What Class I Senators will not still be in the Senate in 2025?

[Tekken_Guy]

Which of these Class I U.S. Senators do you think will no longer be in the Senate as of January 2025?

[😥]

Dianne Feinstein (retired)   
Tom Carper (retired)
Rick Scott (lost reelection)   
Mazie Hirono (retired)       
Angus King (retired)   
Ben Cardin (retired)    
Bob Menendez (lost primary)
Ted Cruz (lost reelection)    
Bernie Sanders (retired)   
Joe Manchin    (retired)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Angus King retired Jared Golden replaces him
Feinstein retires Schiff replaces her
Elizabeth Warren retires Joe Kennedy or Pressler replaces her
Bernie Sanders retires or becomes Prez after 2021
Bob Menendez retires and Pallone replaces him
Ben Cardin replaced by progressive
Joe Manchin retires and Richard Ojeda replaces him

[Frenchrepublican]

On the R side :

Cruz : runs for POTUS
Wicker : retires due to his age

On the D side :

Brown : lose reelection after republicans decide to target this race seriously (I hope)
Cardin : retires due to his age
Feinstein : retires due to her age
Manchin : retires or is defeated

Menendez could lose the primary this time even if I'm not sure about that and Tester could be defeated by a republican, but I'm not sure about that either.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Manchin and King are definitely retiring and Jared Golden and Ojeda will replace them

[Tekken_Guy]

IMO:

Dianne Feinstein (retires)
Tom Carper (retires)
Rick Scott (runs for President)
Angus King (retires)
Ben Cardin (retires)
Elizabeth Warren (retires)
Roger Wicker (retires)
Jon Tester (defeated)
Bob Menendez (retires)
Sherrod Brown (defeated)
Ted Cruz (runs for President)
Mitt Romney (retires)
Bernie Sanders (retires)
Joe Manchin (retires)

Kyrsten Sinema, Josh Hawley, Marsha Blackburn may also run for president, but they’d all jump back in their races if they lose the nomination.

[freepcrusher]

anyone over 75 in 2024 is an obvious bet for retirement so that includes Hirono, Warren, Sanders, Feinstein, Romney, Cardin, Manchin Carper and King.

after that it'll all come down to if Trump wins in 2020 or not. Brown, Tester, Sinema, Baldwin, Stabenow (though she might retire too), and Casey shouldn't have too hard of a battle in 2024 if Trump wins and Cruz/Scott could very well lose. If a dem wins in 2020 - they are playing 100% defense and you could lose 3-4 seats.

[Frenchrepublican]

anyone over 75 in 2024 is an obvious bet for retirement so that includes Hirono, Warren, Sanders, Feinstein, Romney, Cardin, Manchin Carper and King.

after that it'll all come down to if Trump wins in 2020 or not. Brown, Tester, Sinema, Baldwin, Stabenow (though she might retire too), and Casey shouldn't have too hard of a battle in 2024 if Trump wins and Cruz/Scott could very well lose. If a dem wins in 2020 - they are playing 100% defense and you could lose 3-4 seats.

I disagree on those two, even if Trump is reeleted next year Ohio and Montana would remain very interesting targets for republicans in 2024, Ohio is trending R fast and should be up for grab no matter what and considering how Montana leans in presidential election, this race should be very competitive too.
Keep in mind that in 2016, even after eight of a democratic administration, democrats were still able to flip Illinois and New Hampshire.

[freepcrusher]

anyone over 75 in 2024 is an obvious bet for retirement so that includes Hirono, Warren, Sanders, Feinstein, Romney, Cardin, Manchin Carper and King.

after that it'll all come down to if Trump wins in 2020 or not. Brown, Tester, Sinema, Baldwin, Stabenow (though she might retire too), and Casey shouldn't have too hard of a battle in 2024 if Trump wins and Cruz/Scott could very well lose. If a dem wins in 2020 - they are playing 100% defense and you could lose 3-4 seats.

I disagree on those two, even if Trump is reeleted next year Ohio and Montana would remain very interesting targets for republicans in 2024, Ohio is trending R fast and should be up for grab no matter what and considering how Montana leans in presidential election, this race should be very competitive too.
Keep in mind that in 2016, even after eight of a democratic administration, democrats were still able to flip Illinois and New Hampshire.

Don't forget that in 2008 the republicans were playing defense.

[BP🌹]

I think people are forgetting that Hirono has stage 4 kidney cancer :/

[brucejoel99]

I think people are forgetting that Hirono has stage 4 kidney cancer :/

To be fair, she's doing remarkably well.

[Suburbia]

Feinstein
Carper
Scott
King
Stabenow
Menendez
Cruz
Romney
Sanders
Manchin as well

[MarkD]

Feinstein
Carper
Hirono
King
Cardin
Stabenow
Cruz
Sanders
Manchin

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Feinstein (retires or dies)
Coons (retires)
Scott (runs for President)
Hirono (retires or passes)
King (retires)
Klobuchar (gets an appointment of some sort)
Tester (defeated)
Menendez (loses primary or retires)
Brown (defeated or retires)
Cruz (defeated or runs for President)
Romney (retires)
Kaine (retires)
Manchin (retires)

[Heir of Camelot]

Tester is 63 so I think he wins one more and then retires in 30'.

The Montana Republican bench is sh**t (that's a direct quote from my friend who is a Republican operative). 90's Marc Racicot is not walking through that door. Zinke is gone. Fox will either be governor or fade away. Rosendale can't pronounce Montana correctly. Staples will lose the primary for MT-AL and probably run for it again in 2 years. Gianforte will lost the Governor's race and go back to being a billionaire with anger management issues etc.