PA-Sen: New Rasmussen Poll

[Moooooo]

Rasmussen Reports:

PENNSYLVANIA SENATE
Bob Casey (D) 53%
Rick Santorum (R) 38%

[TheresNoMoney]

Beautiful.

[nini2287]

Looks good to me!

[© tweed]

Santorum is closing in on Casey.  He has gained 5% since the last poll, folks.

It's increasingly clear that Santorum will finish off his comeback.

[TheresNoMoney]

Santorum is closing in on Casey.  He has gained 5% since the last poll, folks.

It's increasingly clear that Santorum will finish off his comeback.

You never fail to crack me up, Tweed!!

[nini2287]

Didn't the last poll only have Casey up 12 - or was that Quinnipiac?

[© tweed]

Didn't the last poll only have Casey up 12 - or was that Quinnipiac?

The last Rasmussen poll had it a 54-34 in favor of Casey.

[Flying Dog]

This race will either be a landslide for casey or a tight nail bitter

[Adlai Stevenson]

Who knows?  Probably the latter.  Although I detest him in principle Santorum is a fighting man who will not go down easily; this campaign will be one of the most dynamic and climactic in recent American history.  It represents what seems to be the battleground of American politics every two years: Pennsylvania.  Santorum is hated by Democrats but loved by Republicans, a feature of some of many of America's most distinguished politicians.  Every eye is on this race and how it goes on election night will be seen as setting the standard for events elsewhere in the country.

[bullmoose88]

I really don't like either of these guys. I think I'm gonna vote libertarian or such...anyone from Pennsylvania want themselves on a write in ballot?

Casey at 53% is okay...kinda should worry anyone who is behind him...in this state, the last name of Casey (and given how he's run for almost everything here and won, save governor) makes me feel like he's playing the role of incumbent. If this was an open seat, I'd say that was definitely the case.  But it's not, so 53% is still decent, nothing to be too worried about yet.

Though this race was supposed to be a lock, the Dems easiest pickup and someone with the name of Casey isn't doing better than 53%? Granted, his lead is 17 points, but this is Rick "Man on Dog" Santorum...a Kerry State should be giving one of its favorite sons (supposedly) a bigger poll than that.

But before I proclaim the return of Santorum, he's only polling 38%, I don't think he's going to catch up enough (barring enough Casey flaws--Casey isn't showing he's a good campaigner, but he hasn't made a gaffe yet). Santorum is a good campaigner, do not deceive yourselves, the man knows how to hold a room (i've seen him in action), and I'm sure the flurry of negative ads to come will close the margin...but I don't think enough.

Prediction to this point

Casey 51.5%
Santorum 46.5%
Others 2%

[True Democrat]

Casey disapproval is only at like 7% in the state or something, but I would be one of those people.  I really really really hate both candidates, but I'm supporting Casey anyway.

[TeePee4Prez]

My prediction:

Casey (D): 51%
Santorum (R): 44%
Generic Libertarian: 2%
Generic Green/Liberal: 3%

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Santorum is closing in on Casey.  He has gained 5% since the last poll, folks.

It's increasingly clear that Santorum will finish off his comeback.

That's the same type of logic that electoral prediction site used in their final projection that had Kerry winning Utah.

[Ben.]

My prediction:

Casey (D): 51%
Santorum (R): 44%
Generic Libertarian: 2%
Generic Green/Liberal: 3%

Sounds about right, but it could always be closer still... if he gets it though and more importantly if he wants to keep it i could seen Casey having the Senate seat for as long as he wanted it... which would be nice  

[TeePee4Prez]

My prediction:

Casey (D): 51%
Santorum (R): 44%
Generic Libertarian: 2%
Generic Green/Liberal: 3%

Sounds about right, but it could always be closer still... if he gets it though and more importantly if he wants to keep it i could seen Casey having the Senate seat for as long as he wanted it... which would be nice  

Says you.  I think he wants governor and I don't know if I really want him having that either, BUT I have to consider 2010 Census Reapportionment.  So long as I get Barbara Hafer or Joe Hoeffel to replace Specter I'll be happy.

[Speed of Sound]

My prediction (as of today):

Casey: 49%
Santorum: 44%
Libertarian: 1%
semi-powerful liberal candidate: 6%

[Defarge]

Rasmussen has seemingly been off lately, I wouldn't put too much stock in this poll either, even though it seems consistent with prior polls.

[MissCatholic]

Well im campaigning as a Nazi for Santorum in York County.