An argument used to defend Biden

[Hindsight was 2020]

Ok so ever since Biden began losing momentuem in Iowa and New Hampshire there has been this defense of how once he gets to diverse states like South Carolina he should be fine and that the previous two are two rural and white for him. But here is the problem the whole Biden case is suppose to be that he can relate to Iowa and New Hampshire. He's suupose to be the WWC whisper who'd win back the Obama-Trump voters. Instead we are now seeing the opposite play out and his supposed general election strength may be an illusion. Quite frankly his current base seems to resemble all the issues with the Hillary base (not string in rurals like they were once, don't inspire youth, built lead on black support that might not be as strong in the gneral election). So why is he the safe pick again?

[redjohn]

He's not a safe pick at all. He couldn't even win Iowa, nor did he come close. Last time around there was the notion that MAYBE Hillary's inevitability could crack, and it came close a couple times but it never unraveled. What we're seeing now is the unraveling of Biden's inevitability. I thought the 538 forecast was hyperbolic on Biden's collapse, and it's definitely not giving him enough credit in later states, but Biden is likely to do very poorly given expectations. I'll be very surprised if he's the nominee at this point.