California - Change research poll: Bernie ahead by 14 points
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  California - Change research poll: Bernie ahead by 14 points
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Author Topic: California - Change research poll: Bernie ahead by 14 points  (Read 1210 times)
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jfern
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« on: January 30, 2020, 05:38:33 AM »

Jan 25-27 poll

Sanders 30
Warren 16
Biden 15
Buttigieg 8
Yang 5
Gabbard 4
Bloomberg 4
Klobuchar 3
Steyer 2


https://www.kqed.org/news/11798764/bernie-sanders-pulls-away-from-pack-in-california

Yeah, I know it's Change Research, but talk about a large lead.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2020, 05:42:17 AM »

Nice!
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cvparty
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« Reply #2 on: January 30, 2020, 05:50:31 AM »

oh my
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: January 30, 2020, 05:52:04 AM »

white:
Sanders 28%
Warren 18%
Biden 11%
Buttigieg 8%

black:
Biden 35%
Sanders 28%
Steyer 12%
Gabbard 9%

Hispanic:
Sanders 36%
Biden 20%
Warren 16%

Asian:
Sanders 27%
Buttigieg 21%
Yang 15%
Warren 11%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: January 30, 2020, 06:11:27 AM »

Since this was done for KQED, RCP should include this in their average.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #5 on: January 30, 2020, 06:14:58 AM »

Neolibs crying into their champagne.
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
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« Reply #6 on: January 30, 2020, 07:20:36 AM »

A kind reminder that Change Research Pollster is worse than Rasmussen according to 538.
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The Ex-Factor
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« Reply #7 on: January 30, 2020, 07:39:17 AM »

Job hunting, this poll led me to the Change Research site where I found a position that fits. I applied
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #8 on: January 30, 2020, 08:22:58 AM »

DOMINATING
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Cassandra
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« Reply #9 on: January 30, 2020, 09:10:24 AM »

You love to see it!!
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Sirius_
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« Reply #10 on: January 30, 2020, 09:18:58 AM »

Lol everyone would be screaming JUNK if it was Biden +14 despite this being just as absurd.
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Holmes
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« Reply #11 on: January 30, 2020, 09:29:34 AM »

I do think Sanders is ahead but California is also a pretty establishment state that ny gut tells me Biden will perform decently.

Job hunting, this poll led me to the Change Research site where I found a position that fits. I applied

Oh good luck.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #12 on: January 30, 2020, 09:31:36 AM »

Change Research is junk, but Sanders is favored in CA at this moment. It could change depending on February contests.
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Holmes
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« Reply #13 on: January 30, 2020, 09:37:37 AM »

Change Research is junk, but Sanders is favored in CA at this moment. It could change depending on February contests.

Honestly things won't change for the better for Biden. People are voting now in California by mail and Sanders winning two or even three of the first four contests will only give him more momentum.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #14 on: January 30, 2020, 10:53:20 AM »

Some of you all say it's a bad pollster, but still believe the numbers. Makes a lot of sense.
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: January 30, 2020, 11:30:22 AM »

Wish this weren't Change. I definitely don't buy Sanders winning by that much (not yet, at least), but if he can win CA by a decent margin, he'll be in good shape on Super Tuesday.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: January 30, 2020, 12:33:53 PM »

Maybe it's junk but maybe it's close to the mark. Just because it's Change research doesn't mean it'll be completely wrong. But, Bernie behind ahead more like upper single digits rather than double digits is probably closer to reality.

Lol everyone would be screaming JUNK if it was Biden +14 despite this being just as absurd.

No, Biden +14 is way more absurd for California than Sanders +14. This isn't a toss-up state in the primary, it's one that's going to favor Sanders with its demographics.
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Ljube
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« Reply #17 on: January 30, 2020, 12:52:07 PM »

Bye-bye Biden!
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DrScholl
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« Reply #18 on: January 30, 2020, 12:59:17 PM »


Sanders supporters don't even need to bother to vote, because it's in the bag. Seriously, don't vote and go canvass for the general election. Obviously Sanders is already the nominee.
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ملكة كرينجيتوك
khuzifenq
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« Reply #19 on: January 30, 2020, 01:05:43 PM »

white:
Sanders 28%
Warren 18%
Biden 11%
Buttigieg 8%

black:
Biden 35%
Sanders 28%
Steyer 12%
Gabbard 9%

Hispanic:
Sanders 36%
Biden 20%
Warren 16%

Asian:
Sanders 27%
Buttigieg 21%
Yang 15%
Warren 11%


what is this i don't even

Job hunting, this poll led me to the Change Research site where I found a position that fits. I applied

Good luck dude!
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #20 on: January 30, 2020, 01:59:29 PM »

Another Change Research poll, another wall of "Change is junk!" comments

Another wall of "Change is junk!" comments, another post of me asking "Why even allow/post this if it's immediately derided as junk?"
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #21 on: January 30, 2020, 02:03:10 PM »

Another Change Research poll, another wall of "Change is junk!" comments

Another wall of "Change is junk!" comments, another post of me asking "Why even allow/post this if it's immediately derided as junk?"
well you never know what polls could be right, it's important to have all possible data points whether it be Biden +14 or Bernie +14, people will use their biases and call it junk or a gold standard, but that's life on a political forum
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Ebsy
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« Reply #22 on: January 30, 2020, 02:44:50 PM »

South Carolina next please!
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #23 on: January 30, 2020, 05:20:19 PM »

In the universe Change Research is polling, Sanders was within 7 points of Biden in South Carolina two months ago, so it makes sense that their CA poll would now show something like this.
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