Why did Bush do worse in Ohio in 04 compared to 00? (user search)
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  Why did Bush do worse in Ohio in 04 compared to 00? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why did Bush do worse in Ohio in 04 compared to 00?  (Read 1256 times)
Arbitrage1980
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« on: January 23, 2020, 05:36:09 PM »
His win margin went from 3.5% to 2%. Was it the economy? Or perhaps the anti gay-marriage ballot and the Iraq War turned off suburban voters in Franklin and Hamilton counties? In Franklin, Bush's loss margin went from -1% to -9.2%. In Hamilton, his win margin went from +11.7% to +5.4%.
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Arbitrage1980
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Posts: 770
« Reply #1 on: January 23, 2020, 07:24:19 PM »
Quote from: Hydera on January 23, 2020, 06:04:08 PM
Before the 2008 recession people forget that the midwest has been in recession since the early 2000s due to outsourcing. Kerry campaigned on punishing outsourcing along with campaigning hard to win Ohio in 2004 when polls showed that Bush would win Florida but things were closer in Ohio.

But Bush did better in Michigan in 04 than in 00. In 04 he won working class Macomb County while losing it in 00. He also did better in Missouri, Iowa, Indiana, Pennsylvania.
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