VA-Mason Dixon: Only Biden ahead of Trump (user search)
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  VA-Mason Dixon: Only Biden ahead of Trump (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Mason Dixon: Only Biden ahead of Trump  (Read 10445 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: December 31, 2019, 11:56:21 AM »

Yeah, sure...
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Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #1 on: December 31, 2019, 01:07:04 PM »

Of course Atlas is buying this poll Roll Eyes Sanders losing VA by 6 is about as believable as him winning OH by 8. But whatever feeds people’s narratives, I guess.
Any poll showing Georgia voting D - "TRUTH!"
Any poll showing something that contradicts my narrative - "JUNK"

Why are you assuming that people base their entire opinion off of polling, or that polling is the primary tool people should use when predicting election results? I can’t speak for others here, but I’ve followed polling long enough to realize it’s predictive power has greatly diminished over the past few years when compared to actual election results. Not to mention polling of individual states often fails to account for a given state’s demographics, and pollsters often don’t weight accordingly.

None of this is to say that all polls are fake or that polling in general is useless. There are plenty of pollsters whose methodology is sound enough to pay attention. However, polling should be one of many factors one takes into account, and it is disingenuous to imply that we should every poll as gospel.
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