MI (Epic-Mra) : Trump trails every democrats but Bloomberg does the best (user search)
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  MI (Epic-Mra) : Trump trails every democrats but Bloomberg does the best (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI (Epic-Mra) : Trump trails every democrats but Bloomberg does the best  (Read 3115 times)
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« on: January 15, 2020, 03:44:51 PM »

Absolute trash poll. Bloomberg up 7? No. Small sample size. If Teump is at 47% approval in the state it's a toss up.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2020, 03:45:20 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2020, 03:50:47 PM by SN2903 »

French Republican and SN dont realize that Trump is being impeached, the samething that Trump criticized Hilary for being ethically challenged. Bernie or Biden will win MI and the election
No. Impeachment is seen as politics. 99% of the country does not care about impeachment. Hillary's investigation was seen as much more serious.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2020, 03:51:10 PM »

Michigan and Pennsylvania both Lean D.

We just need Wisconsin--this will be ground zero
Trump ain't losing WI or PA. MI is 50 50 but I honestly think Democrats get weaker not stronger once they have a nominee
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2020, 06:46:29 PM »

Michigan polling sucks


I think trump loses it by 2 points or so, but it will be close

If the election was held now I could see Biden winning MI 51/47, not much more
If the election were held now I think Michigan would be extremely close if Biden is the nominee by election day I think Trump carries MI by 2-3 pts. I think James beats Peters by 3-4 pts running slightly better than Trump.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #4 on: January 17, 2020, 03:30:06 PM »
« Edited: January 17, 2020, 03:33:27 PM by SN2903 »


The thing that annoys me about the IN 2008 comparison, is that it ignores the fact that both IN and MI are states that are trending away from the Democratic party. I could see MI being a tilt D state in the 2020s, but it wouldn't make any sense for it to be a fluke. It will continue to be competitive for the same reasons that IN is no longer competitive.
Exactly Bush got almost 48% in Michigan in 2004 and won Macomb County by 3 points and almost won Oakland County.Rick Snyder was a 2 term governor and won easily both times. Michigan is def moving right in the last 15 years. It was lean D from 1992 to 2006 2007.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #5 on: January 25, 2020, 10:33:01 AM »

Biden winning 50-44 is actually pretty believable.
No it's not. MI polls are crap. Trump is at the very most maybe slightly behind Biden in MI right now, but he hasn't started campaigning yet.
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