Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

[W]

We've had Klobuchar in 1st in 3 precincts, the 2 Florida ones and the Arizona one. Biden is about 10 points below in the teens. Clearly something is awry here, and I don't think it's stretching too much to say it may be a sign we should expect Biden to underperform.

[DrScholl]

I apologize if this has already been posted here, but:

https://twitter.com/ofnoimport/status/1224464814841319424

Sanders managed to lose one vote in the allignment and not gaining any votes from Warren lol

When all is said and done, I'm not so sure that there will be much overlap between Sanders and Warren supporters. Warren's support is not monolithic despite her policy positions.

[dunceDude]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1224477506645807105

I mean, this doesn't mean much, but do we think this kind of thing lowers the chance of a Sanders blowout (40%+)?

[Queen Isuelt]

st petersburg
klobuchar 46
buttigieg 20
biden 15
warren 11
yang 5
tulsi 1
16 for viable.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

I'm concerned about Sanders too. This will be a long night. Klobuchar shows that she's participating and that this is a five-way race.

[Queen Isuelt]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1224477506645807105

I mean, this doesn't mean much, but do we think this kind of thing lowers the chance of a Sanders blowout (40%+)?

40% of iowas vote is in 5/6 counties and this is where sanders is going to rack up the score.

[Ljube]

Biden seems to be collapsing before our eyes. Unless there is just a totally different dynamic in the precinct caucuses, he is in huge trouble.

If this does happen, I hope Republicans don't give impeachment and the 'Burisma scandal' credit for it. Trump is probably going to invite foreign interference in US elections anyway, but a minor downside of Biden doing badly will be that he could be even further encouraged.

Biden is underperforming precisely because of Burisma.

[atheist4thecause]

I'm concerned about Sanders too. This will be a long night. Klobuchar shows that she's participating and that this is a five-way race.

Sanders seems to be doing well to me. Klobuchar is doing well so far. Biden is really hurting and I'd be concerned if I was Warren actually. Buttigieg is kind of all over.

[KaiserDave]

Are we actually reading into satellite caucuses?

[Florida Man for Crime]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1224477506645807105

I mean, this doesn't mean much, but do we think this kind of thing lowers the chance of a Sanders blowout (40%+)?

There are not going to be any precincts within Iowa that are composed of 100% seniors like the retirement home satellite caucus ones in Florida and Arizona.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1224477506645807105

I mean, this doesn't mean much, but do we think this kind of thing lowers the chance of a Sanders blowout (40%+)?

Sanders is better at satellite caucuses frequented by younger people and worse at satellite caucuses frequented by older people, basically what we've expected anyways. Can't really draw any actual conclusions from the satellite caucus results, even though they're fun to watch.

[Walmart_shopper]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1224477506645807105

I mean, this doesn't mean much, but do we think this kind of thing lowers the chance of a Sanders blowout (40%+)?

That wasn't going to happen.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

CNN interviewed 2 Pete people and 1 Biden supporter. The Biden supporter had Klobuchar as 2nd option. One of the Pete supporters had Sanders as 2nd option.

[Oryxslayer]

CNN just interviews a woman who might have the key to Klobmentum, if it actually is a thing. She decided last week, and says shes going to vote for Biden, but her number two was Amy. And then...things might just be happening once people hit the floor. Her reasoning? Wants someone confident who can beat Trump, same stuff as Amy. Just a guess.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Are we actually reading into satellite caucuses?

Of course!

[Green Line]

Klobachar will never beat Trump.  Shes an abusive boss, as much as I like her moderateness.

[Queen Isuelt]

https://twitter.com/joshjame/status/1224483447311388672

doesnt this count as bribery?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Are we actually reading into satellite caucuses?

I mean it might be nothing but Biden doing bad in some of these are shocking (especially Florida)

[Florida Man for Crime]

https://twitter.com/joshjame/status/1224483447311388672

doesnt this count as bribery?

You are allowed to bribe caucusgoers?

What if Bloomberg or Steyer shows up and offers $100 bills?

[Progressive Pessimist]

I really doubt that satellite caucuses are very indicative of the greater results. For one thing, with the ones taking place outside Iowa at least, many of these caucus-goers haven't been inundated with constant ads targeting them which may or may not affect the eventual decisions of who to caucus for.

Let's just be patient and see what happens. I guess that's easy for me to say though because I have no real emotional investment in this nomination campaign.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

https://twitter.com/joshjame/status/1224483447311388672

doesnt this count as bribery?

You are allowed to bribe caucusgoers?

What if Bloomberg or Steyer shows up and offers $100 bills?

Yeah bribing caucusgoers with hand sanitizer. LOL.

[Skye]

https://twitter.com/joshjame/status/1224483447311388672
doesnt this count as bribery?

If you change your vote because of a Snicker...

[Queen Isuelt]

Klobachar will never beat Trump.  Shes an abusive boss, as much as I like her moderateness.

She will hammer him. The map will be expanded dramatically and she will make lots of senate seats and congressional seats viable.

She will put Florida, Arizona, Wisconsin, Iowa, Michigan, Pennslyvania, North Carolina, Ohio, Georgia and she could actually do quite well in Nebraska2 and Missouri.

If I was Barbara bollier in kansas I would want klobuchar on top of the ticket.

[Queen Isuelt]

https://twitter.com/joshjame/status/1224483447311388672

doesnt this count as bribery?

You are allowed to bribe caucusgoers?

What if Bloomberg or Steyer shows up and offers $100 bills?

to be fair yang is offering $1000 a month

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/joshjame/status/1224483447311388672

doesnt this count as bribery?

You are allowed to bribe caucusgoers?

What if Bloomberg or Steyer shows up and offers $100 bills?

I mean, you can physically pull people into your camp for their vote if so desired and strong enough...at least this was a thing last time, maybe not anymore with the voter cards. A lot of things are legal in caucuses. The problem with both of these things though is that you see peoples faces, and these people are your neighbors. Social peer pressure keeps people in line.