Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)
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Author Topic: Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)  (Read 154515 times)
RI
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« Reply #2500 on: February 04, 2020, 06:06:58 PM »
« edited: February 04, 2020, 06:10:56 PM by Dr. RI »
Yang won at least one precinct (Louisa County). Steyer won a precinct in Fayette County.
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Freshly-touched grass
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #2501 on: February 04, 2020, 06:07:04 PM »

Fake news!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2502 on: February 04, 2020, 06:07:06 PM »
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The Free North
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« Reply #2503 on: February 04, 2020, 06:07:27 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 04, 2020, 06:05:33 PM
National Delegate Estimates:



This gets her into the next round of debates, correct?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #2504 on: February 04, 2020, 06:08:11 PM »
Quote from: Your call may be monitored for quality assurance. on February 04, 2020, 06:07:04 PM

Fake news!

The media really can't help but lie about Bernie.
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Roblox
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« Reply #2505 on: February 04, 2020, 06:08:50 PM »
Stupid move releasing incomplete results. Don't put results out until you have everything. Doing otherwise increases uncertainty and somehow makes them look even sillier.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2506 on: February 04, 2020, 06:09:35 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on February 04, 2020, 06:07:06 PM


Just noticed his numbers don't compute.  The total for the first group is slightly lower than the second, but the percentage is slightly higher.

EDIT: he followed up and noted there was a transposition in the second total (it's actually 53,696).  The percentages for each group are correct.
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RI
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« Reply #2507 on: February 04, 2020, 06:09:56 PM »
The weird quasi-Hindu cult in Fairfield stuck with Bernie rather than voting for their co-religionist Tulsi.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #2508 on: February 04, 2020, 06:13:35 PM »
Quote from: ilikeverin on February 04, 2020, 07:35:35 AM
I'd imagine the issue is just the math - they're realizing that a lot of precincts do the math wrong. Which they've probably done in every previous Iowa caucus; we just now have the raw totals to prove it. So now they're scrambling, trying to figure out what they need to do to reconcile the numbers.
Yep.

If I were in charge, I'd treat it like a full recount. Get all records under lock and key.

The IDP probably has a full-time professional staff of under 5, so hire an accounting firm to conduct the audit recount, Form as many teams as possible, and start with the smallest counties. Presidential candidates can appoint observers.

Confiscate all cell phones and sequester everyone. If everyone is satisfied with a precinct move on to the next. If not universal approval, have objections written up, and put back under lock and key. After county is completed, release results for county, except for precincts under dispute.

Move on to the next county.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2509 on: February 04, 2020, 06:16:05 PM »
Still no word on the rest of the results?
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RI
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« Reply #2510 on: February 04, 2020, 06:16:40 PM »
Quote from: PA is Lean D on February 04, 2020, 06:16:05 PM
Still no word on the rest of the results?

Highly unlikely we get them today.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #2511 on: February 04, 2020, 06:16:55 PM »
Bernie has more popular votes though!
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Grassroots
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« Reply #2512 on: February 04, 2020, 06:19:10 PM »
James Carville is spitting facts on MSNBC about Bernie's open borders policy and Warren's wanna be Bernie style.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2513 on: February 04, 2020, 06:20:14 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 04, 2020, 06:16:40 PM
Quote from: PA is Lean D on February 04, 2020, 06:16:05 PM
Still no word on the rest of the results?

Highly unlikely we get them today.

And Price had the balls to stand up in front of cameras and NOT announce his resignation?
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #2514 on: February 04, 2020, 06:22:20 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 04, 2020, 06:05:33 PM
National Delegate Estimates:


Hopefully Biden gets below 15,0*. There are lots of college towns / cities precincts coming in, so i don't think he will get to 15% and than he might lose his share of delegates, and pick only one, two or three delegates.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #2515 on: February 04, 2020, 06:22:34 PM »
Bill Weld has secured 1 pledged delegate
Trump has secured 39
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
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« Reply #2516 on: February 04, 2020, 06:22:50 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 04, 2020, 06:09:56 PM
The weird quasi-Hindu cult in Fairfield stuck with Bernie rather than voting for their co-religionist Tulsi.

Kinda surprised that she’s at a whopping 0.7% in Jefferson County.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2517 on: February 04, 2020, 06:24:42 PM »
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win win
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« Reply #2518 on: February 04, 2020, 06:29:28 PM »
incompetence
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2519 on: February 04, 2020, 06:31:37 PM »

Hey, if there's anything 2016 taught us, it's that incompetence wins you elections.
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n1240
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« Reply #2520 on: February 04, 2020, 06:32:35 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 04, 2020, 06:24:42 PM


His analysis is pretty simplistic, only assuming the precincts that have finished reporting are fully representative of the remaining precincts, which may not be the case.

I've done a bit of comparison between the Buttigieg campaign's more complete precinct data (although only showing numbers for Buttigieg) and the AP results, and it turns out that the AP results have a lower first choice % than the Buttigieg results in Polk County, possibly implying the remaining precincts may be slightly more favorable for Buttigieg (although it's still very possible these precincts may be stronger for Sanders as some other candidates may be weaker in general).

I'll try and see what numbers I can find in other large counties, and maybe try and crosscheck the Pete + AP precinct data to get a better idea of what to expect from remaining precincts.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #2521 on: February 04, 2020, 06:33:45 PM »
Man I'm dying laughing at the response in the comments to this tweet
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2522 on: February 04, 2020, 06:33:55 PM »


Yep

These hot takes are melting my brain.
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StateBoiler
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« Reply #2523 on: February 04, 2020, 06:34:45 PM »
Weld actually got credited with 1 soft delegate out of Iowa last night.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2524 on: February 04, 2020, 06:38:53 PM »
I gotta say

Democratic incompetence compared with Trump rising approval is going to make tonight's speech a big triumph for the fool occupying the White House.
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