Rate PA-17 for 2020
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Poll
Question: Who will win Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district in 2020?
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D/Tossup		  
#5
Tilt R/Tossup		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Likely R		  
#8
Safe R		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 57

Author Topic: Rate PA-17 for 2020  (Read 988 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« on: January 14, 2020, 03:09:46 PM »
Last one for PA! This district has a PVI of R+3. Currently represented by Democrat Connor Lamb, PA-17 consists of Beaver County with the additions of western/northern Allegheny County and a part of southwestern Butler County. In 2016, Trump won (the equivalent of) this district by 2.5%

Republican challengers include Sean Parnell, Brian Thomsen, and Scott Timko.

Recent Results
2018: D +12.5
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andjey
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« Reply #1 on: January 14, 2020, 03:11:19 PM »
Safe D. We need Conor Lamb in the Senate. He must run in 2022
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2020, 03:16:54 PM »
Quote from: АndriуValeriovich on January 14, 2020, 03:11:19 PM
Safe D. We need Conor Lamb in the Senate. He must run in 2022

This. Or for governor. He should make an arrangement with John Fetterman to avoid running against each other. Probaby Lamb makes a better senator and Fetterman a better governor. Either constellation would be fine and I could see them winning even in a Biden or Bernie midterm.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: January 14, 2020, 06:47:26 PM »
Sean Parnell only raised $265K last quarter so.. it's looking nearly Safe D
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: January 14, 2020, 07:32:52 PM »
Likely D. It's clear from the 2018 results that Lamb has enough crossover appeal that he can survive even if Trump wins the district by a small amount.
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OBD
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« Reply #5 on: January 14, 2020, 07:37:20 PM »
Likely D, Strong Candidate Conor LambTM will win fairly easily, and could definitely contend for statewide in 2022 (especially if his district gets too red for his liking).
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2020, 09:40:41 AM »
Safe D.

Quote from: wbrocks67 on January 14, 2020, 06:47:26 PM
Sean Parnell only raised $265K last quarter so.. it's looking nearly Safe D

LOL, I thought the former AK gov is running for this seat.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2020, 10:52:09 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on January 15, 2020, 09:40:41 AM
Safe D.

Quote from: wbrocks67 on January 14, 2020, 06:47:26 PM
Sean Parnell only raised $265K last quarter so.. it's looking nearly Safe D

LOL, I thought the former AK gov is running for this seat.
Yeah this isn't him. This Parnell is an author and former Army Ranger.
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
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« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2020, 05:21:44 PM »
I'm donating to Sean Parnell in a few minutes to help us take back this seat from Lamb the Sham, one of the fakest moderates to ever disgrace the halls of congress!
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Gracile
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« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2020, 05:31:18 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2020, 05:35:33 PM by gracile »
Likely D. The Allegheny County part of the district seems like it will have a modest swing against Trump, which combined with Lamb's crossover appeal (he has more than this Parnell guy for sure) should be enough for him to win.
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Politics Fan
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« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2020, 07:55:15 PM »
I expect Lamb’s margin to decrease some this year but he should still be fairly safe barring a Trump surge. Likely D
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: May 27, 2020, 06:40:46 AM »
Amid the latest attacks on Lamb, I can only imagine this helps Lamb with Trump's flailing approval ratings. Not to mention, Parnell is not really turning out to be the A+ candidate he was hyped up to be.

Meanwhile, watching his interview on Morning Joe, he is absolutely going to be a statewide candidate in 2022 or 2024. He's perfect for PA.
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Devils30
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« Reply #12 on: May 27, 2020, 10:02:41 AM »
Biden is going to win this district...expect a big margin in the northern Allegheny portion of PA-17 than should more than cancel out Trump's win in Beaver.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #13 on: May 28, 2020, 02:29:27 PM »
This district is MUH TRENDS! on steroids, but in both directions. Fascinating really. But the Alleghany portion has more people so likely D
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #14 on: May 28, 2020, 02:35:19 PM »
Likely D Lamb 54-46
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