Ohio redistricting thread

[Frenchrepublican]

All I know is that I better remain in a Republican district or else I'm not going to be happy.

If you don’t live in Hamilton county you don’t have to worry about that

[Frenchrepublican]

10 safe R districts
4 safe D districts (1 in Hamilton county, 1 in Franklin county, 1 in Cuyahoga county and 1 around Akron which could be linked to include some parts of Lorain county)
1 competitive district in northwest Ohio (which is trending R fast)

[Frenchrepublican]

https://districtr.org/edit/1776

This is my fair Ohio district map.

District 1 (1): Blue district. Based in Cincinnati. Chabot would likely not run here because it is too Democratic here.
District 2 (: Yellow district in Butler, Warren, and Clermont counties. Heavily Republican suburbs of Cincinnati. Brad Wenstrup may run here.
District 3 (2): Blueish-green district. Open, deep-red, seat based in South Ohio. Would probably be labeled as District 2. Contains parts of Wenstrup’s and Stivers’ old districts, but neither of them live here.
District 4 (6): Lime-green district near the WV border. Very Republican district. Mostly Bill Johnson’s old district, but Balderson’s home of Zanesville will likely be here.
District 5 (10): Magenta district around Dayton. Mostly, but not overwhelmingly, Republican seat for Mike Turner.
District 6 (4): Purple district around Lima and Bellefontaine. Would be represented by Jordan or Davidson.
District 7 (5): Turqoise district in NW Ohio around Toledo. GOP-tilting swing district that would have a Latta vs. Kaptur matchup.
District 8 (7): Bluish-purple district near Mansfield and Marion. Bob Gibbs would run here.
District 9 (3): Red Columbus Dem vote sink for Joyce Beatty.
District 10 (12): Blue North Columbus/Delaware district. Balderson no longer lives here, but Steve Stivers could run if he wanted to.
District 11 (9): Orange West Cuyahoga/Lorain/Medina seat for Anthony Gonzalez to run in. Swingy but R-leaning.
District 12 (11): Green Cleveland-based seat that Marcia Fudge will easily win.
District 13 (14): Light pink district in East Cuyahoga and NE Ohio. Dave Joyce would run here. It’s swingle and Hillary narrowly won it because of Euclid and Bedford, but it’s trending R.
District 14 (13): Purple district in the Mahoning Valley. Tim Ryan is from here, but it’s getting pretty red. It could be his escape hatch out to the Senate since it’s slightly redder than the state overall.
District 15 (15): Swingy light-green district around Akron and Canton. Clinton narrowly lost it and no incumbents live here..

So your map is
3 D districts
7 R districts
5 competitive districts

Right ?

[Frenchrepublican]

10 safe R districts
4 safe D districts (1 in Hamilton county, 1 in Franklin county, 1 in Cuyahoga county and 1 around Akron which could be linked to include some parts of Lorain county)
1 competitive district in northwest Ohio (which is trending R fast)

I don't think a map could be drawn that safe without running afoul of the state constitution. It's also possible for Democrats to win the state Supreme Court. Democrats picked up 2 seats last year. If they do the same next year, it's a majority with original jurisdiction on all maps. The new amendment does have strict standards in place. I think a more likely map will be:

Safe D - 3 (Cuyahoga County, Franklin County, Hamilton County)
Likely/Lean D - 2 (Akron-based, Toledo-based)
Toss-up - 1 (Youngtown-based)
Likely/Lean R - 2 (Dayton-based, Northeast OH)
Solid R - 7 (Everything else)

Yeah, a such map could be plausible too, now the district around Youngstown would be probably tilt R by 2022, especially if Akron is in a different district.