2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan  (Read 43597 times)
lfromnj
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« Reply #525 on: October 20, 2021, 10:17:27 PM »
« edited: October 20, 2021, 10:22:31 PM by lfromnj »

https://www.michigan-mapping.org/submission/w6866

https://www.facebook.com/washtenawdems/posts/4660156020671501

Not shockingly.

I mean a lot of other partisan influence is usually based on asking to keep communities together but the Ann Arbor one is hilarious because they beg to be split apart.   They even admit that splitting Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti doesn't make sense but they want to force it. Even Boulder County in CO was thankful for being kept together .
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #526 on: October 20, 2021, 11:55:26 PM »

https://www.michigan-mapping.org/submission/w6866

https://www.facebook.com/washtenawdems/posts/4660156020671501

Not shockingly.

I mean a lot of other partisan influence is usually based on asking to keep communities together but the Ann Arbor one is hilarious because they beg to be split apart.   They even admit that splitting Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti doesn't make sense but they want to force it. Even Boulder County in CO was thankful for being kept together .
Boulder County residents would want to be split anyways.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #527 on: October 27, 2021, 03:08:55 PM »

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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #528 on: October 27, 2021, 05:53:20 PM »

https://www.michigan-mapping.org/submission/w6866

https://www.facebook.com/washtenawdems/posts/4660156020671501

Not shockingly.

I mean a lot of other partisan influence is usually based on asking to keep communities together but the Ann Arbor one is hilarious because they beg to be split apart.   They even admit that splitting Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti doesn't make sense but they want to force it. Even Boulder County in CO was thankful for being kept together .
Breaking News: LfromNJ doesn’t listen to local officials, believes he knows a county better than the residents living in it. /s
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lfromnj
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« Reply #529 on: October 27, 2021, 05:59:04 PM »

https://www.michigan-mapping.org/submission/w6866

https://www.facebook.com/washtenawdems/posts/4660156020671501

Not shockingly.

I mean a lot of other partisan influence is usually based on asking to keep communities together but the Ann Arbor one is hilarious because they beg to be split apart.   They even admit that splitting Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti doesn't make sense but they want to force it. Even Boulder County in CO was thankful for being kept together .
Boulder County residents would want to be split anyways.

IIRC a few people in the preliminary map from Nederland went bezerk over being placed with Boebert even though it helped make the district closer to a swing district.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #530 on: October 27, 2021, 06:20:45 PM »

https://www.michigan-mapping.org/submission/w6866

https://www.facebook.com/washtenawdems/posts/4660156020671501

Not shockingly.

I mean a lot of other partisan influence is usually based on asking to keep communities together but the Ann Arbor one is hilarious because they beg to be split apart.   They even admit that splitting Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti doesn't make sense but they want to force it. Even Boulder County in CO was thankful for being kept together .
Boulder County residents would want to be split anyways.

IIRC a few people in the preliminary map from Nederland went bezerk over being placed with Boebert even though it helped make the district closer to a swing district.
Not surprising to be honest. The average voter doesn’t actually think about these partisan implications from the perspective we do. Usually they only care about who they are represented by.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #531 on: October 29, 2021, 01:28:54 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2021, 01:46:44 AM by Chap Petersen Democrat »

R Commissioners are finally starting to argue on certain arguments on partisan fairness.




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lfromnj
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« Reply #532 on: October 29, 2021, 01:07:04 PM »
« Edited: October 29, 2021, 01:10:08 PM by Chap Petersen Democrat »



The latest NC state senate map is literally better than this insanity.(obviously the NC congressional map is a pretty brutal gerrymander)
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #533 on: October 29, 2021, 02:30:06 PM »

Thank gosh Eid is pushing for fair maps.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #534 on: October 29, 2021, 03:12:01 PM »


The latest NC state senate map is literally better than this insanity.(obviously the NC congressional map is a pretty brutal gerrymander)

Bad comparison, half the NC senate map is decided by multi-county groupings and everything is nested. Of course it looks nice at a glace.
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« Reply #535 on: October 29, 2021, 03:15:10 PM »

The latest NC state senate map is literally better than this insanity.(obviously the NC congressional map is a pretty brutal gerrymander)

Bad comparison, half the NC senate map is decided by multi-county groupings and everything is nested. Of course it looks nice at a glace.
Imagine if MI had county clusters like NC did. What would the map look like?
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lfromnj
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« Reply #536 on: October 29, 2021, 03:17:19 PM »
« Edited: October 29, 2021, 03:23:53 PM by Chap Petersen Democrat »


The latest NC state senate map is literally better than this insanity.(obviously the NC congressional map is a pretty brutal gerrymander)

Bad comparison, half the NC senate map is decided by multi-county groupings and everything is nested. Of course it looks nice at a glace.


Ik about the rules. The point is those rules are more effective in stopping gerrymandering than an independent commission at least at a legislative level. Don't get me wrong county clusters aren't great for congressional, as you can still do too much with such large districts but I think they reasonable limit anything at state legislative levels.

They also aren't perfect either at the legislative level as we do have some weird districts in NC such as Moore -Fayetteville
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Gass3268
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« Reply #537 on: November 01, 2021, 11:42:50 AM »

State Senate Cherry is the map moving forward.

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andjey
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« Reply #538 on: November 01, 2021, 05:17:09 PM »



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lfromnj
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« Reply #539 on: November 01, 2021, 05:20:47 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2021, 05:58:05 PM by Chap Petersen Democrat »





Incredible how the Michigan current map is considered an extrene gerrymander but because it turns out to be relatively equal by the end the commision barely changed anything besides reuniting the Lansing methods or gerrymandering grand rapids in the opposite direction.  Nothing crazy other than Grand rapids but found it funny.
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Sol
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« Reply #540 on: November 01, 2021, 05:42:24 PM »

Kalamazoo-GR is so dumb.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #541 on: November 01, 2021, 05:46:53 PM »


Well even starting with a midland to flint district which is a relatively reasonable district Democrats need , so the thumb can pack every single R in metro Detroit you still need to gerrymander the state elsewhere to make an  "equitable " map.Either dump  Macomb with areas like Ferndale to keep Levin with a safe seat or the idiotic Grand Rapid moves with areas like KZ or Muskegon. The former is a meh move while the latter 2 are fairly outrageous
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Sol
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« Reply #542 on: November 01, 2021, 05:50:41 PM »

Isn't a lot of the stuff with the Grand Rapids area the result of really aggressive lobbying by folks from Ottawa County?
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lfromnj
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« Reply #543 on: November 01, 2021, 05:52:04 PM »

Isn't a lot of the stuff with the Grand Rapids area the result of really aggressive lobbying by folks from Ottawa County?

Partially yes but also partially due to partisan fairness. Also people trying to say Muskegon GR is a vra seat
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #544 on: November 02, 2021, 12:27:49 PM »

Can somebody do a DRA for the Birch Plan. I think that's the one that ultimately will be selected
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andjey
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« Reply #545 on: November 02, 2021, 12:35:39 PM »

Can somebody do a DRA for the Birch Plan. I think that's the one that ultimately will be selected
Three maps in DRA

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Stuart98
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« Reply #546 on: November 02, 2021, 04:07:27 PM »

Chestnut is so based.
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EastAnglianLefty
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« Reply #547 on: November 03, 2021, 04:24:25 AM »

Interesting that Chestnut is the only plan to use Southfield for one of the VRA districts. Also worth noting you could theoretically get a Biden district out of both Oakland and Macomb by swapping Rochester for Royal Oak etc, so it'll be interesting to see if there's a push for that in the consultation.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #548 on: November 07, 2021, 09:40:04 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2021, 09:59:27 PM by Nyvin »



I'm surprised the Grand Rapids-Kalamazoo district made it.  The other two maps are pretty normal really.  

They made Kildee's seat Biden+2 and the Lansing district close to 50/50 in all three maps.

The Birch map is probably the best for Democrats long-term as Grand Rapids and Upton's district are both trending D overall, so potentially up to 9 districts total.  For 2022 the best map for D's is the Grand Rapids-Kalamazoo "Apple" map.

I would have to imagine the MIGOP is rooting for the Chestnut map.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #549 on: November 07, 2021, 10:17:18 PM »



I'm surprised the Grand Rapids-Kalamazoo district made it.  The other two maps are pretty normal really.  

They made Kildee's seat Biden+2 and the Lansing district close to 50/50 in all three maps.

The Birch map is probably the best for Democrats long-term as Grand Rapids and Upton's district are both trending D overall, so potentially up to 9 districts total.  For 2022 the best map for D's is the Grand Rapids-Kalamazoo "Apple" map.

I would have to imagine the MIGOP is rooting for the Chestnut map.

TBH, I feel like Meijer is someone who could become entrenched and be a consistent overperformer a la Fitzpatrick or Katko.
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