McLaughlin & Associates: Biden 27, Sanders 17, Warren 15, Bloom/Butt/Yang 5
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  McLaughlin & Associates: Biden 27, Sanders 17, Warren 15, Bloom/Butt/Yang 5
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Author Topic: McLaughlin & Associates: Biden 27, Sanders 17, Warren 15, Bloom/Butt/Yang 5  (Read 781 times)
Adam Griffin
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« on: December 23, 2019, 03:55:46 PM »
« edited: December 23, 2019, 03:58:56 PM by President Griffin »

They did 2 matchups (one with Clinton included; Biden +6), but this is the more realistic of the two.

27% Biden   
17% Sanders   
15% Warren   
05% Bloomberg   
05% Buttigieg   
05% Yang         
04% Steyer   
03% Booker   
02% Gabbard   
02% Klobuchar   
02% Castro   
01% Delaney   
01% Bennet   
01% Williamson   

https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/National-Monthly-December-PUBLIC.pdf
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2019, 04:00:13 PM »

Does this count towards January debate qualifications?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2019, 04:03:41 PM »

Does this count towards January debate qualifications?

Nope.

Quote
A candidate needs at least five percent support in four different polls published from a list of approved pollsters between November 14, 2019 and January 10, 2020, which cannot be based on open-ended questions and must cover either the national level or one of the first four primary/caucus states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina). Only one poll from each approved pollster counts towards meeting the threshold for each region. The approved pollsters are the Associated Press, ABC News/The Washington Post, CBS News/YouGov, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, Monmouth University, National Public Radio, NBC News/The Wall Street Journal, NBC News/Marist, The Nevada Independent/Mellman Group, The New York Times, Quinnipiac University, the University of New Hampshire, USA Today/Suffolk, and Winthrop University. For organizations that appear in pairs with other entities, only polls conducted by the listed pairings are permitted. Organizations listed individually can partner with any other entity or field polls independently.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2019, 04:19:30 PM »

They did 2 matchups (one with Clinton included; Biden +6), but this is the more realistic of the two.

27% Biden   
17% Sanders   
15% Warren   
05% Bloomberg   
05% Buttigieg   
05% Yang         
04% Steyer   
03% Booker   
02% Gabbard   
02% Klobuchar   
02% Castro   
01% Delaney   
01% Bennet   
01% Williamson   

Also Patrick at 0%.

GOP #s:
Trump 83%
Weld 3%
Walsh 2%

Dem. crosstabs…

white:
Biden 24%
Sanders 18%
Warren 15%
Bloomberg 7%

black:
Biden 39%
Warren 12%
Sanders 7%
Booker 6%

Hispanic:
Biden 26%
Sanders 24%
Warren 18%
Steyer 5%

men:
Biden 24%
Sanders 18%
Warren 14%

women:
Biden 30%
Sanders 16%
Warren 16%

Midwest:
Biden 29%
Sanders 23%
Warren 14%

Northeast:
Biden 34%
Sanders 12%
Warren 12%

South:
Biden 26%
Warren 16%
Sanders 15%

West:
Biden 23%
Sanders 19%
Warren 16%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2019, 04:30:10 PM »
« Edited: December 23, 2019, 04:54:17 PM by Cory Booker »

It comes to this, if people want bread crumbs and support a corrupted person in Joe Biden,  they deserve to lose, and yes Guiliani, is getting Ukraine corruption on Biden, when he goes up against Biden in 2020. Impeachment isnt a turnout issue beyond party base supporters, and Biden can lose like Hilary.

It doesnt matter, if the base oppose Biden, it matters among GE voters and Republicans and Independents on whom they will support. In the Suffolk poll, it shows Biden is losing Indies like Hilary did.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #5 on: December 23, 2019, 04:48:41 PM »

These are some of the most comically loaded questions I've ever seen!

JUNK IT.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: December 23, 2019, 05:08:03 PM »

Does this count towards January debate qualifications?

This won't even be added to the RCP average.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: December 23, 2019, 10:37:11 PM »


At this point, I'll be stunned when you don't post this in a new poll thread
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: December 24, 2019, 12:30:13 AM »


At this point, I'll be stunned when you don't post this in a new poll thread

If the poll has Sanders doing well, it's a quality poll by Hokey's reckoning.

E.g., "world renowned" Change Research:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=351076.0
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #9 on: December 24, 2019, 12:49:17 AM »

Northeast:
Biden 34%
Sanders 12%
Warren 12%

South:
Biden 26%
Warren 16%
Sanders 15%

How can Biden do so much better in the northeast than in the south? Doesn't make any sense whatsoever. Biden is really struggling in states like New Hampshire, Vermont and Massachusetts. At the very least they have to be including lots of non-New England states in this sample, like Pennsylvania, New York and New Jersey. Even then though, it doesn't make any sense at all, unless Biden is at 60-70% in Pennsylvania lol.
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