JaredGaffke/status/1226931846530899970


These numbers would normally suggest a tight race, except Bernie is getting 50% in the west and north, aka the Connecticut river towns. Very possible that if the race is close that Bernie loses the first via racking up the score in the second.

This could result in Bernie winning by a decent margin, but maybe not getting that large of a share of delegates.

[Xing]

Sanders - 2
Buttigieg - 1
Klobuchar - 1

[Senator Spark]

Bernie Sanders - 2
Pete Buttigieg - 1
Elizabeth Warren - 1
Donald Trump - 1

[The Free North]

Jeb Bush - 4

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Deval Patrick: 69

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Deval Patrick and Michael Bennet will both go up there to campaign personally, and it ends up:

Deval Patrick: 2
Michael Bennet: 2
Trump: 1

Then Bennet and Patrick get huge media coverage from this and pick up so much momentum that they end up coming in 1st and 2nd in the NH primary overall. The final ticket after all the states are done voting ends up being Patrick/Bennet.

Wesley Clark visiting there in 2004 paid off, and he won 8-3-2-1-1.

[It’s so Joever]

#Yangwillshocktheworld let’s get this trending atlas!

6-8% is his ceiling barring a miracle.

[Crumpets]

Sticking with my prediction from 2016:

16,472 for Mr. S. Baldrick.

[KaiserDave]

Buttigieg-2
Bennet-1
Sanders-1

[Vern]

Aren’t there two towns that vote at midnight in NH?

[Thunder98]

Aren’t there two towns that vote at midnight in NH?

3 towns will vote at midnight

[walleye26]

According to 538, Sanders has a 68% win probability, Buttigieg a 27%, all others combined 5%. Their final vote estimates are 30% for Bernie, 24% for Buttigieg.

[SN2903]

Sanders - 2
Klobuchar - 1
Buttigieg - 1
Trump - 1