The Delegate Fight: 2020
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« on: December 28, 2019, 01:30:51 PM »
« edited: April 13, 2020, 01:52:59 PM by Erc »

Welcome once again to my quadrennial delegate-tracking thread (2016, 2012, 2008).  

In this thread, I'll give state-by-state summaries of the delegate allocation process, along with the derivation of the results for each state once they've voted.  I'm planning to mainly track the Democratic side of things this year, as there does not appear to be a serious challenger to the Republican incumbent.

StateBidenSandersOther
Iowa91715
New Hampshire  14-10
Nevada9243
South Carolina3915-
Alabama448-
American Samoa--6
Arkansas1995
California17222419
Colorado212917
Maine1392
Massachusetts423316
Minnesota41295
North Carolina68375
Oklahoma21133
Tennessee36226
Texas11110215
Utah7166
Vermont511-
Virginia67311
Idaho119-
Michigan7352-
Mississippi342-
Missouri4424-
North Dakota68-
Washington4643-
Northern Marianas 24-
Arizona3928-
Florida16257-
Illinois9560-
Democrats Abroad49-
Total1240939132

Notes

Sanders has suspended his campaign; there will be no further updates to this post.

California results are extremely preliminary; many votes are still outstanding.

Results in Arizona and Illinois are very preliminary; district delegates are rough estimates.

Results in Arkansas and North Carolina are preliminary.

The "Other" column includes 2 Gabbard delegates, 5 Klobuchar delegates, 18 Buttigieg delegates, 46 Bloomberg delegates, and 61 Warren delegates, who will be free to vote as they wish on the first ballot.

I am assuming that Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren are each assumed to be "no longer a candidate" for the purposes of At-Large and PLEO delegate allocation.  As a result, I have reallocated their At-Large and PLEO delegates earned in all contests except American Samoa (where Bloomberg's and Gabbard's delegates were selected before their withdrawals).  Note that this determination is least certain for Warren; if she is determined to still be a candidate (as, unlike the other three, she has not endorsed another candidate), she would get her approximately 12 At-Large/PLEO delegates back.

Latest Updates:
April 3: Puerto Rico Primary postponed indefinitely
April 2: West Virginia Primary postponed until June 9.
March 29: California, Washington, Florida results updated.  New York Primary postponed to June 23.
March 27: Hawaii results announcement postponed to May 23.  Wyoming results announcement postponed to April 18.  Ohio primary moved forward to April 28.
March 25: Utah results updated. Alaska results announcement postponed to April 11. Rhode Island, Delaware, and probably Pennsylvania primaries postponed to Jun 2.
March 23: Puerto Rico primary postponed to April 26.  Democrats Abroad results added.
March 20: California, Utah results updated.  Gabbard drops out.  Indiana, Connecticut primaries postponed to June 2.
March 18: California results updated.  Very preliminary Arizona, Florida, and Illinois results added.

The Upcoming Calendar:
April 7: Wisconsin Primary.
April 11: Alaska party-run primary results announced.
April 2-17: Colorado District Conventions.
April 18: Wyoming party-run primary results announced.
April 19: California district delegates chosen.
April 24: Utah State Convention.
April 25: New Hampshire At-Large/PLEO delegates chosen.  Iowa, Massachusetts, North Carolina District Conventions.
April 28: Ohio Primary.
May 2: Guam Caucus, Kansas party-run primary.
May 12: Nebraska Primary.
May 16: Massachusetts State Convention.  Virginia CD8 convention.
May 19: Georgia, Oregon Primaries.
May 23: Hawaii party-run primary results announced.
May 24: Wyoming County Conventions end.
May 2-29: Minnesota District Conventions.
May 30: Arkansas, Maine, Nevada State Conventions.
May 31: Minnesota State Convention.
June 2: DC, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Indiana Primaries.
June 5: Texas State Convention.
June 6: Virgin Islands Caucus.  Wyoming State Convention.
June 9: West Virginia Primary. Last compliant date for "first determining stage" of a state's process.
June 13: Iowa State Convention.
June 20: Louisiana Primary.  Last compliant date for delegate selection.
June 23: Kentucky, New York Primaries.
TBD: Puerto Rico Primary, Oklahoma State Convention.
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: December 28, 2019, 01:31:14 PM »
« Edited: March 21, 2020, 01:14:17 PM by Erc »

General Overview

Changes for 2020

The Democrats have always had a more straightforward process for delegate allocation than the Republicans, as they have imposed a stricter set of rules than the near-free-for-all in the Republican party.  The changes this year have served to remove some of the remaining idiosyncrasies, making this sort of detailed tracking less and less necessary, in fact.

First, many states have switched over from a caucus system to a more straightforward primary (whether party- or state-run).  Additionally, all remaining remaining caucus states except Wyoming also no longer leave wiggle room for shenanigans at the convention level; the final delegate allocations will be directly based on the vote on caucus day (if first filtered through some caucus math).

Second, superdelegates, a bone of contention in 2008 and 2016, no longer get votes on the first ballot (unless a candidate would have a majority of all delegates even without any superdelegate votes).  This makes them less important, though not irrelevant--there is always the possibility that no candidate may win a majority of pledged delegates.

Third, a small number of states are now using ranked choice voting in the primaries, simulating to some degree the caucus realignment procedure in a more accessible form.

Delegate Allocation

In most cases, the delegate allocation in each state follows the same routine.  Each state has two buckets of At-Large delegates (normal At-Large and pledged Party Leaders and Elected Officials [PLEOs]), which are allocated proportionally on the basis of the statewide vote.  

Each congressional district also has some number of delegates, which are allocated proportionally on the basis of the vote in each district.  Districts with more Democratic voters in recent elections have more delegates than districts with fewer Democratic voters.  Typically, this ranges from 3 to 9 delegates per district; in a tight two-candidate race, districts with odd numbers of delegates tend to be more important than a district with an even number of delegates.

There is a uniform 15% threshold; all candidates which receive less than 15% in a jurisdiction do not receive any delegates from that jurisdiction.  Delegates are allocated proportionally, with rounding generally conducted on the basis of largest remainder (except that any candidate meeting the 15% threshold must be given at least one delegate, if possible).

Ballot Access

I'll also be tracking ballot access for the major candidates in the race, defining them for the sake of sanity as any candidate who has not dropped out or suspended their campaign and either:
1) has met any of the polling criteria to qualify for any of the debates held within six months of the Iowa caucus (i.e. the September debate and all following) AND have received an endorsement from at least one unpledged delegate apart from themselves.
2) has won at least one pledged delegate.

To wit, these candidates are:

Biden
Sanders

Useful Links
Delegate Selection Rules
Call for the 2020 Democratic National Convention
Regulations of the DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: December 28, 2019, 03:43:14 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2020, 11:52:42 AM by Erc »

Iowa: February 3

Overview
41 Pledged Delegates (1.02% of Total)
Closed Caucus
14 At-Large (including 5 PLEO)
27 by CD
8 Superdelegates

Voter Eligibility & Voting Options

Only registered Democrats may participate in the caucus, though one may register at the caucuses themselves.

Voters must vote in person, either at their precinct's caucus site (at 7PM central), or at a satellite caucus location, of which there are 69 in Iowa, 25 in the rest of the US, and 3 abroad (in Paris, Glasgow, and Tblisi).  All satellite caucuses occur on the same day, though some do occur earlier in the day (the earliest at 12 noon).  Those participating in out-of-state caucuses, or those that occur before 6PM central, must register to participate by January 17. The number of delegates these satellite caucuses elect to future rounds of the convention process is determined from the turnout at each caucus.

At the Caucus

The Iowa Caucus remains as complicated as ever, with one big change this year that may make a big difference in how the results from Iowa are reported.

Registered Democrats meet at their local caucus sites at 7PM central, and will divide into groups at each caucus according to their presidential preference (or may caucus as "Uncommitted," though there has not been a significant number who have done so since 1976).  Each caucusgoer is also given a Presidential Preference Card, a two-sided paper that essentially acts as their ballot.  They record their initial Presidential preference on the front of this card (which must match the group they are standing in).  Note that this is in no way a secret ballot; in fact, the caucusgoer must sign their card.

The Presidential Preference Cards just have a space for the name of the preferred candidate; all votes are write-in votes, in some sense.  Hopefully this does not prove an issue in the event of a recount (which is possible for the first time this year).  Also, this means there are no ballot access concerns to speak of in Iowa, though presidential candidates must submit names of authorized representatives to the Iowa Democratic Party by January 24.

Caucusgoers in groups that fall below a 15% viability threshold may realign to another candidate.  (Note that at some smaller sites, the viability threshold may be higher: 16.7%, 25%, or 33%.  Sites that only elect a single delegate to the county conventions will not have a realignment phase.)  Groups that were just below the threshold may attempt to attract additional caucusgoers who had supported other nonviable candidates in order to meet the threshold.  Caucusgoers who had supported a viable candidate in the first round may not realign (their Presidential Preference Cards are collected); this reduces the scope for tactical voting in the second round.  After the realignment, every caucusgoer who had not supported a viable candidate in the first round must either realign to a candidate who now meets the viability threshold, or explicitly decline to align to a viable candidate.  They fill out the back of their Presidential Preference Card appropriately, and hand them in.

After realignment, each viable preference group elects a number of delegates to their county convention, proportional to their share of the vote among viable preference groups.

Election Night Results

Due to the existence of the Presidential Preference Cards (new this year), there are thus three sets of results that will be reported by the Iowa Democratic Party:

State Delegate Equivalents

What has been reported in years past, and what will be used to determine the winner by the AP, The New York Times, and most other outlets.  Each precinct elects delegates to their county convention based on the preference results in the precinct.  Each county will elect some number of delegates to the state convention based on its size.  Each candidate is given a number of "state delegate equivalents" based on their share of delegates at each county convention, weighted by the county's representation at the state convention; this does not apply any viability threshold at the county conventions.

The same basically holds true at the satellite caucuses, but it's a bit more complicated as the number of delegates (or delegate equivalents) elected at the satellite caucuses are not determined ahead of time.  The in-state satellite caucuses in each CD form a "satellite county" for each CD; the out-of-state caucuses form an At-Large "satellite county."  Each satellite caucus is entitled to a number of "satellite county delegate equivalents" (no actual delegates are elected) based on the turnout at each satellite caucus location: 3 plus 1 for every 20 attendees (rounded up), capping out at 9.  Each satellite county has a number of state delegate equivalents based on the total attendance in the satellite county.  For in-state satellite counties, this is 1% of the CD's total number of base state delegates for every 600 votes in the satellite county, rounded up but capping out at 10%.  (CD 1 has 560 state delegates, CD has 543, CD 3 has 593, CD 4 has 411).  For the out-of-state at-large satellite county, this will be 1 state delegate plus 1 for every 500 attendees (rounded up), capping out at a total of 6.  Note that the out-of-state satellite caucuses are severely underrepresented as a result compared to the in-state satellite caucuses; furthermore, they only will enter into the allocation of At-Large and PLEO At-Large delegates, not CD delegates.

Final expression of preference

The raw vote totals statewide, after realignment at each precinct.  The percentage of this vote each candidate receives should match pretty closely with the state delegate equivalents, up to rounding or differential turnout effects.

Initial expression of preference

The raw vote totals, before realignment at each precinct.  In previous years, candidates who fell below 15% throughout most of the state were essentially wiped out, often encouraging them to drop out early.  The fact that these pre-realignment vote totals will be reported may change this dynamic.  Additionally, this opens the possibility that different candidates may win different vote counts, yielding a split decision out of Iowa.

Delegate Allocation

Unlike in previous years, delegate allocation is entirely based on State Delegate Equivalents; there's no possibility of further winnowing, tactical voting, or delegate turnout effects at future stages of the convention process.  We should have a solid idea of the final delegate allocation out of Iowa once the votes from February 3 are counted.

9 At-Large and 5 PLEO delegates are allocated based on the statewide State Delegate Equivalents.
District delegates (7 in CD 1, 7 in CD 2, 8 in CD 3, and 5 in CD 4) are allocated based on the State Delegate Equivalents in each state; satellite caucuses (even those out of state) are assigned to a particular congressional district.

Results

Buttigieg 13
Sanders 12
Warren 8
Biden 6
Klobuchar 1
Too Close To Call 1

The last delegate depends on the statewide winner in SDEs, which has yet to be determined and may be unknowable.

Superdelegates

As usual, these will not get a vote on the first ballot at the convention unless one candidate has a decisive majority among pledged delegates.  If a superdelegate should win a pledged delegate slot, they serve as a pledged delegate (and not a superdelegate).

Biden (4): Rep. Abby Finkenauer, Rep. Cindy Axne, Mark Smith, Sandy Opstvedt

Buttigieg (1): Rep. David Loebsack

Uncommitted (3): Jan M. Bauer [formerly Bullock], Scott M. Brennan, June Owens

Useful Links:
Delegate Selection Plan (conditionally approved by the DNC RBC 9/19).
The Green Papers
Iowa Caucus Training: Presidential Preference Cards
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Erc
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« Reply #3 on: December 28, 2019, 08:18:14 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2020, 09:19:08 PM by Erc »

New Hampshire: February 11

Overview
24 Delegates (0.60% of total)
Half-Open Primary
5 At-Large
3 PLEO At-Large
16 by CD
9 Superdelegates

Summary

Delegates are allocated proportionally in each congressional district (8 in each) and At-Large (5 At-Large and 3 PLEO) among all candidates meeting a 15% threshold in that jurisdiction. Rounding is not specified, but Democrats usually follow the largest remainder method among all candidates meeting the threshold.

Who can vote? When can they vote?

Both registered Democrats and Independents may vote in the primary.  New Hampshire allows same-day registration, though not a same-day party affiliation change (Republicans would have had to re-register by October 25, 2019).

New Hampshire has conventional, excuse-required absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates but Bloomberg will be on the ballot in New Hampshire.

Results

In a close three-way race in New Hampshire, who comes in third matters, not who comes in first.

Sanders 9
Buttigieg 9
Klobuchar 6

Superdelegates

Biden (2): Martha Fuller Clark, William Shaheen

Buttigieg (1): Rep. Ann Kuster

Warren (1): Kathy Sullivan

Uncommitted (5): Sen. Maggie Hassan, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, Rep. Chris Pappas, Raymond Buckley, Joanne Dowdell

Useful Links
NH Delegate Selection Plan (approved 9/19)
The Green Papers
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Erc
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« Reply #4 on: December 28, 2019, 09:42:11 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2020, 11:47:31 AM by Erc »

Nevada: February 22

Overview
36 Delegates (0.90% of total)
Closed Caucus
8 At-Large
5 PLEO At-Large
23 by CD
12 Superdelegates
Early Voting: February 15-18

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may vote in the caucus, though voters may reaffiliate as Democrats on the day.

In a first for Nevada, early voting is allowed on four days, February 15-18; early voters will be counted as day-of voters for all purposes (viability and delegate allocation).  As early voters will not be present for the realignment process, they will be asked to submit a ranked list of their preferences; they must rank their top 3, and may rank up to 5 in total.  If their first-ranked candidate does not meet viability, they will be realigned to another candidate.

Simultaneously with the regular caucuses, "Strip Caucuses" will be held at various locations on the Las Vegas strip for shift workers who cannot reasonably return to their home precincts in time to caucus.

At the Caucus

Nevada is a caucus state, just like Iowa, and it works in essentially the same fashion.  Each precinct elects some number of delegates to a County Convention, starting at 1PM.  These are allocated among the candidates receiving 15% support in each precinct (or higher in precincts with a small number of delegates).  As in Iowa, voters supporting a candidate which does not meet the threshold may realign to support a viable candidate.  Groups that did not mean viability on the initial alignment may attempt to reach viability by attracting voters from other non-viable candidates, but not from viable candidates.  Early votes for non-viable candidates are redistributed to their top viable choice after in-person voters realign; no information on early voters will be available to groups desperately attempting to reach viability.  As in Iowa, there will be a paper trail in the form of presidential preference cards.

Ballot Access

All major candidates but Bloomberg will appear on the ballot.

Election Night Returns

County Convention Delegates

Historically, the numbers reported to the media at the end of the caucus will be quite literally the number of delegates to County Conventions won by each candidate.  The apportionment favors the smaller, rural counties over the larger ones--i.e. Clark, Washoe, Carson City, Douglas, Lyon, Nye, and Elko will be slightly underrepresented, though they will obviously still dominate proceedings.  Extremely small precincts are also favored.  This number will presumably still be reported, and forms the basis for delegate allocation (at least on the district level).

Raw Vote Totals

The Nevada Democratic Party will also report the raw vote totals for each candidate (made possible by the Presidential Preference Cards, as in Iowa).  It is unclear whether they will release the vote before realignment, after realignment, or both.  As in Iowa, this opens up the possibility of a split decision.

Delegate Allocation

The district delegates (5 for CD 1, 6 each for CDs 2, 3, and 4) are allocated based on the number of county convention delegates won by each candidate within the district.

The allocation of the At-Large delegates (8 At-Large and 5 PLEO) is less clear ("allocated presidential preference according to the statewide division of preferences among convention and caucus participants, at the first determining step of the process"); presumably it is also on the basis of county convention delegates, but it could be on the basis of the (post-realignment) raw vote total instead.  Unlike in previous years, there is no possibility of convention shenanigans, as allocation is done on the basis of the results of the caucus.

Results

Sanders 24
Biden 9
Buttigieg 3

Superdelegates

Uncommitted ( 8 ): Gov. Steve Sisolak, Sen. Jacky Rosen, Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, Rep. Susie Lee, Harry Reid, Artie Blanco, William McCurdy II, Marty McGarry

Biden (2): Rep. Dina Titus, Rep. Steven Horsford

Warren (2): Alex Goff, Allison Stephens

Useful Links
NV Delegate Selection Plan (approved 11/25)
County Delegates by Precinct
The Green Papers
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Erc
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« Reply #5 on: December 28, 2019, 10:18:31 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2020, 11:46:16 AM by Erc »

South Carolina: February 29

Overview
54 Delegates (1.34% of total)
Open Primary
12 At-Large
7 PLEO At-Large
35 by CD
9 Superdelegates

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any registered voter may participate.  Note that the SC GOP is not holding a presidential primary this year.

South Carolina does not have early voting or no-excuse absentee voting.

Summary

Delegates are allocated proportionally in each congressional district (3 in CD 3; 4 in CDs 2 and 4; 5 in CDs 5 and 7; 6 in CD 1; 8 in CD 6) and At-Large (12 At-Large and 7 PLEO) among all candidates meeting a 15% threshold in that jurisdiction.

Ballot Access

All major candidates but Bloomberg will appear on the ballot.

Results

Sanders is above threshold everywhere (even CD 6), and holds Biden to a delegate tie in CD 4.  He is 203 votes shy of picking up a 4th At-Large delegate, but barring an upset in the provisionals, he's going to fall just short.

Biden 39
Sanders 15

Superdelegates

Biden (1): Rep. Jim Clyburn

Uncommitted ( 8 ): Rep. Joe Cunningham, Don Fowler, Gilda Cobb-Hunter [formerly Steyer], Carol Fowler, Trav Robertson, Lessie Price, Jaime Harrison, Clay Middleton [formerly Booker].

Useful Links
SC Delegate Selection Plan (approval unknown)
The Green Papers
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Erc
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« Reply #6 on: December 28, 2019, 11:17:46 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2020, 01:21:04 AM by Erc »

Super Tuesday (March 3): Part I

Alabama

Overview
52 Delegates (1.29% of total)
Open Primary
11 At-Large
7 PLEO At-Large
34 by CD
9 Superdelegates

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Alabama is an open primary; any registered voter may choose to vote in the Democratic or the Republican primaries.  Note that there is a GOP Presidential primary this year; additionally, the Presidential race is not the only race on the primary ballot on March 3.

Alabama does not permit early voting or no-excuse absentee voting.

Details

Groups of 11 and 7 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 8 for CD 7; 5 for CDs 1, 2, 5; 4 for CDs 3, 6; 3 for CD 4.

Ballot Access:

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Alabama Leadership Chaos

Note that there is a continuing bitter dispute over the leadership of the Alabama Democratic Party, which will effect the identities of the Alabama superdelegates.  The dispute has also held up acceptance of Alabama's Delegate Selection Plan, and, if it continue, could possibly cause issues for the seating of the Alabama delegation as a whole.  It seems likely, however, that the faction led by Christopher England (which is backed by the DNC) will prevail and there should be no lasting issues.

Superdelegates

This list assumes that the DNC-backed, England-led faction will be recognized by the DNC, as opposed to the Worley-led faction.

Biden (1): Sen. Doug Jones

Uncommitted ( 8 ): Rep. Terri Sewell, Christopher England, Patricia Todd, Janet May, Clint Daughtrey, Charlie Staten, Unzell Kelley, Calvin Wilborn

Useful Links:
Draft Delegate Selection Plan (unapproved, from the Worley faction)
The Green Papers

American Samoa

Overview
6 Delegates (0.15% of total)
Open Caucus
6 At-Large
5 Superdelegates

Date Confusion?

There is some possibility the caucus may actually be on March 1, not March 3.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any interested voter who has registered with the Democratic Party of American Samoa as a Democrat on or before February 28, 2020, may vote in the caucus.

There seems to be no provision for early or absentee voting.

Ballot Access:

The filing deadline is on January 31, 2020.

Details

The caucus will likely take place in Tafuna on March 3.  6 delegates are allocated proportionally on the basis of the caucus vote; there does not appear to be any provision for realignment as in Iowa.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (5): Gov. Lolo Moliga, Fagafaga Langkilde, Petti Matila, Aliitama Soto'a, Minnie Tuia

Useful Links:
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan

Arkansas

Overview
31 Delegates (0.77% of total)
Open Primary
7 At-Large
4 PLEO At-Large
20 by CD
5 Superdelegates
Early Voting: February 18 - March 2

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Arkansas is an open primary; eligible voters can request a ballot for either the Republican or Democratic primary.  The March 3 primary also includes elections for other races apart from President.

Prospective voters must register to vote by February 4 in order to be eligible to vote in the primary.

Arkansas has early voting, running from February 18 through March 2 (Sundays excluded).

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 7 and 4 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 6 for CD 2; 5 for CDs 3, 4; 4 for CD 1.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (5): Michael John Gray, Nicole Hart, Dustin McDaniel, Kasey Summerville, Lottie Shackleford.

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan

California

Overview
415 Delegates (10.32% of total)
90 At-Large
54 PLEO At-Large
271 by CD
Half-Open Primary
79 Superdelegates
Early Voting: February 3 - March 2

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All voters who have registered as Democrats or with no party affiliation may vote in the primary.  California offers same-day registration and party affiliation changes.  The CA GOP is holding a presidential primary on the same day; voters may only vote in one.

California offers extensive early voting by mail, and occasional in-person early voting, starting on February 3.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 90 and 54 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows:
4 for CDs 1, 8, 10, 16, 21, 22, 23, 35, 36, 46, 50
6 for CDs 2, 5, 11, 14, 15, 18, 19, 28, 30, 33, 37, 52, 53
7 for CDs 12, 13
5 for all other CDs

Superdelegates

Biden ( 8 ): Sen. Dianne Feinstein, Rep. John Garamendi, Rep. Ami Bera, Rep. Tony Cárdenas, Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard, Rep. Lou Correa, Kerman Maddox, Bob Mulholland

Sanders (2): Rep. Ro Khanna, Susie A. Shannon

Warren (1): Rep. Katie Porter

Delaney (1): Rep. Juan Vargas

Uncommitted (67): Rep. Nancy Pelosi, Gov. Gavin Newsom [formerly Harris], Sen. Kamala Harris [formerly Harris], Rep. Eric Swalwell [formerly Swalwell], Rep. Jared Huffman, Rep. Mike Thompson, Rep. Doris Matsui, Rep. Jerry McNerney, Rep. Josh Harder, Rep. Mark DeSaulnier, Rep. Barbara Lee [formerly Harris], Rep. Jackie Speier, Rep. Jim Costa [formerly Harris], Rep. Anna Eshoo, Rep. Zoe Lofgren, Rep. Jimmy Panetta, Rep. TJ Cox, Rep. Salud Carbajal [formerly Harris], Rep. Julia Brownley [formerly Harris], Rep. Judy Chu, Rep. Adam Schiff, Rep. Brad Sherman, Rep. Pete Aguilar, Rep. Grace Napolitano, Rep. Ted Lieu [formerly Harris], Rep. Jimmy Gomez, Rep. Norma Torres, Rep. Raul Ruiz, Rep. Karen Bass, Rep. Linda Sánchez, Rep. Gil Cisneros, Rep. Mark Takano, Rep. Maxine Waters, Rep. Nanette Diaz Barragán [formerly Harris], Rep. Alan Lowenthal, Rep. Harley Rouda, Rep. Mike Levin, Rep. Scott Peters, Rep. Susan Davis, Steven K. Alari, Laphonza Butler [formerly Harris], Becca Doten, Jess Durfee, Mary Ellen Early, Maria Echaveste, Ron Galperin, Rusty Hicks, Alice A. Huffman, Aleita J. Huguenin, Lorna M. Johnson, Michael Kapp, Andrew Lachman, Otto O. Lee, Sandra M. Lowe, Christine Pelosi, John A. Pérez, Melahat Rafei, Alex Gallardo-Rooker, Garry S. Shay, Keith Kaz Umemoto, Amy Elaine Wakeland, Rosalind Wyman, Laurence S. Zakson, Eric Garcetti, Alex Padilla [formerly Harris], Maria Elena Durazo

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan

Colorado

Overview
67 Delegates (1.67% of total)
14 At-Large
9 PLEO At-Large
44 by CD
13 Superdelegates
Half-Open Primary
Vote-by-Mail February 10 - March 3

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Registered voters who are either registered as Democrats or unaffiliated with any political party may vote in the Democratic primary.  The GOP is having its Presidential primary on the same day; voters may only vote in one.  Colorado has same-day registration, but not same day voter affiliation changes; if a registered Republican wants to vote in the Democratic primary, they would have to change their affiliation no later than February 3.

Colorado uses an (almost) exclusively vote-by-mail system; ballots are mailed out starting February 10.  Unaffiliated voters who select a preference for a particular party will receive that party's ballot; if they do not, they are sent both parties' ballots (but may only submit one).  There are select vote-in-person locations, as well.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 14 and 9 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 9 for CDs 1, 2; 6 for CDs 6, 7; 5 for CDs 3, 4; 4 for CD 5.

Superdelegates

Sanders (2): Jeri Shepherd, Terry Tucker

Bennet (2): Sen. Michael Bennet, Roy Romer

Uncommitted (9): Gov. Jared Polis, Rep. Diana DeGette, Rep. Joe Neguse, Rep. Jason Crow, Rep. Ed Perlmutter, Morgan Carroll, Howard Chou, Michael Hamrick, Unknown identity

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan (conditionally approved)

Maine

Overview
24 Delegates (0.60% of total)
Closed Primary
5 At-Large
3 PLEO At-Large
16 by CD
8 Superdelegates
No-excuse absentee voting starting ~January 20.

Who can vote? When can they vote?

Only registered Democrats can vote in the primary.  Voters may register to vote and register as Democrats at any time, including on election day, though party affiliation changes (from Republican to Democrat) must be done no later than 15 days before the election (on February 18).

Maine allows no-excuse absentee voting (both in person and by mail), starting at the latest on February 3, though ballots will likely be available before then (the Maine Democratic Party anticipates they will be available starting January 20).

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Ranked Choice Voting

Maine law provides for ranked-choice voting.  The Maine Democrats attempted to incorporate this into their delegate selection plan, but ran into difficulties with the national rules, which are generally strict about specifying a 15% threshold with proportional allocation.

The Maine primary will feature ranked-choice voting, but only first preferences will count for delegate allocation.  Only candidates who receive 15% of the vote among first preferences will receive delegates, and candidates will receive delegates in proportion to their share of the first preference vote.  The Maine Secretary of State may still conduct the full ranked-choice procedure to determine a "winner" of the primary, but as this is likely to take some time it is unclear whether this will have any impact.

It is unclear how widely-disseminated this information may be; as a result, there may be a higher proportion of first-preference votes for minor candidates that will then not count for delegate allocation if such candidates do not reach 15% of the vote.

Note, finally, that Maine's delegate selection plan has not been fully approved by the DNC's Rules & Bylaws Committee, so this may change between now and January 20.

Details

Groups of 5 and 3 delegates are allocated based on the statewide first-preference vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 9 for CD 1; 7 for CD 2.

Superdelegates

Sanders (1): Troy Jackson

Uncommitted (7): Gov. Janet Mills, Rep. Chellie Pingree, Rep. Jared Golden, Diane Denk, Eric Gundersen, Kathleen Marra, George Mitchell

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan (approval pending)

Massachusetts

Overview
91 Delegates (2.26% of total)
Half-Open Primary
20 At-Large
12 PLEO At-Large
59 by CD
23 Superdelegates

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Registered voters who are enrolled as Democrats or who are not enrolled with any party may vote in the Democratic primary.  The deadline to register (or re-register) is February 12; only those who are 18 by this date may register to vote in the primary.

There is, as of yet, no provision for early voting for the presidential primary.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 20 and 12 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 8 for CDs 5, 7; 7 for CD 8; 6 for all other CDs.

Superdelegates

Warren ( 8 ): Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Ed Markey, Rep. Jim McGovern, Rep. Lori Trahan, Rep. Joe Kennedy III, Rep. Katherine Clark, Rep. Ayanna Pressley, Kate Donaghue

Biden (1): Rep. Stephen F. Lynch

Buttigieg (1): Steve Grossman

Uncommitted (13): Debra DeLee, Paul G. Kirk Jr., Rep. Richard Neal, Rep. Seth Moulton, Rep. Bill Keating, Gus Bickford, Elaine Kamarck, Deb Kozikowski, David O'Brien, Melvin C. Poindexter, James Roosevelt Jr., Susan Thomson, Deborah Goldberg

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #7 on: December 29, 2019, 03:48:17 PM »
« Edited: January 13, 2020, 12:13:54 AM by Erc »

Minnesota: March 3

Overview
75 Delegates (1.86% of total)
Open Primary
16 At-Large
10 PLEO At-Large
49 by CD
16 Superdelegates
No-excuse absentee voting starting January 17

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Minnesota has no party registration; any registered voter may request a Republican or Democratic ballot on primary day, though this choice is recorded. A voter must indicate that they "agree with the general principles of the party" in whose primary they are voting. Minnesota has same-day voter registration.  There is a concurrent GOP Presidential primary, though at present the incumbent is the only candidate that will appear on that ballot.

Minnesota has no-excuse absentee voting, beginning January 17.

Possible Delay

The MN Supreme Court ruled against Atlas favorite Rocky de la Fuente in a suit regarding the GOP primary that may have had the effect of delaying the DFL one as well.  As a result, the primary will go forward as scheduled on March 3.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 16 and 10 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 10 for CD 5; 8 for CD 4; 7 for CD 3; 6 for CD 2; 5 for CDs 1, 8; 4 for CDs 6, 7.

Superdelegates

Klobuchar ( 8 ): VP Walter Mondale, Gov. Tim Walz, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, Sen. Tina Smith, Rep. Angie Craig, Rep. Dean Phillips, Rep. Betty McCollum, Rep. Collin Peterson

Sanders (1): Rep. Ilhan Omar

Uncommitted (7): J.P. Barone, Debbie Goetel, Ron Harris, Marge Hoffa, Ken Martin, Lori Sellner, Elly Zaragoza

Older sources (such as the February 2019 version of the call) give Minnesota's superdelegate count as 17; it is likely this is out of date.

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan (approved)
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« Reply #8 on: December 29, 2019, 04:09:48 PM »
« Edited: March 17, 2020, 06:49:18 AM by Erc »

Super Tuesday (March 3): Part II

North Carolina

Overview
110 Delegates (2.73% of total)
Half-Open Primary
24 At-Large
14 At-Large PLEO
72 by CD
12 Superdelegates
Early voting February 13 - 29.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All registered voters who are registered as Democrats or who are not affiliated with any political party may participate in the primary.  There is a GOP primary on the same day; state and local primary races may also appear on the same primary ballot.

North Carolina holds early voting from February 13 - February 29.  Prospective voters may register in person at an early voting site and vote the same day; they may not change their party affiliation when they do so.  The voter registration deadline to switch party affiliation, or to vote on election day itself, is February 7.

No-excuse absentee voting by mail is also available, potentially as early as January 13.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 24 and 14 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 9 for CD 4; 8 for CDs 1, 12; 6 for CD 2; 5 for CDs 5, 6, 7, 9, 13; 4 for CDs 3, 8, 10, 11.

Results

Biden 36
Sanders 22
Bloomberg 5
Warren 1

Bloomberg broke 15% statewide, but the Tennessee Democratic Party has firmly indicated that he is considered to be "no longer a candidate" as he has suspended his campaign and endorsed Biden; thus, his only delegates are the district ones.

Bloomberg/Warren Delegates

These will be chosen on March 21 at District Conventions; due to COVID-19, these are being held by teleconference.

Superdelegates

Biden (1): Rep. G.K. Butterfield

Uncommitted (11): Gov. Roy Cooper, Rep. David Price, Rep. Alma Adams, Denise Adams, Wayne Goodwin, Shelia Huggins, Ray McKinnon, Cliff Moone, Bobbie Richardson, John Verdejo, Unknown identity

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan

Oklahoma

Overview
37 Delegates (0.92% of total)
Half-Open Primary
8 At-Large
5 At-Large PLEO
24 by CD
5 Superdelegates
No-excuse absentee voting in person: February 27-29

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Registered Democrats and independents can vote in the Democratic presidential primary.  The voter registration deadline is February 7.

Oklahoma allows no-excuse absentee voting by mail, and in person from February 27-29.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 8 and 5 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 6 for CD 5; 5 for CDs 1,4; 4 for CDs 2,3.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (5): Rep. Kendra Horn, Betty McElderry, David Walters, Alicia Andrews, Dave Ratcliffe

Useful Links
The Green Papers
I have not been able to obtain a copy of the Oklahoma Delegate Selection Plan.

Tennessee

Overview
64 Delegates (1.59% of total)
Open Primary
14 At-Large
8 PLEO At-Large
42 by CD
9 Superdelegates
Early Voting: February 12 - 25

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any registered voter may vote in the Democratic primary; they may of course not vote in the simultaneous GOP primary.  Registration deadline is on February 3.

Tennessee has in-person early voting, lasting from February 12 to February 25 (excepting Sundays and Presidents' Day).  Tennessee does not have no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 14 and 8 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 7 for CD 9; 6 for CD 5; 5 for CD 7; 4 for CDs 1,2,3,4,6,8.

Superdelegates

Biden (1): William Owen

Uncommitted ( 8 ): Rep. Jim Cooper, Rep. Steve Cohen, Al Gore, Gale Jones Carson, Will Cheek, Bob Cowan, Mary Mancini, Marisa Richmond

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan

Texas

Overview
228 Delegates (5.67% of total)
Open Primary
49 At-Large
30 PLEO At-Large
149 by District
33 Superdelegates
Early Voting: February 18-28.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any registered voter may vote in the Texas Democratic Primary, though doing so affiliates them with the Democratic party.  The registration deadline is February 2.  The GOP is holding a primary on the same day, and there are state and local offices on the same primary ballot as well.

Texas allows early voting February 18 - 28.  Texas does not allow no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 49 and 30 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  Texas divides its District delegates by Texas State Senatorial Districts, not Congressional Districts, as follows: 10 for SD14; 7 for SDs 13,23,25; 6 for SDs 8,10,15,16,17,26,29; 5 for SDs 5,7,12,19,21; 4 for SDs 2,4,6,9,11,18,20,27; 3 for SDs 1,3,22,24,30; 2 for SDs 28,31.

Superdelegates

Biden (5): Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson, Rep. Marc Veasey, Rep. Filemon Vela Jr., Cristóbal J. Alex

Bloomberg (1): Carla Brailey

Uncommitted (27): Rep. Lizzie Fletcher, Rep. Al Green [formerly Harris], Rep. Veronica Escobar [formerly Beto], Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee, Rep. Henry Cuellar, Rep. Sylvia Garcia, Rep. Lloyd Doggett, Yvonne Davis, A.J. Durrani, Gilberto Hinojosa, Kat Hoang, Glen Maxey, Lorraine Miller, John Patrick, Hasmit Popat, Betty Richie, Emmy Ruiz [formerly Harris], Dennis Speight, Jere Talley, Senfronia Thompson, Royce West, Eric Johnson, Robert Martinez, Rep. Joaquin Castro [formerly Castro], Rep. Colin Allred [formerly Castro], Jose Rodriguez [formerly Castro], Celina Vasquez [formerly Castro]

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan Summary (I cannot find a copy of the original document.)

Utah

Overview
29 Delegates (0.72% of total)
Open Primary
6 At-Large
4 PLEO At-Large
19 by CD
6 Superdelegates
Voting by mail starts February 11.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All registered voters can vote in the primary (though they cannot also vote in the GOP primary on the same day). The registration deadline is February 25, though unregistered voters may register at the polls and vote a provisional ballot.

Registered voters will receive ballots by mail; they are mailed out between February 11-18.  Voters may choose to vote in person (by returning their mail ballot) by voting early February 18-28 (February 18-March 2 in some jurisdictions), or by voting on election day, March 3.

Ballot Access

All major candidates are on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 6 and 4 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 7 for CD 4, 6 for CD 2, 4 for CD 3, 2 for CD 1.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (6): Rep. Ben McAdams, Jenny Wilson, Charles Stormont, Jeff Merchant, Nadia Mahallati, Unknown Identity

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan (draft version)

Vermont

Overview
16 Delegates
Open Primary
3 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
11 District (At-Large)
8 Superdelegates
Early Voting: January 18 - March 2

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All registered voters may participate in the primary (provided they do not also participate in the same day's Republican primary).  Prospective voters may register on election day.

Vermont allows early and no-excuse absentee voting starting on January 18.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 11, 3, and 2 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.

Superdelegates

Sanders (4): Sen. Pat Leahy, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Peter Welch, Mary Sullivan

Uncommitted (4): Howard Dean, Terje Anderson, Tim Jerman, Tess Taylor

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan

Virginia

Overview
99 Delegates (2.46% of total)
Open Primary
21 At-Large
13 At-Large PLEO
65 by CD
25 Superdelegates

Who Can Vote?  When Can They Vote?

All registered voters in Virginia can vote.  There is no Republican presidential primary in Virginia, so extensive crossover voting may be possible.  The voter registration deadline is on February 10.

Virginia does not allow early voting or no-excuse absentee voting in this election.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 21 and 13 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 7 for CDs 3,8,11; 6 for CDs 1,4,5,7,10; 5 for CDs 2,6; 4 for CD 9.

Superdelegates

Biden (2): Rep. Donald McEachin, Leopoldo J. Martinez

Buttigieg (1): Rep. Don Beyer

Uncommitted (22): Gov. Ralph Northam, Sen. Tim Kaine, Sen. Mark Warner, Terry McAuliffe, Rep. Elaine Luria, Rep. Bobby Scott, Rep. Abigail Spanberger, Rep. Jennifer Wexton, Rep. Gerry Connolly, Yohannes Abraham, Marc Browklawski, Steven C. Cochran, Doris Crouse-Mays, Morgan Jameson, Frank Leone, Christopher P. Lu, Jennifer McClellan, Atima Omara, Susan Swecker, Yasmine Taeb, Jeion Ward, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #9 on: December 30, 2019, 12:10:58 AM »
« Edited: January 26, 2020, 10:52:47 AM by Erc »

Democrats Abroad: March 23

Overview
13 Delegates (0.32% of total)
Open Primary
13 At-Large
8 Superdelegates (each with a half vote)
Voting held from February 18 - March 10

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any US citizen residing outside the United States may vote in the Democrats Abroad primary, so long as they do not participate in any other primary or caucus for any other state / territory.

Voters wishing to participate may vote in person at one of many sites around the world; each site will be open on at least one day between March 3 and March 10.  Voters may instead submit their ballot by mail or email at any point between February 18 and March 10.

Results will not be announced until March 23.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

All 13 delegates are apportioned according to the worldwide vote.

Superdelegates

Note that Democrats Abroad superdelegates have only a half-vote each at the convention (and, as always, do not get any meaningful vote on the first ballot).

Uncommitted (4 votes): Julia Bryan, Alex Montgomery, Adrianne George, Connie Borde, John Eastwood, Ken Sherman, Martha McDevitt-Pugh, Orlando Vidal

Useful Links:
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan
Global Presidential Primary FAQ
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« Reply #10 on: January 03, 2020, 11:08:37 AM »
« Edited: January 26, 2020, 11:12:41 AM by Erc »

March 10 Primaries

Idaho

Overview
20 Delegates (0.50% of total)
Half-Open Primary
4 At-Large
3 At-Large PLEO
13 by CD
Early Voting: (varies) - March 6.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters may vote in the primary, though unaffiliated voters will become affiliated with the Democratic Party by participating.  The deadline for affiliating with another party (e.g. from Republican to Democrat) was December 6, 2019.  New voters may register at the polls.  There is a GOP presidential primary on the same day.

Idaho allows no-excuse absentee voting (in person and by mail), as well as early voting in certain counties.  The timeframe for early voting varies by county, but ends no later than March 6.  Certain small precincts vote purely by mail.

Ballot Access

All major candidates are on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 4 and 3 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 6 for CD1; 7 for CD 2.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (5): Van Beechler, Jesse Maldonado, Susan Eastlake, Jerry Shriner, Paulette Jordan

Useful Links
Delegate Selection Plan
The Green Papers

Michigan

Overview
125 Delegates (3.11% of total)
Open Primary
27 At-Large
16 PLEO At-Large
82 by CD

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any registered voter in Michigan may participate in the Democratic primary, after indicating in writing that they wish to use a Democratic ballot.  There is a GOP primary on the same day. Prospective voters may register on election day.

Michigan allows no-excuse absentee voting by mail.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 27 and 16 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 9 for CD 14; 7 for CDs 9,11,12,13; 6 for CDs 5,8; 5 for CDs 1,2,3,6,7; 4 for CDs 4,10.

Superdelegates

Sanders (2): Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Michelle Deatrick

Biden (1): Barry Goodman

Buttigieg (1): Mark LaChey

Warren (1): Rep. Andy Levin

Uncommitted (17): Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Sen. Debbie Stabenow, Sen. Gary Peters, Rep. Dan Kildee, Rep. Elissa Slotkin, Rep. Haley Stevens, Rep. Debbie Dingell, Rep. Brenda Lawrence [formerly Harris], Lavora Barnes, Scott Benson, Shauna Ryder Diggs, Cindy Estrada, Paula Herbart, Daryl Newman, Virgie Rollins, Alexis Wiley, Unknown Identity

Useful Links
Delegate Selection Plan
The Green Papers

Mississippi

Overview
36 Delegates (0.90% of total)
Open Primary
8 At-Large
5 PLEO At-Large
23 by CD

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All registered voters in Mississippi may participate in the primary.  The GOP is having its presidential primary on the same day, and there are also local and state races on the primary ballot.  Voter registration deadline is February 7.

Mississippi does not allow early or no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 8 and 5 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 9 for CD 2; 5 for CDs 1,3; 4 for CD 4.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (5): Rep. Bennie Thompson, Bobby Moak, Rae Shawn Davis, Vicki R. Slater, Wibur O. Colom

Useful Links
Delegate Selection Plan
The Green Papers

Missouri

Overview
68 Delegates (1.69% of total)
Open Primary
15 At-Large
9 At-Large PLEO
44 by CD

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any registered voter can vote in the primary. Voter registration deadline is February 12.

Missouri does not allow early or no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 15 and 9 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 8 for CD 1; 6 for CDs 2,5; 5 for CDs 3,4,6,7; 4 for CD 8.

Superdelegates

Biden (1): Rep. Emanuel Cleaver

Sanders (1): Curtis Wylde

Uncommitted ( 8 ): Dick Gephardt, Rep. Lacy Clay [formerly Harris], Jean Peters Baker, Clem Smith, Persephone Dakopolos, Winston Apple, Megan E. Green, Ethan Smith, Brian Wahby.  [I am aware this is 9 names; it is possible Missouri has one more superdelegate than believed, or that one of these is not actually a superdelegate.]

Useful Links
Delegate Selection Plan
The Green Papers

North Dakota

Overview
14 Delegates (0.35% of total)
Open Firehouse Caucus
3 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
9 District At-Large
Vote by mail available January 20 - March 5.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

The North Dakota Democratic-NPL party is running a Firehouse Caucus--basically, a party-run primary.  Voting sites will be open across the state from 11-7 CST (10-6 MST).  Alternatively, voters may request a mail ballot between January 20 and February 25th, and will be counted as long as they are postmarked by March 5.

Any North Dakota may participate in the firehouse caucus.  North Dakota does not have voter registration.  The North Dakota GOP is not holding any presidential preference vote this year.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 9, 3, and 2 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.

Superdelegates

Buttigieg (1): Josh Boschee

Uncommitted (3): Patrick Hart, Dina Baird, Kylie Oversen

Useful Links
Delegate Selection Plan
The Green Papers

Washington

Overview
89 Delegates (2.21% of total)
Open Primary
19 At-Large
12 PLEO At-Large
58 by CD
Vote by mail: February 21 - March 10

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All registered voters who "subscribe to a declaration" that they are a Democrat may participate in the primary.  Washington has same-day voter registration.

Washington is primarily a vote-by-mail state, though some in-person centers are open.  The vote-by-mail period lasts from February 21 through March 10.  Washington allows voting by those who will turn 18 by November 3.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 19 and 12 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 11 for CD7; 7 for CD9; 6 for CDs 1,2,6; 5 for CDs 3,8,10; 4 for CD 5; 3 for CD4.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (19): Gov. Jay Inslee [formerly Inslee], Sen. Maria Cantwell, Sen. Patty Murray, Rep. Susan DelBene, Rep. Rick Larsen [formerly Inslee], Rep. Derek Kilmer [formerly Inslee], Rep. Pramila Jayapal, Rep. Kim Schrier [formerly Inslee], Rep. Adam Smith, Rep. Danny Heck, Ed Cote, David Green, Juanita Luiz, Sharon Mast, David McDonald, Nancy Monacelli, Tina Podlodowski, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
Delegate Selection Plan
The Green Papers
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« Reply #11 on: January 03, 2020, 12:43:15 PM »
« Edited: January 03, 2020, 02:52:04 PM by Erc »

Northern Marianas: March 14

Overview
6 Delegates (0.15% of total)
Open Caucus
6 At-Large

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any voter who wishes to participate as a Democrat may participate in the caucus; prospective voters may register on the day of the caucus.  Voting sites will presumably be open on all three populated islands (Saipan, Tinian, and Rota).

Ballot Access

Details are unknown at this time.

Details

6 delegates will be allocated based on the commonwealth-wide vote.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (5): Del. Gregorio Sablan, Nola K. Hix, Daniel O. Quitugua, Michael A. White, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
The Green Papers
I do not have a copy of the CNMI delegate selection plan.
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« Reply #12 on: January 03, 2020, 03:21:34 PM »
« Edited: March 27, 2020, 11:55:22 AM by Erc »

March 17 Primaries

Arizona

Overview
67 Delegates (1.68% of total)
Closed Primary
14 At-Large
9 PLEO At-Large
44 by District
Early Voting: February 19 - March 13
Vote by Mail allowed: February 19 - March 17

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats can participate in the primary.  The voter registration deadline is February 18.

Arizona allows early voting in person from February 19 - March 13, and early voting by mail from February 19 to election day.  Voters may also vote in person on election day.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 14 and 9 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 6 for CDs 2,9; 5 for CDs 1,3,5,6,8; 4 for CD 7; 3 for CD 4.

Superdelegates

Warren (1): Rep. Raúl Grijalva

Uncommitted (11): Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, Rep. Tom O'Halleran, Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, Rep. Ruben Gallego [formerly Harris], Rep. Greg Stanton, Doug Ballard, Pat Burns, Luis Heredia, Felecia Rotellini, Sierra Yamanaka, Adrian Fontes, Ellie Perez.  Note that 12 names are listed here; perhaps one of these listed is no longer a superdelegate.  Another possibility is that DNC member Ellie Perez is ineligible to vote as she is undocumented, and is thus neither a citizen nor "legally resides" in any state.

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan

Florida

Overview
219 Delegates (5.51% of total)
Closed Primary
47 At-Large
29 PLEO At-Large
143 by CD
Early Voting: March 7-14 (March 2-15 in some places)
Vote by mail available: February 6 - March 17

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats can vote in the primary.  The voter registration deadline is February 18, 2020; only voters who will be 18 by the date of the primary are eligible.

Legal battles continue over the limitations placed on Amendment 4 by the state.  They seem unlikely to be resolved by the time of the primary, so voters who would have had their rights restored by Amendment 4 but who have not yet paid all required fines and fees will be ineligible to vote.

Early voting is held from March 7-14; certain locations may extend the window to as long as March 2-15.  Florida allows voting by mail; most will be mailed to voters who requested them from February 6-13.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will be on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 47 and 29 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 7 for CDs 20,21,22; 6 for CDs 4,7,9,10,13,14,16,23,24; 5 for CDs 3,5,6,8,12,15,18,19,26,27; 4 for CDs 2,11,17; 3 for CDs 1,25.

Superdelegates

Biden (2): Rep. Al Lawson, Rep. Charlie Crist

Uncommitted (27): Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Kenneth Curtis, Rep. Stephanie Murphy [formerly Beto], Rep. Darren Soto, Rep. Val Demings, Rep. Kathy Castor, Rep. Alcee Hastings [formerly Harris], Rep. Lois Frankel, Rep. Ted Deutch, Rep. Frederica Wilson [formerly Harris], Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, Rep. Donna Shalala, Dwight Bullard, Cynthia Busch, Grace Carrington, Briana L. Cartwright, Alan Clendenin, Ken Evans, Alma R. Gonzalez, Mikaela Guido, Shawn Kinsey, Judy Mount, John A. Ramos, Terrie Rizzo, Casmore A. Shaw, Maureen McKenna, Craig Smith, Nikki Barnes [formerly Booker]. This is one more than numbered; either one of these is not a superdelegate, or Florida has one more than thought.  Additionally, it's not clear who counts as the Florida Democrats' vice chair for the purposes of that DNC seat; if it is Judy Mount, this violates the usual rule that the chair and vice-chair seats be taken by people of opposite genders.

Useful Links
Draft Delegate Selection Plan
The Green Papers

Illinois

Overview
155 Delegates (3.90% of total)
Open Primary
34 At-Large
20 PLEO At-Large
101 by CD
Early Voting February 6 / March 2 - March 16.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any registered voter can vote in the Democratic primary.  There is a GOP primary on the same day, and there are other state and local primary races on the ballot as well.  The normal registration deadline is 2/18, though there is a grace period that does allow registration until the primary day, though there are more hoops to jump through in this case.

Early Voting in Illinois varies by location, starting no earlier than February 6; Cook County does not start until March 2.  Illinois allows no-excuse absentee voting, starting on February 6.

Ballot Access

All major candidates are on the ballot.

Delegate Selection

Each presidential candidate's district-level delegate candidates needed to file with the state board of elections by January 3.  Only Warren and Sanders filed full slates of 101 delegates; Biden had 98, Klobuchar 63, Buttigieg 52, and Steyer and Bloomberg did not bother to file slates at all.

This should not matter too much; if a candidate is entitled to a delegate and did not have a delegate candidate file before the primary, a vote is held by April 17 among Democratic party officials in that district to fill the remaining slots.  Crucially, candidates must approve their prospective delegates, so in practice they are likely to be as vetted as the other delegates.

Details

Groups of 34 and 20 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 8 for CDs 1,7,9; 7 for CDs 2,5; 6 for CDs 3,6; 5 for CDs 4,8,10,11,12,13,14,17; 4 for CDs 16,18; 3 for CD 15.

Superdelegates

Warren (1): Rep. Jan Schakowsky

Uncommitted ( 28 ): President Barack Obama, Sen. Dick Durbin, Sen. Tammy Duckworth, Gov. J.B. Pritzker, Rep. Bobby Rush [formerly Harris], Rep. Robin Kelly, Rep. Dan Lipinski, Rep. Jesús "Chuy" Garcia, Rep. Mike Quigley, Rep. Sean Casten, Rep. Danny K. Davis [formerly Harris], Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, Rep. Brad Schneider, Rep. Bill Foster, Rep. Lauren Underwood, Rep. Cheri Bustos, Michael J. Madigan, John Cullerton, Carrie Austin, Jerry Costello, Daniel Hynes, Iris Martinez, Jayne Mazzotti, Carol Ronen, Karen Yarbrough, Becky Strezchowski, Mary Morrissey, Unknown Identity

Useful Links
The Green Papers
IL Delegate Selection Plan

Ohio: March 17 April 28

Overview
136 Delegates (3.42% of total)
Open Primary
29 At-Large
18 PLEO At-Large
89 by CD
Early Voting February 19 - March 16

COVID-19 effects

At the eleventh hour, the Ohio primary has been postponed.  It will now be held almost entirely by mail on April 28.  Ohio may be eligible for a 12% timing bonus (24 delegates) for its delegation; this is slightly complicated by the fact that Ohio pre-slated its district delegates already, on January 7.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any registered voter can vote in the Democratic primary by requesting a Democratic primary ballot and thereby affiliating themselves with the Democratic party.  There is a GOP primary on the same day, and there may be state and local races on the ballot as well.  Certain areas may have "questions and issues" ballots, which voters who do not wish to affiliate with either party may still cast.  The voter registration deadline is February 18.

Ohio has no-excuse absentee and early voting, starting February 19.

Ballot Access

All major candidates are on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 29 and 18 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 9 for CD 11; 7 for CD 3; 6 for CDs 1,9,10,12,13,14,15,16; 5 for CDs 2,5; 4 for CDs 4,7,8; 3 for CD 6.

Superdelegates

Biden (1): Rep. Tim Ryan

Buttigieg (1): Nan Whaley

Sanders (1): Nina Turner

Uncommitted (14): Sen. Sherrod Brown, Rep. Joyce Beatty, Rep. Marcy Kaptur, Rep. Marcia Fudge [formerly Harris], David Wilhelm, Tim Burga, Isabel Framer, Rebecca Higgins, Mark Mallory, Ronald Malone, Valerie McCall, Rhine McLin, David Pepper, Joe Rugola

Useful Links
The Green Papers
OH Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #13 on: January 18, 2020, 10:38:33 AM »
« Edited: March 17, 2020, 06:22:36 AM by Erc »

Georgia: March 24 May 19

Overview
105 Delegates (2.64% of total)
Open Primary
23 At-Large
14 PLEO At-Large
68 by CD
Early Voting starts March 2.

COVID-19 effects

The primary in Georgia has been pushed back from March 24 to May 19; this new date coincides with state and local primaries.  It is unclear at this time whether Georgia will receive the 20% timing bonus (18 delegates) from going after April 30.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any voter registered in Georgia may participate.  The voter registration deadline is February 24.

Georgia allows no-excuse absentee voting, both in-person and by mail, starting on March 2, though availability varies dramatically.  On Saturday March 14, at least one early vote precinct will be open in each county.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 23 and 14 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed among the CDs as follows: 7 for CDs 4,5; 6 for CD 13; 5 for CDs 1,2,6,7,11; 4 for CDs 3,8,9,10,12; 3 for CD 14.

Superdelegates

Sanders (1): Ted Terry

Uncommitted (14): President Jimmy Carter, Rep. Sanford Bishop, Rep. Hank Johnson, Rep. John Lewis, Rep. Lucy McBath, Rep. David Scott, Wendy Davis, Dan Halpern, Sheikh Rahman, Richard Ray, Sally Rosser, Pam Stephenson, Nikema Williams, Kasim Reed

Useful Links
The Green Papers
GA Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #14 on: January 18, 2020, 11:05:17 AM »
« Edited: April 03, 2020, 07:44:28 AM by Erc »

Puerto Rico: March 29 April 26 TBD

Overview
51 Delegates (1.28% of total)
Open Primary
11 At-Large
7 PLEO At-Large
33 by Senatorial District

COVID-19 Effects

The primary has been moved back to April 26.  This could give Puerto Rico a 10% timing bonus (4 delegates).  The bill would also give the state Democratic Party (in conjunction with state election officials) leeway to postpone the primary even further without further legislative action, if it should prove necessary.

Update, April 3: the Puerto Rico primary has been postponed indefinitely.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All registered voters who wish to participate as Democrats may vote in the primary.  The voter registration deadline is February 8.

Puerto Rico does not have early voting or no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

The Secretary of State of Puerto Rico will determine the final list of candidates who will appear on the ballot on January 20.

Details

Groups of 11 and 7 delegates are allocated based on the commonwealth-wide vote.  The district delegates are distributed across Puerto Rico's senatorial districts as follows: 5 for SD III; 4 for SDs I, II, IV, V, VI, VII, VIII.

Superdelegates

Biden (1): Maria E. Melendez Altieri

Uncommitted (6): Luis D. Davila, Andres Lopez, Margarita Nolasco, Manuel Ortiz, Charles A. Rodriguez, Johanne M. Velez

Gov. Vázquez is no longer a Democrat, and will thus not serve as a superdelegate.

Useful Links

PR Delegate Selection Plan (fully approved)
The Green Papers
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« Reply #15 on: January 18, 2020, 11:42:31 AM »
« Edited: March 27, 2020, 11:58:41 AM by Erc »

April 4 Primaries

All primaries and caucuses in April receive a 10% bonus to their delegate counts (not including the PLEO At-Large delegates).  These are the first contests that benefit.

April 11: Alaska

Overview
15 Delegates (0.38% of total)
Closed Party-Run Primary (Ranked-Choice)
4 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
9 District At-Large
No-Excuse Absentee Voting: February 19 - March 24

COVID-19 Effects

In-person voting has been cancelled; the period of mail-in voting has been extended.  All ballots must be received by the AK Democrats by April 10, and the results will be announced on April 11.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

The Alaska Democratic Party is running its own presidential primary.  All voters registered as Democrats may participate; voters registered with another (or no party) may re-register as Democrats as late as April 4.  New voters may vote as long the Alaska Division of Elections marks them as registered on April 4, or they register via the Alaska Democratic Party by March 24.

In-person voting centers will be open in at least nine centers across the state on April 4, from 10 AM to 2 PM Alaska Daylight Time (none of the centers are in Aleutian Time).  

No-excuse absentee voting by mail is also available from February 19 to March 24.  Plans to hold online voting appear to have been scrapped.  Although not listed in the delegate selection plan, Alaska appears to have mailed out ballots to every registered Democrat in the state as well, with the same March 24 deadline.

Ballot Access

The deadline to file is January 24.

Ranked Choice Voting

Alaska is using ranked-choice voting in its party-run primary.  Voters will list five candidates in their preference order.  The candidate with the fewest first-choice votes will be eliminated, and their votes redistributed to their voters' second choices.  This process repeats until all remaining candidates have cleared the 15% threshold, and delegates will be apportioned accordingly among the remaining candidates.

Details

Delegates are apportioned in groups of 9, 4, and 2, based on the statewide ranked-choice vote, among all candidates who clear the 15% threshold after any necessary rounds of redistribution.  Note that if three or more candidates clear that threshold, one of them will not get any At-Large PLEO delegates, as there are only 2 to allocate.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (4): Casey Steinau, Charles Degnan, Sheila Selkregg, Ed Wesley

Useful Links:
AK Delegate Selection Plan
AK Delegate Selection Plan Summary
The Green Papers

May 23: Hawaii

Overview
24 Delegates (0.60% of total)
Closed Party-Run Primary (Ranked-Choice)
6 At-Large
3 PLEO At-Large
14 by CD
Vote by Mail: March 3 - March 28

COVID-19 effects

Hawaii has cancelled the in-person portion of their vote, and the vote-by-mail deadline has been extended.  Ballots must be received by May 22, and results will be announced on May 23.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

The Hawaii Democratic Party is running its own presidential primary.  All registered voters who wish to enroll as members of the Democratic Party (Hawaii does not have partisan voter registration) may participate.

The Hawaii Democratic Party will run approximately 20 in-person voting locations, which will be open from 7 AM - 3 PM on April 4.

Vote by Mail is available from March 3 (approx.) to March 28.  Ballots will be mailed to all Democratic party members enrolled by February 18.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Ranked Choice Voting

Voters will rank up to 5 preferred candidates on their ballots.  Candidates not meeting the 15% threshold in a jurisdiction will be eliminated and their votes redistributed until all candidates meet the 15% threshold.

Details

Delegates are allocated based on the ranked-choice voting results, after any necessary rounds of redistribution.  Groups of 6 and 3 delegates are apportioned based on the statewide vote; 14 delegates are apportioned based on the results in the congressional districts (7 delegates each).

Superdelegates

Gabbard (1): Rep. Tulsi Gabbard

Uncommitted ( 8 ): Gov. David Ige, Sen. Mazie Hirono, Sen. Brian Schatz, Rep. Ed Case, Kate Stanley, Bart Dane, Gary Hooser, Jadine Nielsen

Useful Links:
HI Delegate Selection Plan (draft)
The Green Papers


April 18?: Wyoming

Overview
14 Delegates (0.35% of total)
Closed Party-Run Primary?
12 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
Vote by mail February 17-March 20
Early Voting March 28

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may participate in the caucuses.  Voters must be listed as registered Democrats by their county clerk by March 20.

Voting by mail is available starting around February 17 and running through March 20; all registered Democrats in Wyoming will be mailed a ballot.  Early voting stations will be open on March 28 for at least five hours in each county with an active Democratic party.  The caucuses themselves will be held at 11 AM on April 4; there is a final chance to drop off mail ballots in the hour before the caucus begins.

COVID-19 effects

On March 13, Wyoming cancelled the in-person caucus / county convention portion of their process.  Mail voting has been extended; ballots must be received by the Wyoming Democratic Party by April 17.  The results will presumably be announced soon afterwards.

The cancellation of the caucus/convention portion (which would have elected delegates to the state convention, who would have allocated and selected the national convention delegates) leaves the allocation and selection process unclear at this time.  Virtual county conventions to elect delegates to the state convention are in the works, to be held no later than May 24.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is January 27.

Ranked Choice Voting

The ballots (whether cast by mail, at the early voting stations, or at the caucus itself) will feature ranked choice voting; voters will rank up to their five top choices for President.  The candidates with the least first-choice ballots will be eliminated and their ballots reallocated to their second choices until all remaining candidates are above the 15% threshold in that county.  The delegates each county has to the state convention are divided proportionally among the remaining candidates; caucus attendees supporting each candidate choose that candidate's delegates to the state convention.  The cancellation of the county conventions leave it unclear how delegates will be chosen to the state convention, or whether there will be a state convention in the usual sense.

Delegates to the State Convention

Each county is entitled to one delegate per 3000 residents (as of the 2010 census), and one delegate per 600 votes for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election, rounded up.  This corresponds to the following numbers:

CountyNumber of Delegates
Albany26
Big Horn6
Campbell20
Carbon9
Converse7
Crook4
Fremont23
Goshen7
Hot Springs3
Johnson5
Laramie53
Lincoln10
Natrona40
Niobrara2
Park15
Platte5
Sheridan17
Sublette6
Sweetwater24
Teton21
Uinta11
Washakie5
Weston4

Each county may double its number of delegates by giving each of them half a vote; this might affect the division of state convention delegates between presidential preferences.

State Convention

On June 6, the State Convention will meet in Powell.  A presidential preference poll will be taken at the convention; it does not appear that delegates are bound to the candidate they were elected to support in April, merely that they should in "good conscience reflect the sentiments of those who elected them."  This may be important if the vote would be especially close (in which case delegates failing to show up could matter) or if a candidate entitled to delegates drops out after April.  The 12 At-Large delegates (Wyoming received a waiver to combine its At-Large and District pools) and 2 PLEO At-Large delegates are allocated to presidential candidates based on this convention vote.

Candidates who receive 15% or more of the convention vote are entitled to a proportion of the delegates in each category, rounded to the nearest whole number.  If this results in too many delegates being allocated, subtract one from the lowest-placing candidate; if this results in too few, add one to the highest-placing candidate.  Note that this is different from the usual DNC rounding rules, but apparently passed muster here.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (4): Joe Barbuto, Erin O'Doherty, Jessica Sell Chambers, Lucas Fralick

Useful Links:
WY Delegate Selection Plan (proposed as of December 19)
The Green Papers

June 20

Louisiana

Overview
54* Delegates (1.36% of total)
Half-Open Primary
12 At-Large
7* PLEO At-Large
35 by CD
Early Voting: Huh

*COVID-19 Delay

Due to COVID-19, on March 13 Governor Jon Bel Edwards pushed the Louisiana primary back from April 4 to June 20.

Such a late date is out of compliance with DNC rules; the standard penalty here is a loss of 50% pledged delegates (and all superdelegates).  (The exact number lost is complicated by Louisiana's earlier timing bonus, plus the math error described below.)  It seems highly unlikely that this penalty will be enforced.

*The DNC's Math Error

Each state is given a certain number of base delegates based on its votes in the last three presidential elections.  States also receive 15% of this amount (unaffected by any timing business), rounded to the nearest whole number. as pledged PLEO (at-large) delegates.

Louisiana was allocated 43 base delegates--plus the 10% timing bonus of 4 delegates this corresponds to the 47 At-Large and CD delegates listed above.  15% of 43 is exactly 6.45, which should round to 6.  Someone screwed this math up, however, and rounded at the tenths place first, rounding to 6.5 and then again up to 7.  Connecticut, in the exact same situation with 43 base delegates, was rounded correctly and has 6 PLEO At-Large delegates.

This error was not caught by the DNC, and Louisiana's delegate selection plan was given final approval in October.  The error was again not caught when Louisiana was awarded its four bonus delegates for timing in December; delegate selection plans must be completely finalized by January 20.  It is possible that candidates affected by this error, or the Connecticut delegation, may challenge this at the convention.  My counts will assume Louisiana has 7 PLEO At-Large delegates, but I will note the allocation that would result if this error should be corrected.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any voter who is a registered Democrat or who is not affiliated with any party [this is a recent change] may vote in the primary.  The mail or in-person voter registration deadline is March 4; the online voter registration deadline is March 14.  Voters may change their party affiliation by re-registering.

Louisiana has early voting on March 21 and from March 23-28.  Louisiana does not have no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 12 and 7* delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 9 for CD 2; 6 for CDs 4,6; 5 for CDs 3,6; 4 for CD 1.

Superdelegates

Biden (1): Cedric Richmond

Uncommitted (6): Gov. John Bel Edwards, Karen Carter Peterson, Michael McHale, Deborah Langhoff, Arthur A. Morrell, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
LA Delegate Selection Plan (as of December 4, 2019.
The Green Papers
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« Reply #16 on: January 18, 2020, 02:51:39 PM »

Wisconsin: April 7

Overview
84 Delegates (2.11% of total)
Open Primary
19 At-Large
10 PLEO At-Large
55 by CD
Early Voting: varied schedule (ending April 3)

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Any voter in Wisconsin can vote in the primary; Wisconsin allows same day voter registration and does not have partisan voter registration.  The GOP primary is on the same day, though Trump is unopposed.

Wisconsin has no-excuse absentee voting, both by-mail and in person.  Timing of in-person absentee voting varies across the state, but ends no later than April 3; absentee ballots will be mailed out to those who requested them no later than March 17.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 19 and 10 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 9 for CD 2; 8 for CD 4; 6 for CDs 1,3,8; 5 for CDs 5,6,7.

Superdelegates

Sanders (1): Rep. Mark Pocan,

Uncommitted (12): Gov. Tony Evers, Sen. Tammy Baldwin, Rep. Ron Kind, Rep. Gwen Moore, Janet Bewley, Martha Love, Felesia Martin, Mahlon Mitchell, Khary Penebaker [formerly Booker], Andrew Werthmann, Ben Wikler, Jason Rae

Useful Links
WI Delegate Selection Plan (approved)
The Green Papers
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« Reply #17 on: January 20, 2020, 09:24:13 AM »
« Edited: March 20, 2020, 07:47:26 PM by Erc »

April 28 June 2: Connecticut

Overview
60 Delegates (1.51% of total)
Closed Primary
14 At-Large
6 PLEO At-Large
40 by CD

COVID-19 Effects

Connecticut has pushed back its primary from April 28 to June 2; this would gain them a 10% timing bonus but would cost them a 15% timing bonus; if enforced, Connecticut would lose 2 delegates.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only voters registered as Democrats may participate in the primary.  The voter registration deadline for new voters (or voters unenrolled with any party) is April 27; for voters who need to switch their registration from one party to another, the deadline is January 28.

Connecticut does not have early or no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is March 6.

Details

Groups of 14 and 6 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  That group of 6 (the PLEO At-Large delegates) should have undergone the exact same rounding procedure as Louisiana's delegates, but Louisiana (incorrectly) got 7 while Connecticut got 6.  Connecticut may have standing to file a challenge to receive an additional delegate, but this seems highly unlikely; I will not bother to track this possibility beyond this note.  

The CD delegates are distributed evenly, 8 delegates for each of Connecticut's 5 congressional districts.

Superdelegates

Biden (2): Gov. Ned Lamont, Chris Dodd

Uncommitted (12): Sen. Richard Blumenthal, Sen. Chris Murphy, Rep. John B. Larson, Rep. Joe Courtney, Rep. Rosa DeLauro, Rep. Jim Himes, Rep. Jahana Hayes [formerly Harris], Nancy Wyman, Erick Russell, Nancy DiNardo, John Olsen, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
The Green Papers
CT Delegate Selection Materials (includes approved Delegate Selection Plan)

April 28 Primaries

All contests today form a "regional cluster" according to DNC rules, and receive a 15% bonus to their base delegates; in combination with the 10% timing bonus from being in April, they receive a 25% bonus, the largest for any contests this cycle.  Note that due to Connecticut's push back to June 2, it is no longer clear if this bonus still applies to Connecticut or to neighboring Rhode Island.

Delaware

Overview
21 Delegates (0.53% of total)
Closed Primary
5 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
14 by subdivision

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only voters registered as Democrats may participate in the primary.  The voter registration deadline for new voters is April 4; for existing voters who want to change their registration to Democratic, the deadline is February 27.

Delaware does not yet offer early voting or no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

Filing deadline is February 27.

Details

Groups of 5 and 2 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  Delaware allocates its district delegates by "subdivisions" of the state as follows: 1 for the City of Wilmington, 6 for the rest of New Castle County, and 2 each for Kent and Sussex Counties.

Superdelegates

Biden (5): Gov. John Carney, Sen. Tom Carper, Sen. Chris Coons, Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester, VP Joe Biden

Uncommitted (7): Erik Raser-Schramm, Betsy Maron, Sean Finnigan, Kerri Evelyn Harris, Valerie Longhurst, Tony Coelho, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
The Green Papers
DE Delegate Selection Plan (approved)

Maryland

Overview
96 Delegates (2.41% of total)
Closed Primary
21 At-Large
10 PLEO At-Large
65 by CD
Early Voting: April 16-23

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may participate in the primary. The voter registration deadline (both for new and existing voters) is April 7.

Maryland has early voting from April 16 - 23.  Maryland allows no-excuse absentee voting by mail.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 21 and 10 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 9 for CDs 4,5,7; 8 for CDs 2,3,8; 7 for CDs 1,6.

Superdelegates

Buttigieg (1): Rep. Anthony Brown

Delaney (1): Rep. David Trone

Warren (1): Rep. Jamie Raskin

Uncommitted (19): Sen. Ben Cardin, Sen. Chris Van Hollen, Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger, Rep. John Sarbanes, Rep. Steny Hoyer, Joe Andrew, Maya Rocker, Marc Perrone, Identity Unknown, Identity Unknown, Identity Unknown

Some shuffling around here lately due to Rep. Elijah Cummings' death.  MD Democratic Party chair Maya Rockeymoore Cummings stepped down to run for his seat; she lost the primary, however, so Cumming's seat will almost certainly be taken by Kweisi Mfume. DNC member Yvette Lewis replaced her as chair; it's unclear who took her slot.

Useful Links
The Green Papers
MD Delegate Selection Plan

New York

Overview
274 Delegates (6.89% of total)
Closed Primary
61 At-Large
29 PLEO At-Large
184 by CD
Early Voting: April 18 - April 26.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may vote in the primary.  The voter registration deadline for new voters is April 3; for existing voters who want to change their voter enrollment from another party (or not enrolled) to Democratic, the deadline is February 14.

Early voting runs from April 18-April 26.  New York does not have no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is February 6.

Details

Groups of 61 and 29 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 8 for CDs 5,8,9,12,13,16; 7 for CDs 3,4,7,10,15,17,20,24,25,26; 6 for CDs 1,2,6,11,14,18,19,21,22,23,27.

Superdelegates

Biden (3): Gov. Andrew Cuomo, Rep. Tom Suozzi, Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney

Buttigieg (1): Rep. Kathleen Rice

Bloomberg (1): Rep. Max Rose

Sanders (1): Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Uncommitted (40): Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand [formerly Gillibrand], Sen. Chuck Schumer, Rep. Gregory Meeks, Rep. Grace Meng, Rep. Nydia Velázquez, Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, Rep. Yvette Clarke, Rep. Jerry Nadler, Rep. Carolyn Maloney [formerly Gillibrand], Rep. Adriano Espaillat, Rep. José E. Serrano, Rep. Eliot Engel, Rep. Nita Lowey, Rep. Antonio Delgado, Rep. Paul Tonko, Rep. Anthony Brindisi, Rep. Joseph Morelle, Rep. Brian Higgins, President Bill Clinton, Jay Jacobs, Christine Quinn, Stuart Appelbaum, Vivian Cook, Jennifer Cunningham, Maria Cuomo Cole, Hazel Duke, Emily Giske, Carl Heastie, Michael Reich, Gerard Sweeney, Robert Zimmerman, Charlie King, Christopher Lowe, Ai-Jen Poo, Randi Weingarten, Identity Unknown, Identity Unknown, Identity Unknown, Identity Unknown, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
The Green Papers
NY Delegate Selection Plan

Pennsylvania

Overview
186 Delegates (4.67% of total)
Closed Primary
41 At-Large
20 PLEO At-Large
125 by CD

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may vote in the primary.  The voter registration deadline is April 13.  17-year-olds who will turn 18 by November 3 may vote in the primary.

Pennsylvania allows neither no-excuse absentee nor early voting.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is February 18.

Details

Groups of 41 and 20 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 14 for CD 3; 10 for CD 4; 9 for CDs 5,18; 8 for CDs 1,2,6,17; 7 for CDs 7,10; 6 for CD 8; 5 for CDs 11,14,16; 4 for CDs 9,12,13,15.

Superdelegates

Biden (7): Sen. Bob Casey Jr., Rep. Brendan Boyle, Rep. Dwight Evans, Rep. Chrissy Houlahan, Rep. Matt Cartwright, Rep. Conor Lamb, Ed Rendell

Bloomberg (1): Michael Nutter

Uncommitted (16): Gov. Tom Wolf, Rep. Madeleine Dean, Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon, Rep. Susan Wild, Rep. Mike Doyle, Nancy Patton Mills, Sharif Street, Rick Bloomingdale, Ronald Donatucci, Gerald Lawrence, Ian Murray, Evie Rofalko-McNulty, Marian Tasco, Sylvia Wilson, Peggy Grove, Murat Guzel

Useful Links
The Green Papers
PA Delegate Selection Plan (approved)

Rhode Island

Overview
26 Delegates (0.65% of total)
Half-Open Primary
5 At-Large
3 PLEO At-Large
18 by CD

COVID-19 Effects

The pushback of Connecticut's primary to June 2 means that Rhode Island is no longer part of any regional cluster on April 28; this could cost Rhode Island 3 delegates.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters may vote in the primary, though unaffiliated voters become affiliated with the Democrats by doing so.  The voter registration deadline is March 29.

Rhode Island allows neither early nor no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 5 and 3 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  Both CDs allocate 7 delegates based on the vote in the district.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (10): Gov. Gina Raimondo, Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, Sen. Jack Reed, Rep. David Cicilline, Rep. James Langevin, Joseph McNamara, Grace Diaz, Joseph Paolino, Edna Mattson, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
The Green Papers
RI Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #18 on: January 25, 2020, 09:51:14 PM »
« Edited: January 25, 2020, 10:53:09 PM by Erc »

May 2 Contests

All contests on and after this date receive a 20% bonus to their base delegates.

Guam

Overview
7 Delegates (0.18% of total)
Closed Firehouse Caucus
7 At-Large

Details

All registered Democrats may participate in the caucus; same-day registration is allowed.

Voting will occur at various locations across the island from 10 AM to 8 PM local time (8 PM on May 1 - 6 AM May 2, Eastern Daylight Time).

Guam's 7 delegates will be apportioned based on the caucus vote.

Ballot Access

There is no ballot access deadline, per se; the exact form of the ballots being cast on May 2 is somewhat unclear.  Presidential candidates must have provided names of their authorized representatives to the Democratic Party of Guam by January 6.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (6): Gov. Lou Leon Guerrero, Rep. Michael San Nicolas, Judith Won Pat, Jon Junior Calvo, Régine Biscoe Lee, Rory J. Respicio

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Guam Delegate Selection Plan

Kansas

Overview
39 Delegates (0.98% of total)
Closed Party-Run Primary
9-At Large
4 PLEO At-Large
26 by CD
Vote by Mail: March 30 - April 24

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may vote in the primary; voters may register on the day of the primary.  The GOP is not holding a presidential caucus or primary in Kansas this cycle.

The Kansas Democratic party will send mail ballots to every registered Democrat in the state on March 30; mail ballots must be postmarked by April 24.  In-person voting will also be held on May 2, from 10-4PM CDT, at at least one site in each state senate district.

Ranked Choice Voting

Kansas is using a ranked-choice system; voters rank their candidates, and candidates that do not meet the 15% threshold among first-choice votes have those ballots redistributed to other candidates.  Presumably this process occurs separately in each CD and statewide, though the Delegate Selection Plan only explicitly mentions CDs.  Regardless, the effect of ranked choice voting should be minimal unless any candidates drop out in April.

Due to the added complexity for counting ranked-choice ballots, the results of the primary will not be released until 1PM CDT on Sunday May 3.

Ballot Access

Filing deadline is February 17.

Details

Groups of 21 and 10 delegates are allocated based on the statewide final ranked-choice vote.  The CD delegates (likewise allocated based on the final ranked-choice vote in each CD) are distributed as follows: 8 for CD 3; 7 for CD 2; 6 for CD 4; 5 for CD 1.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (6): Gov. Laura Kelly, Rep. Sharice Davids, Vicki Hiatt, Brandon Johnson, Teresa Garcia Krusor, Chris Reeves

Useful Links
The Green Papers
KS Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #19 on: January 25, 2020, 11:12:57 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2020, 07:47:07 PM by Erc »

Indiana: May 5 June 2

Overview
82 Delegates (2.06% of total)
Open Primary
18 At-Large
9 PLEO At-Large
55 by CD
Early Voting: April 7 - May 4

COVID-19 Effects

Indiana's primary has been pushed back from May 5 to June 2.  At present, this would have no effect on its bonus delegates.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All registered voters may participate in the primary, though voters not already recorded as Democrats must sign a statement acknowledging their new party preference.  The GOP primary is on the same day, and state and local races will be on the primary ballot as well. The voter registration deadline is April 6.

In-person early voting is available from April 7 - May 4.  Indiana does not allow no-excuse absentee voting by mail.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is February 7.

Details

Groups of 18 and 9 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 8 for CDs 1,7; 7 for CD 5; 6 for CDs 8,9; 5 for CDs 2,3,4,6.

Superdelegates

Buttigieg (1): Rep. Pete Visclosky

Uncommitted (6): Rep. André Carson, John Zody, Cordelia Lewis Burks, David Frye, Cindy Henry, Anthony Long

Useful Links
The Green Papers
IN Delegate Selection Plan (approved)
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« Reply #20 on: January 26, 2020, 01:59:15 PM »
« Edited: April 02, 2020, 10:18:25 PM by Erc »

May 12: Nebraska

Overview
29 Delegates (0.73% of total)
Semi-Open Primary
6 At-Large
3 PLEO At-Large
20 by CD
Early Voting: April 13 - May 11
No-excuse absentee starts April 7

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All voters who are registered as Democrats or who are unaffiliated with any political party may participate in the primary.  The voter registration deadline is May 1.  The GOP is holding its presidential primary on the same day, but it is open only to Republican voters.  State and local primaries are also being held on the same day.

Nebraska has early voting in each county starting April 13; it also allows no-excuse absentee voting, starting no earlier than April 6.

Ballot Access

Filing deadline is March 12.

Details

Groups of 6 and 3 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 9 for CD 2; 7 for CD 1; 4 for CD 3.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (4): Jane Cleeb, Richard Register, Patty Zieg, Ron Kaminski

Useful Links
The Green Papers
NE Delegate Selection Plan (approved)

May 12 June 9: West Virginia

Overview
28 Delegates (0.70% of total)
Semi-Open Primary
6 At-Large
3 PLEO At-Large
19 by CD
Early Voting: April 29 - May 9

COVID-19 Effects

The primary has been pushed back from May 12 to June 9.  There should be no effects on its delegate counts.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Voters who are registered Democrats or who are unaffiliated with any political party may vote in the primary.  The voter registration deadline is April 21.  The GOP is having a primary on the same day (also open to unaffiliated voters), and state and local races also appear on the primary ballot.

West Virginia allows early voting from April 29 - May 9 (except Sunday May 3).  West Virginia does not allow no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 6 and 3 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 6 for CD 2; 5 for CDs 1,3.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (6): Sen. Joe Manchin, Belinda Biafore, Bill Laird, Pat Maroney, Elaine Harris, Identity Unknown

Useful Links
The Green Papers
WV Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #21 on: January 26, 2020, 02:16:21 PM »
« Edited: March 17, 2020, 06:24:38 AM by Erc »

Kentucky: May 19 June 23

Overview
54 Delegates (1.36% of total)
Closed Primary
12 At-Large
6 PLEO At-Large

COVID-19 Effects

Kentucky has pushed back its primary from May 19 to June 23.  This is outside the DNC's window for both first determining stage and delegate selection; in theory, this would give Kentucky a 50% penalty in its delegation.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats can participate in the primary.  The voter registration deadline for new voters is April 20; for existing voters who want to re-register as Democrats, the deadline was December 21, 2019.

Kentucky does not allow early voting or no-excuse absentee voting.

Ballot Access

All major candidates will appear on the ballot.

Details

Groups of 12 and 6 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 10 for CD 3; 8 for CD 6; 6 for CD 4; 5 for CD 2; 4 for CD 1; 3 for CD 5.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (7): Gov. Andy Beshear, Rep. John Yarmuth, Ben Self, Cassie Chambers Armstrong, Susanna French, Charlotte Lundergan, Nathan Gene Smith

Useful Links
The Green Papers
KY Delegate Selection Plan

Oregon: May 19

Overview
61 Delegates (1.53% of total)
Closed Primary
13 At-Large
7 PLEO At-Large
41 by CD
Vote by mail: April 29 - May 19.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may participate in the primary; the voter registration deadline is April 28.

Oregon is a vote-by-mail state; ballots will be mailed out on April 29, and must return them by 8PM on May 19.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is March 10.

Details

Groups of 13 and 7 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 12 for CD 3; 9 for CD 1; 7 for CDs 4,5; 6 for CD 2.

Superdelegates

Biden (1): Rep. Kurt Schrader

Uncommitted (13): Gov. Kate Brown, Sen. Jeff Merkley, Sen. Ron Wyden, Rep. Suzanne Bonamici, Rep. Earl Blumenauer, Rep. Peter DeFazio, KC Hanson, Pete Lee, Tanya Shively, Travis Nelson, Matt Keating, Ellen Rosenblum, Tina Kotek

Useful Links
The Green Papers
OR Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2020, 02:43:03 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2020, 12:32:18 AM by Erc »

June 2 Primaries

This is the last day of contests in the 50 states.  The sole remaining event, the Virgin Islands caucuses (on June 6) only allocate 7 delegates; barring an exceptionally tight race (or a contested convention), the media will likely declare a winner of the primaries no later than today.  Only 215 delegates are allocated today (largely because California moved to March); if one candidate gets out to a lead as large as Clinton had in 2016, an overall winner may be declared earlier.

District of Columbia

Overview
20 Delegates (0.50% of total)
Closed Primary
5 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
13 by Municipal District
Early Voting: May 18-May 29.
No excuse absentee voting starts around April 17.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may participate in the election.  New voters may register on the day of the election, but existing voters who want to become Democrats must re-register by May 12.  Local primaries are held on the same day.

DC holds early voting from May 22 - May 29; early voting is available even earlier (May 18) at One Judiciary Square.  DC allows no-excuse absentee voting, starting around April 17.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is March 4.

Details

Groups of 5 and 2 delegates are allocated based on the district-wide vote.  DC's "District" delegates are allocated based on the results in each "municipal district": 7 for MD1 (Wards 1,2,6,8) and 6 for MD2 (Wards 3,4,5,7).

Superdelegates

Sanders (2): Larry Cohen, James J. Zogby

Biden (1): Symone Sanders

Buttigieg (1): Keith Michael Harper

Uncommitted (22): Mayor Muriel Bowser, Shadow Senator Paul Strauss, Shadow Senator Mike Brown, Del. Eleanor Holmes Norton, Charles E. Wilson, Linda L. Gray, Silvia Martinez, Jack Evans, James Joseph Boland, Calla R. Brown, Roxanne D. Brown, Maria Cardona, Alexandra Chalupa, J. David Cox, Leah Daughtry, Joanne Dowdell, Earl D. Fowlkes Jr., Lily L. Eskelsen Garcia, Harold Ickes, Claire Lucas, Minyon Moore, Carol Pensky, Carrie Pugh, Steve Regenstreif, Lee A. Saunders, Rick C. Wade, Jeff Berman [formerly Steyer].  This is more than 22 names; five of the listed superdelegates are likely not actually superdelegates.  I suspect James Zogby may be one of them.

Useful Links
The Green Papers
DC Delegate Selection Plan

Montana

Overview
19 Delegates (0.48% of total)
Open Primary
4 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
13 by District
No-excuse absentee voting starts no later than May 4.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

All registered voters can participate in the primary.  There is a GOP primary on the same day, and state and local races are on the ballot as well.

Montana has no-excuse absentee voting, both in-person and by mail, starting no later than May 4.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is March 9.

Details

Groups of 4 and 2 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The district delegates are divided into two pools, one corresponding to the Western half of the state (with 6 delegates), and the other to the Eastern (with 5 delegates).

The Western district comprises Beaverhead, Broadwater, Deer Lodge, Flathead, Glacier, Granite,
Jefferson, Lake, Lewis & Clark, Lincoln, Madison, Mineral, Missoula, Pondera, Powell,
Ravalli, Sanders and Silver Bow Counties.

The Eastern district comprises Big Horn, Blaine, Carbon, Carter, Cascade, Chouteau, Custer, Daniels,
Dawson, Fallon, Fergus, Gallatin, Garfield, Golden Valley, Hill, Judith Basin, Liberty,
McCone, Meagher, Musselshell, Park, Petroleum, Phillips, Powder River, Prairie,
Richland, Roosevelt, Rosebud, Sheridan, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Teton, Toole,
Treasure, Valley, Wheatland, Wibaux and Yellowstone Counties.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (6): Gov. Steve Bullock [formerly Bullock], Sen. Jon Tester [formerly Bullock], Robyn Driscoll, Max Croes, Jorge Quintana, Jean Dahlman

Useful Links
The Green Papers
MT Delegate Selection Plan (Draft)

New Jersey

Overview
126 Delegates (3.17% of total)
Semi-Open Primary
28 At-Large
14 PLEO At-Large
84 by District
Early Voting by mail starts around April 18.

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters can participate in the primary; unaffiliated voters who participate will become affiliated with the Democratic primary.  The voter registration deadline for new voters is June 2; the deadline to switch party affiliations is April 13.

New Jersey allows early voting by mail, starting around April 18.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is March 30.

Details

Groups of 28 and 14 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The District delegates are not apportioned by CD, but instead by "delegate district"; each delegate district comprises two state legislative districts.  District delegates are distributed as follows: 4 for LDs 4/5, 6/7, 14/15, 16/17, 21/27, 20/22, 28/29, 31/33, 34/35, 37/38; 3 for LDs 1/3, 2/9, 8/12, 10/30, 11/13, 18/19, 23/24, 25/26, 32/36, 39/40.

Superdelegates

Biden (2): Rep. Tom Malinowski, Rep. Donald Payne Jr.

Uncommitted (18): Gov. Phil Murphy, Sen. Bob Menendez, Sen. Cory Booker, Rep. Donald Norcross,
Rep. Andy Kim, Rep. Josh Gottheimer, Rep. Frank Pallone, Rep. Albio Sires, Rep. Bill Pascrell, Rep. Mikie Sherrill, Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, John Currie, Peg Schaffer, Tonio Burgos, John Graham, Marcia Marley, Bernadette McPherson, George Norcross III.

Jeff Van Drew is obviously no longer a superdelegate.

All uncommitted supers except Burgos and Marley had endorsed Booker.

Useful Links
The Green Papers
Delegate Selection Plan

New Mexico

Overview
34 Delegates (0.85% of total)
Closed Primary
7 At-Large
4 PLEO At-Large
23 by CD
Early Voting: May 5-30

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Only registered Democrats may participate in the primary.  The voter registration deadline is May 2.  17-year-olds who turn 18 by November 3 may participate in the primary.

New Mexico has early voting starting on May 5 and ending on May 30; the number of locations expands starting May 16.

New Mexico allows no-excuse absentee voting beginning no later than May 11.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is March 16.

Details

Groups of 7 and 4 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.  The CD delegates are distributed as follows: 7 for CDs 1,3; 5 for CD 2.

Superdelegates

Warren (1): Rep. Deb Haaland

Uncommitted (10): Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, Sen. Martin Heinrich, Sen. Tom Udall, Rep. Xochitl Torres Small, Rep. Ben Ray Luján, Fred Harris, Marg Elliston, Marcus Porter, Joni Marie Gutierrez, Raymond Sanchez

Useful Links
The Green Papers
NM Delegate Selection Plan (draft)

South Dakota

Overview
16 Delegates (0.40% of total)
Semi-Open Primary
4 At-Large
2 PLEO At-Large
No-excuse absentee voting starts April 17.

Who Can Vote? When Can they Vote?

Any voter who is a registered Democrat, Independent, or has no party affiliation may participate in the primary.  The Republican primary (held the same day) is only open to Republicans.  There are state and local races on the primary ballot, as well.  The voter registration deadline is May 19.

South Dakota allows no-excuse absentee voting (and apparently early voting) starting on April 17.

Ballot Access

The filing deadline is March 31.

Details

Groups of 10, 4, and 2 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote.

Superdelegates

Biden (1): Tom Daschle

Uncommitted (4): Paula Hawks, Randy Seiler, Deb Knecht, William Walsh

Useful Links
The Green Papers
SD Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #23 on: January 26, 2020, 10:03:54 PM »

Virgin Islands: June 6

The very last contest of the cycle; unlikely to receive much attention unless we're on the way to a contested convention.

Overview
7 Delegates (0.18% of total)
Closed Caucus
7 At-Large

Who Can Vote? When Can They Vote?

Caucuses will be held simultaneously on June 6, with one site each on St. Thomas, St. John, and St. Croix.  Any registered voter may participate in the caucus, provided they state that they prefer the Democratic party.  The voter registration deadline is May 5.  There is no absentee or early voting.

Ballot Access

There's no ballot access considerations here, but candidates must certify they name of their authorized representatives to the VI Democratic Party by April 3.

Details

4 Delegates will be allocated based on the results on St. Croix; 3 Delegates will be allocated based on the results on St. Thomas and St. John.

Superdelegates

Uncommitted (6): Gov. Albert Bryan Jr., Del. Stacey Plaskett [formerly Harris], Cecil Benjamin, Carol M. Burke, Carla Joseph, Ernest Morris

Useful Links
The Green Papers
VI Delegate Selection Plan
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« Reply #24 on: February 04, 2020, 08:11:10 PM »
« Edited: February 05, 2020, 07:35:22 PM by Erc »

Preliminary Iowa Results

Given the results we have so far (projecting them out on the most simplistic level to the remaining precincts gives little difference):

Biden misses viability in CD 2, but gets it everywhere else.
Warren misses viability in CD 4 by a hair, but gets it everywhere else. (This could *very* easily change)
Klobuchar gets viability in CD 4, and nowhere else.

Total national delegates:
Buttigieg 14
Sanders 11
Warren 8
Biden 7
Klobuchar 1

Exceptionally close delegate calls (<1% differences):

Third place in CD 1 gets a delegate; Biden is ahead of Warren by less than 0.5%.
Biden only has 15.6% in CD3; if he drops below viability, Sanders picks up his delegate.
Warren is at 14.97% in CD4; if she gets to viability, she picks up a delegate from Buttigieg.
Biden is at 15.6% statewdie; if he drops below viability, Sanders picks up 2 delegates and Buttigieg picks up 1.

Best case Sanders scenario is Biden tanks in CD3 and statewide, and Warren gets above threshold in CD 4 (the Biden-Warren contest in CD1 is largely irrelevant), which would make the delegate count:

Buttigieg 14
Sanders 14
Warren 9
Biden 3
Klobuchar 1

A relatively aggressive call:

Buttigieg 13
Sanders 11
Warren 8
Biden 2
Klobuchar 1
Too Close to Call 6
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