Trudeau calling a snap election, you say? Can't see how that could possibly go wrong.......
I can actually understand what his strategy probably is: while the pandemic bump has worn off, Tories are still leaderless (well, they have Scheer, but he's even more of a joke now) and the economic downturn has caused people to become more worried about being able to pay bills and such stuff, in turn becoming more hesitant about supporting Conservatives or leaving Trudeau in an unstable minority. Things like climate change are important, of course, but if Trudeau has smart advisors who tell him to run a relentless bread-and-butter campaign, he could pull it off - provided that he can run such a campaign without making himself look like a Hello Fellow Working Classes idiot.
Not that polls are worth much even if we're really six months away from an election, but the polling average is something like Libs in mid-thirties, Cons in low thirties, Dippers in high teens and Bloc and Greens in high single digits - basically no change since the election. I can imagine him squeaking in with a narrow majority - for a complete crapshoot, let's say with numbers like 37%—33%—14%—6%—6%. alternatively, Insane Troll Logic: because 2015=1968 and 2019=1972, then obviously 2021=1974.
Conservatives are picking their new leader on Sunday.
