Shift in Party ID by Religion 2010's

[Non Swing Voter]

white catholics are going to be the swing vote for the next election or two.

[Non Swing Voter]

white catholics are going to be the swing vote for the next election or two.

Doesn't a 40% identification as Republican significantly higher than the nationwide average?

According to Pew, White Catholics seem to be a solid GOP group at this point:


From "An examination of the 2016 electorate, based on validated voters" by Pew Research Center
https://www.people-press.org/2018/08/09/an-examination-of-the-2016-electorate-based-on-validated-voters/

I certainly think they are more GOP than the general population, but they seem more swingy than other groups (e.g., minorities and evangelical whites, or non-religious whites).  They are also pretty well represented in a lot of battleground states.