SC/NV/WI-Fox News: Biden leads, Steyer surging

[Adam Griffin]

Remember, that SC poll had 13% undecided, so (crude, I know) if you just reallocate that by the vote share the candidate already has, Biden's looking closer to 40% than 35%. 13% of people aren't going to the polls to vote for "No One."

Yeah, that's true. Still, 40% in SC might not be enough to make up for the optics problem if Biden loses IA and NH. If he wins NV, it's probably fine.

It's also worth remembering the proportional nature of Democratic primaries. If Biden gets 40% in SC but no other candidate clears 15% statewide, then he gets all of the statewide pledged delegates (plus virtually all of the PLEOs). If in addition to that he is the only one to break 15% in each congressional district, then he gets every single pledged delegate out of SC. In absolutes it is it not a likely possibility, but a dialed-back version of this scenario is still perfectly possible (where he walks away with 80-90% of pledged delegates despite only winning a plurality statewide).

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Great numbers for Sanders. It's Fox News and i didn't expect him to do that well in Wisconsin, while Nevada is a state that is hard to poll and holds caucuses, which benefits Sanders imo, although it will benefit Sanders more in IA instead of NV.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Stop. Polling. Bloomberg.

Yeah, poll Steyer more!

[politics_king]

It would be hilarious if Biden is done by Super Tuesday.

[SingingAnalyst]

Nevada:
white w/ college degree:
Biden 19%
Warren 17%
Steyer 13%
Buttigieg 11%
Sanders 9%

white w/ no college degree:
Biden 25%
Sanders 17%
Warren 11%
Steyer 10%
Yang 5%

non-white:
Sanders 25%
Biden 24%
Steyer 14%
Warren 9%
Yang 5%

SC:
white w/ college degree:
Biden 21%
Warren 20%
Steyer 12%
Sanders 11%
Buttigieg 10%

white w/ no college degree:
Biden 24%
Sanders 24%
Steyer 13%
Warren 10%
Buttigieg 8%

black:
Biden 43%
Steyer 16%
Sanders 12%
Warren 6%

Steyer’s strongest demo in Nevada is moderates (17%).  His strongest demo in SC is black women (18%).  It looks like he’s a little stronger with non-whites than whites in both states.

Except Biden's lead among SC Blacks, I see no real winner in any subgroup in either state.

Steyer for Veep? (for Biden)

[junior chįmp]

Great news that Steyer is gaining ground in SC and NV since the Dem party is not a serious working class party (except around election time) anyway. Even though there is no political difference between Biden and Steyer....I'm sure that the Dem hacks will have no problem embracing Steyer like they demanded the left to embrace Hillary in 2016. I mean come on guys....it makes no differnce right? Clinton, Biden, Steyer....its all the same!