Predict every state with single-digit margin of victory

[TDAS04]

My prediction:

Biden wins PV by 4%.

Colorado: D+9
Virginia: D+8
Nevada: D+7
Minnesota: D+6
Maine: D+5
New Hampshire: D+4
Pennsylvania: D+3
Arizona: D+2
Michigan: D+2
NE-2: D+2
Wisconsin: D+1
Florida: R+0.3
Georgia: R+1
North Carolina: R+2
Texas: R+3
Iowa: R+6
Ohio: R+7
ME+2: R+9
Alaska: R+9

[MT Treasurer]

If Biden wins:

Nevada: D+6
Minnesota: D+6
Maine: D+4
New Hampshire: D+5
Pennsylvania: D+4 (FLIP)
Arizona: D+3 (FLIP)
Michigan: D+2 (FLIP)
NE-2: D+3 (FLIP)
Wisconsin: R+<0.5
Florida: D+<1 (FLIP)
Georgia: R+<0.5
North Carolina: R+1
Texas: R+3
Iowa: R+6
Ohio: R+5
ME+2: R+9
Alaska: R+8
Kansas: R+9

309 - 229

If Trump wins:

Colorado: D+9
Nevada: D+5
Minnesota: D+3
Maine: D+1
New Hampshire: D+2
Pennsylvania: D+1 (FLIP)
Arizona: D+2 (FLIP)
Michigan: R+<1
NE-2: D+1 (FLIP)
Wisconsin: R+3
Florida: R+<1
Georgia: R+<1
North Carolina: R+2
Texas: R+4
Iowa: R+8
Ohio: R+8

274 - 264

[Frenchrepublican]

Most likely scenario as of today

Biden wins the PV 51/47


Close states under 10% :  

Maine : Biden 53/44
Virginia : Biden 53/45
Minnesota : Biden 52/45
Nevada : Biden 52/46
New Hampshire : Biden 52/46
Michigan : Biden 51/47
Pennsylvania : Biden 50/48

Arizona : Biden 49/47 (tipping-point state)

NE-2 : Biden 49.2./49.1 (very close)

Wisconsin : Trump 49.5/48.5
Florida : Trump 50/48
North Carolina : Trump 50/48
Georgia : Trump 51/48
Texas : Trump 51.5/46.5
ME-2 : Trump 52/46
Iowa : Trump 52/45
Ohio : Trump 53/45