Predict all senate flips until 2030

[Tekken_Guy]

Predict every senate seat to flip up until (and including) 2030.

[Former President tack50]

Very hard to know without knowing who is president in 2020, 2024 and 2028, but anyways, I will assume a quite Republican heavy scenario where a Dem wins 2020, then a Republican wins 2024 and 2028:

2020
D to R: AL
R to D: CO, AZ, NC

D+2 (51R-49D)

2022
D to R: NH, AZ, NV
R to D: None

R+3 (54R-46D)

2024
D to R: WV, OH, MI, MT, AZ
R to D: None

R+5 (59R-41D)

2026
D to R: None
R to D: GA, ME, TX

D+3 (56R-44D)

2028
D to R: None
R to D: NV

D+1 (55R-45D)

2030
D to R: None
R to D: MI, AZ, TX, FL

D+4 (51R-49D)

[brucejoel99]

(Optimistically) presuming that the Democratic nominee(s) wins in 2020 & 2024:

2020
D to R: AL
R to D: CO, NC, AZ

D+2 (51R-49D)

2022
D to R: NH, AZ
R to D: None

R+2 (53R-47D)

2024
D to R: WV
R to D: TX

R±0 (53R-47D)

2026
D to R: NC, MI, NH, MN
R to D: None

R+4 (57R-43D)


And with that, I'm gonna stop there. I'm nowhere near comfortable making any predictions for 2028 & later.

[coloradocowboi]

This is like fanfic or alt history, but I'll play. Might as well guess presidential to explain.

2020: Sanders/Warren defeats Trump/Pence.
D to R: AL
R to D: CO, AZ, NC, ME

D+3 (50R-50D)
Schumer majority w/ Warren tiebreaker

2022
D to R: AZ, NH
R to D: None

R+2 (53R-47D)
Schumer primaried out by AOC after not being cooperative w/ Warren & Sanders.
Dem turnout low.
Joe Manchin flips to GOP after election.

2024: Sanders/Warren wins massive re-election victory over Pence/Haley.
D to R: None
R to D: FL, ME (King loses 3 way race), TX

D+3 (50R-50D)
Patty Murray Majority Leader w/ Warren tiebreaker

2026
D to R: None
R to D: GA, TX, SC

D+3 (47R-53D)
Demographic changes really hit the GOP hard w/ educated, young, and diverse voters making up a surprisingly high component of the electorate and GOP growth in the WWC maxed out. It causes a real soul-searching moment for the party, but ultimately lets Bernie fulfill his wishlist at last--M4A, GND, free community college, and massive defense cuts and tax hikes.

2028 Ocasio-Cortez/Polis narrowly defeats Haley/Rubio
D to R: None
R to D: GA

D+1 (46R-54D)
GOP tries to go woke, and the country almost falls for it. But they cling on to social issues.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2020
Dems net 3-6 seats
SC, AZ, CO, are the ones to go first, Dems can win AK, GA, and ME, KY. KS and TX for the wave insurance
2022
Dems 2-4 seats 55 seats possible IA, OH, Scholten and Tim Ryan are wave insurance + PA and WI with Sestak and some Dem

2024
Depending on statehood of PR, Dems can have the Senate for a while Sherrod Brown, Casey, Baldwin, Tester, Baldwin and Richard Ojeda can win election since this will be a Biden reelection.

Predicting individual races is very hard to predict right now, but Dems have an excellent chance with Trifecta

[socaldem]

Predict every senate seat to flip up until (and including) 2030.

2020 (50-50)
+3 D

AL, AZ, CO, ME, KS
Biden or Sanders narrowly defeat Trump.

Dems win AZ (Kelly), CO (Hickenlooper), ME (Gideon) & KS (Bollier) with an upset win.
Jones loses.

NC, SC, and the GA seats are all surprisingly close. Alaska is also a missed opportunity for Dems. Ernst wins reelection handily, however.

2022

52-48 D
+2 Dem
WI, PA

Midterm election sees Dem House losses in some suburban territory in the post-Trump area. However, the focus on economic issues is helpful in the rust belt.

Dems pick up WI with Josh Kaul or Mandela Barnes. They also win in PA with Chrissy Houlahan.

Republican efforts in NV and NH fizzle--Trump is used as an albatross to sink Republican challengers.

2024
Open seat election as Biden/Sanders opt to retire for health reasons. A close Presidential race between Sen. Ayanna Pressley (Warren was appointed to lead Treasury) and Ambassador Haley with a slight win by Pressley.

53-47 D
+1

FL, TX, WV

Dems win FL with Stephanie Murphy and TX with Veronica Escobar. WV goes to Republican Carol Miller, creating the first Republican female senate team since the Snowe/Collins duo in Maine.
Tester holds on in Montana and Buttigieg loses a close race in IN.

2026

51-49 R
+4R
CO, ME, MI, KS

Republicans surge back with wins in CO, ME, MI, KS in an anti-Dem midterm.

Dems have tight margins in NC and GA but don't close the deal.

2028
53-47 D
+4D
NC, GA, FL, KS

Pres. Pressley handily reelected. The Dem freshmen incumbents in WI and PA win easily. NC, GA, FL flip. Open seats in MO and KS are close with Sen. Bollier winning back a seat that she had lost narrowly in 2026.

2030
50-50
+3R
MT, OH, MI

Republicans finally defeat Sen. Tester--an old bull Democrat. Republicans also pick up OH and MI open seats from retiring Dem Senators Stabenow and Brown. Dems hold TX and FL--both close elections but with strong incumbents.

Dems maintain control with VP Sharice Davids breaking ties.

[😥]

2020: Biden/Klobuchar defeated Trump/Pence

D gain: AZ, CO, NC
R gain: AL
D+2

51-49 R

2022:
D gain: PA, NC (Cooper)
R gain: NH

50-50 D

2024:
Klobuchar/Bel Edwards defeated Pence/Haley

D gain: FL, TX
R gain: WV

51-49 D

2026:
D gain: ME
R gain: MI, NH, NC

51-49 R
It's very difficult to predict 2020 Senate election, and obviously 2022 and later

[Astatine]

2020 (election too close to call):

D to R: AL
R to D: CO, AZ, NC

51 R - 49 D

2022 (Biden midterm):

D to R: NH, NV, AZ
R to D: PA

53 R - 47 D

2022 (Trump midterm):

D to R: none
R to D: GA, NC, PA, WI

53 D - 47 R

2024 (narrow Dem victory after 4 years of Biden):

D to R: MT, WV
R to D: none

55 R - 45 D

2024 (Dem landslide after 8 years of Trump):

D to R: WV
R to D: FL, TX

54 D - 46 R

2026 (Dem midterm, blue=seats only flipping after 8 years of Trump, red=seats additionally flipping to Dem midterm, black=seats flipping in a Dem midterm anyways):

D to R: MI, MN, NH, NC
R to D: ME

59 R - 41 D
52 D - 48 R

2028 is too far beyond I guess.

[Xing]

Only going to go up to 2024:

2020 (Biden wins)
D to R: AL
R to D: AZ, CO, NC, and one of GA-S/ME
D+3

50D-50R

2022 (Biden midterm)
D to R: AZ, NH
R to D: None
R+2

52R-48D

2024 (decisive Republican win)
D to R: MI, MT, OH, WV, and one of AZ/WI
R to D: None
R+5

57R-43D

2020 (Trump wins)
D to R: AL
R to D: AZ (either this year or in 2022), CO
D+1

52R-48D

2022 (Trump second midterm)
D to R: None
R to D: GA, NC, PA, WI, and one of FL/IA
D+5

53D-47R

2024 (Democratic tsunami)
D to R: WV
R to D: FL, TX
D+1

54D-46R

[Tekken_Guy]

2020: Biden wins presidency

D to R: AL
R to D: CO, AZ, NC, ME

50-50 (D control)

2022: Biden midterm

D to R: AZ, NH
R to D: PA, WI

50-50 (D control)

2024: Biden retires; DeSantis beats his VP

D to R: WV, MT, OH
R to D: None

53-47 R

2026: DeSantis midterm

D to R: None
R to D: GA, TX

51-49 R

2028: DeSantis re-elected

D to R: WI
R to D: AZ

51-49 R

2030: DeSantis second midterm

D to R: None
R to D: FL, TX