2020 New Zealand general election & referendums (17 October) (user search)
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  2020 New Zealand general election & referendums (17 October) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 New Zealand general election & referendums (17 October)  (Read 42191 times)
Estrella
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Posts: 2,011
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)


« on: April 29, 2020, 07:45:54 AM »

A longer explanation of NZ First's existence is that Nationals were historically - for a conservative party - very, very economically interventionist (to the point of basically trying to create an autarkic economy), which, in turn led to a weird episode of a Labour government enacting Thatcherite policies. Nationals opposed them at every turn, obviously only until the moment they got into government themselves. In response, their statist wing broke off and created NZ First. They used to do much better (13% and all Māori seats in 1996), but the shine wore off. I imagine that the only reason for their continued existence is that old people still love Eternal Leader Winston for giving them free bus passes or something. (Yes, I know obscure trivia about NZ politics, how could you tell?)

There's a great documentary about the chaos of the 80s, if anyone is interested.

Edit: I posted this literally seconds after CumbrianLeftie lol
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Estrella
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,011
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)


« Reply #1 on: April 29, 2020, 03:37:08 PM »

Well, now that we're all talking about it, I decided to do a write-up on most of New Zealand's minor parties, starting from 1938, when the modern-day National Party was created.

It's worth mentioning that, despite superficial similarities, NZ has a political environment unlike most other English-speaking countries. Without going into too much detail (and stereotyping):
* Consistently high turnouts - 74% in 2011 was the lowest participation in a very long time, and throughout the 20th century it was in the high 80s or low 90s
* Openness towards new ideologies, like the surprisingly progressive Liberals in the late 19th century, Labour's unashamedly socialist policies in the 1930s, the rise of green movement in the 1970s, economic liberalism in the 1980s and things like the Wellbeing Budget today
* The above means that, even during FPTP, there were more "third parties" with some relevance than you'd expect

So, here are the (at least a bit relevant) pre-MMP era small parties (best result in brackets).

Democratic Labour (1943, 4.3%) - a hard-left splinter from Labour

Democrat Party (1935, 7.8%) and their successors People's Movement (1943, 0.9%) and Liberal Party (1963, 0.9%) - classical liberal anti-socialist parties

Values Party (1975, 5.2%) - the first green party in the world, a product of the 70s counterculture and anti-nuclear movements that collapsed due to infighting but laid the ground for NZ's current relatively green orientation (bans on nuclear weapons, GMOs etc.)

Social Credit, later known as Democrats (1981, 20.7%) was by far the largest FPTP-era third party. They started out supporting social credit (duh) which I like to call Vanilla Strasserism, a leftish but non-socialist ideology for people who are very angry about (((bankers))). Slowly, they drifted into a kind of vague centre-left populism, attracting many protest voters.

New Zealand Party (1984, 12.3%) - a libertarian flash-in-the-pan personality cult around property magnate Bob Jones. Their high result was spurred by Robert Muldoon's economic policies that drove the country to the brink of bankruptcy.

Now, here are the parties that emerged in the last years of FPTP and after the transition to the proportional system:

NewLabour (1990, 5.2%) - a very-much-not-Blairite (socialist, in fact) splinter from Labour

Green Party (2011, 11.1%) A rather left-wing but most of the time still constructive ecologist party

Alliance (1996, 10.1%) A merger of NewLabour, Greens, Democrats and Mana Motuhake, intended to be a big-tent left-of-Labour coalition. The ex-NewLabour part broke off to form the Progressive Party (2002, 1.7%) and the Alliance fell apart soon after.

New Zealand First (1996, 13.4%) Explained above.

Mana Motuhake (1990, 0.6%), Mana Māori (1996, 0.2%), Mauri Pacific (1999, 0.2%), Māori Party (2008, 2.4%) and Mana Movement (2014, 1.4%) - a string of parties advocating for Māori interests. All are left-leaning, but supported both Nats and Labour in the past. Mauri Pacific is somewhat notable for becoming the home of several NZ First Māori MPs

Internet Mana (2014, 1.4%) - a slightly surreal coalition between Mana Movement and the Internet Party of a certain Kim Dotcom, who couldn't actually stand, because he is a German citizen

Christian parties - This diagram explains why I can't be bothered

United Future (2002, 6.7%) a self-proclaimed centrist party created by some people from the aforementioned Christian parties. Supported both Labour and National, depending on political circumstances and amount of pork on offer

ACT aka Association of Consumers and Taxpayers (2002, 7.1%), a creation of liber(al)tarians from both main parties. Started as a GOP copycat, but lately becoming more liberal.

Conservative Party (2014, 4.0%) - the current GOP copycat

Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party (1996, 1.6%) - Surprisingly successful back in the 90s

The Opportunities Party (2017, 2.4%) Formerly a personality cult around Gareth Morgan, with a chaotic mishmash of feelgood policies under the guise of rADiCal CenTrIsM

Still, despite what I said in the beginning, NZ is not becoming an European multi-party system. After the initial excitement, most third parties either diminished in size, fell apart and vanished, or became a personal fiefdom for their leader: Progressives for Jim Anderton, United Future for Peter Dunne or Mana for Hone Harawira.
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Estrella
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,011
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)


« Reply #2 on: June 30, 2020, 02:09:20 AM »

The Colmar Brunton poll results for the cannabis referendum were just released. Sadly, legalisation is narrowly down right now. It is 49% No, 40% Yes and 11% Don't Know.

Great shame if that fails.

A proud recipient of the David Cameron Referendum Loser Award.

What was her reason for calling a referendum instead of passing it in parliament, anyway? Winston's opposition?
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Estrella
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,011
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)


« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2020, 10:25:22 AM »

The delay may prove to be fortuitous for the Greens if people forget about the school scandal by mid-October rather than the Saturday after next.
Sorry, but what is this?

Political Roundup: The Greens' private school funding scandal
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Estrella
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,011
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)


« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2020, 11:38:19 AM »

An interesting statistic about electorate results - third place finishers: Green 46, ACT 13, NZ First 4, National 2 (Auckland Central and Epsom), New Conservative 2 (New Lynn and Waimakariri), Opportunities 1 (Ōhāriu), Heartland* 1 (Port Waikato), Legalise Cannabis 1 (Te Tai Tokerau) and, most hilariously, Advance NZ** 2 (Te Tai Hauāuru and Hauraki-Waikato).

* climate change denying farmers

** Advance NZ is a "cEnTRiSt aNtI coRRupTiOn" party that was started by two people, Jami Lee-Ross and Billy Te Kahika. For those unfamiliar with him, Ross is a former National MP and Senior Whip who accused Simon Bridges of taking $100k in illegal donations, was subsequently accused of sexual harassment and bullying by several women, went "you can't fire me, I quit!", the party went "you can't quit, we fire you!" and later was himself prosecuted in a case involving another $100k in illegal donations. As for Billy, well...

Quote
William Desmond Te Kahika Junior (born 18 July 1972) is a New Zealand conspiracy theorist, blues musician, guitarist, politician and businessman who lives in Whangārei. He is the son of Māori musician, guitarist, vocalist, and songwriter Billy TK. During the 2020 New Zealand general election, TK Jr. attracted media coverage both as the leader of the fringe New Zealand Public Party (NZPP) and for his belief in conspiracies. Both Te Kahika Jr and the NZPP have opposed the New Zealand Government's lockdown restrictions in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Estrella
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,011
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)


« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2020, 12:45:28 PM »

Estrella,

do you have any news about how many „special votes“ are remaining out there ?

Or how many people additionally enrolled to vote only yesterday (your time) ?

Haha, I'm not actually from NZ (in fact, I live a stone's throw from Austria). Anyway, it looks like detailed data about the election, presumably including the number of special votes will only be released just before the final results:

Quote from: Electoral Commission
The Electoral Commission aims to have the official results published on Friday 6 November. Detailed information to be presented to the House of Representatives (E9), including allocation of list seats, voting place information and special vote statistics, is expected to be available by Friday 6 November.
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Estrella
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,011
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)


« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2020, 02:13:30 PM »


Which one? There were, what, four or five of those in the last 30 years Wink
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Estrella
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,011
Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas)


« Reply #7 on: December 29, 2020, 05:16:32 PM »

I've already mentioned this account in the France thread, but someone on DeviantArt made maps and write-ups of every New Zealand election from 1890 to 1990. Definitely worth a read.
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