2020 New York Redistricting (user search)
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  2020 New York Redistricting (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 New York Redistricting  (Read 103012 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,546


« Reply #50 on: December 14, 2023, 03:32:53 PM »

One thing Dems will want to consider is which upstate district will get Spring Valley and Kirya Joels. These fast growing ultra-Conservative Jewish communities could shift a Biden + 10 seat right in the long run.

Why not put them in Bowman’s district (NY-16)?

I tried drawing what that might look like:





Perfect.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546


« Reply #51 on: December 16, 2023, 11:05:47 AM »
« Edited: December 16, 2023, 11:11:33 AM by Mr.Phips »

Gerrymander that sort of works off the current Court drawn map. Central Valley can prolly be cleaned up a bit. Generally a gerrymander that tries to be sneaky, but a few districts like NY-01, NY-02, and NY-16 are pretty obvious. In NYC, NY-10 is drawn as a new 32% Asian opportunity seat. Realistically though, this map likely makes several incumbents upset so doubt it'll happen.








2020 Pres vote by seat:

NY-01: Biden + 11.2
NY-02: Trump + 11.8
NY-03: Biden + 15.1
NY-04: Biden + 15.2
NY-05: Biden + 53.8
NY-06: Biden + 28.3
NY-07: Biden + 56.3
NY-08: Biden + 71.2
NY-09: Biden + 41.3
NY-10: Biden + 38.9
NY-11: Biden + 16.3
NY-12: Biden + 71.1
NY-13: Biden + 78.2
NY-14: Biden + 57.8
NY-15: Biden + 67.4
NY-16: Biden + 26.3
NY-17: Biden + 19.9
NY-18: Biden + 10.2
NY-19: Biden + 11.6
NY-20: Biden + 17.3
NY-21: Trump + 17.2
NY-22: Biden + 11.3
NY-23: Trump + 18.1
NY-24: Trump + 20.4
NY-25: Biden + 20.6
NY-26: Biden + 24.4

Every swing seat gets bluer to some extent, with all D seats being over Biden + 10.

Looks great and way cleaner than the first Hochulmander.  Dems would be idiots to not pass something like this.  Only risk is that I could see another Katko winning and holding NY-22 in a Presidem midterm.
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