The Delegate Fight: 2020

[2016]

Feel free to update as the Primary Season rolls on

AP

Biden 610
Sanders 541

with Update March 5

The Green Papers

Biden 665
Sanders 594

with Update March 5

NBC

Biden 565
Sanders 506

CNN

Biden 531
Sanders 468

with Update March 5

ABC

Biden 526 + 112 Super
Sanders 463 + 24 Super

with Update March 5

CBS

Biden 601
Sanders 521

with Update March 5

[2016]

Some Updates:

Green Papers changed their Pledged Delegate Count from 656-584 Biden to 665 (+ 9) - 594 (+10)

CNN changed from 509-449 to 531 (+22)- 468 (+19).

[2016]

The AP has updated their Delegate Count AGAIN:

Biden 627
Sanders 551
Warren 64
Bloomberg 60
Buttigieg 26
Klobuchar 7
Gabbard 2

Here is what we know:
112 Delegates left to be allocated in CA
13 Delegates left to be allocated in UT
28 Delegates left in CO
2 Delegates left in TN
4 Delegates left in NC

159 in Total (mostly in Sanders States)

Green Papers updated as well
Biden 671
Sanders 599
Warren 70
Bloomberg 67
Buttigieg 27
Klobuchar 7
Gabbard 2

For comparison Clintons lead over Sanders was over 100 after Super Tuesday '16.

[2016]

I am not buying Models. I'm looking at hard Numbers preferably from the Green Papers Website and they have

Biden 677
Sanders 604
Bloomberg 73
Warren 64
Buttigieg 27
Klobuchar 7
Gabbard 2

The 538 Model assumes Biden winning every Midwestern State like MI, WI, OH by a 60-40 and that's totally ridiculous.

[2016]

According to the "Green Papers" Biden has eclipsed 900 Delegates

Current Delegate Total:
Biden 900
Sanders 736
Warren 79
Bloomberg 53
Buttigieg 26
Klobuchar 7
Gabbard 2

Biden is now at 45,20 % of Delegates Nationwide.

[2016]

Sanders may have withdrawn. That being said Biden cannot officially clinch the Democaric Primaries. He is rougly 750 Delegates short and there aren't enough Delegates in April & May to reach 1,991.

[2016]

Sanders may have withdrawn. That being said Biden cannot officially clinch the Democaric Primaries. He is rougly 750 Delegates short and there aren't enough Delegates in April & May to reach 1,991.

Well, if we're gonna be technical about it, he can't "officially clinch" the nomination until 1,991 pledged delegates have cast their votes for him at the convention.

Of course, though, the DNC itself has already declared him to be the presumptive nominee, so saying he can't "officially clinch" it yet is all but trivial.

Who cares what the DNC says? Hillary called Trumps Supporters "Basket of Deplorables" and I am doing the same thing with Bidens Supporters now.

[2016]

So,
because of the New York State Board of Elections cancelling the New York Presidential Primary the "Green Papers" awarded all of New York's 274 National Delegates to Joe Biden.
The Networks and the AP did not make such a move.

According to "Green Papers" Biden has now 1.588 National Delegates awarded, Sanders has 959 National Delegates.

Biden needs 303 Delegates to clinch but they aren't even close to 300 Delgates available in May so Biden indeed has to wait until June 2nd.

[2016]

Biden needs 430-440 Delegates out of the 500 available to clinch the Nomination.

[2016]

Biden needs 430-440 Delegates out of the 500 available to clinch the Nomination.

Wait, meaning there's only 500 delegates left?

No, there are only 500 Pledged Delegates available on June 2nd when 7 States (Montana, South Dakota, New Mexico, Indiana, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island) + DC are voting.

Biden needs a bare minimum of 430 out of the 500 on June 2nd to clinch.

[2016]

Biden needs 430-440 Delegates out of the 500 available to clinch the Nomination.

Wait, meaning there's only 500 delegates left?

No, there are only 500 Pledged Delegates available on June 2nd when 7 States (Montana, South Dakota, New Mexico, Indiana, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island) + DC are voting.

Biden needs a bare minimum of 430 out of the 500 on June 2nd to clinch.

So he could theoretically clinch it on June 2, but doesn't really need to?

The sooner he clinches the better for him. He will almost certainly clinch it on June 7th when Goergia and West Virginia vote.