Republican Base May Not Turn Out
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  Republican Base May Not Turn Out
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Frodo
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« on: January 20, 2006, 02:25:35 PM »

Republicans worried about party faithful

By RON FOURNIER
AP Political Writer


WASHINGTON — A growing number of Republican voters are frustrated by congressional spending and scandal, according to GOP leaders from across the country who worry that an "enthusiasm deficit" could cost the party control of Congress in November.

Some rank-and-file Republicans wonder what happened to the party that promised to reform Washington after taking control of Congress in 1994 for the first time in 40 years.

"We've seen the enemy, and he is us," said Tom Rath, a Republican National Committee member from New Hampshire describing the sentiments of some GOP voters. "We have to get back to the basics. Let's talk about small government and reduced spending, and don't let the Democrats take those issues."

"I hear a lot of concern about increased spending and the need to reduce it - talk about getting back to the basics," said Kate Obenshain Griffin, chairwoman of the Virginia Republican Party.

Griffin, Rath and several other Republican activists attending a two-day RNC meeting said GOP voters in their states still strongly support President Bush. They also insisted in interviews that Republicans were more likely than not to retain control of the House and the Senate in November.

But the possibility of losing Congress doesn't seem as remote as it once did. Many tried-and-true Republican voters are disenchanted with party leaders in Congress, and the sulky mood could suppress turnout in November, RNC members said.

Separately, private polling for Republicans suggest that government spending and political fallout from the Iraq war are causing anxiety among GOP voters. Senior party officials inside and outside the White House fear that Washington scandal may hurt GOP turnout if average Republican voters believe that Congress' spending habits are partly the result of corruption.

That may be one reason why national party chairman Ken Mehlman told RNC members that corrupt politicians in either party should be rooted out and punished. "The public trust is more important than party," he said in a speech Friday.

The investigation of lobbyist Jack Abramoff threatens to ensnare at least a half dozen members of Congress of both parties and Bush administration officials. Abramoff, who has admitted to conspiring to defraud his Indian tribe clients, has pleaded guilty to corruption-related charges and is cooperating with prosecutors. His ties to GOP congressional leaders and the White House pose a particular problem for Republicans.

Ten months before the midterm elections, Bush gets a chance to shape the political landscape with his State of the Union address Jan. 31. But there are a few clouds on the horizon that concern Republicans:

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Dave from Michigan
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2006, 12:37:54 AM »

I may not be voting republican in November, the republicans need to lose, I don't feel they can reform without losing.  I will not be helping out with any campaign either.  Of course it is still unlikely that the republicans would lose even if the base didn't turn out.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2006, 01:08:47 AM »

Actually, the 'scandal' thing has little impact on the voters.

However, the Republican base is really angry with Bush's pushing amnesty for illegal aliens!

So far House Republicans have been listening to the voters, while Senate Republicans appear to be deaf!
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jfern
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« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2006, 01:11:10 AM »


They won't lose if lots of people who think that they need to lose don't vote against them.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2006, 01:53:05 AM »

The Republicans have lost their way, but the Democrats aren't in a position to profit from that since they don't have a clear message either.  I expect the Dems to make gains, but nothing spectacular.
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Galactic Overlord
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2006, 08:54:38 PM »

My predication has been +3 for the Democrats in the House.  I may revise it later, but that's been my thoughts for about a year now.
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WMS
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« Reply #6 on: January 23, 2006, 01:16:46 PM »

The Republicans have lost their way, but the Democrats aren't in a position to profit from that since they don't have a clear message either.  I expect the Dems to make gains, but nothing spectacular.
I agree with Ernest's analysis. Especially the first sentence. Smiley
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Brandon H
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« Reply #7 on: January 24, 2006, 01:51:23 PM »

When the people get frustrated with the Democrats, they vote Republican thinking that will solve all of their problems. Then the people get frustrated with the Republicans and they vote Democrat thinking that will solve all of their problems. They will never learn.
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opebo
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« Reply #8 on: January 24, 2006, 02:01:10 PM »

When the people get frustrated with the Democrats, they vote Republican thinking that will solve all of their problems. Then the people get frustrated with the Republicans and they vote Democrat thinking that will solve all of their problems. They will never learn.

Correct, Brandon H. - they would have to stop voting for right-wing parties altogether to have their problems solved!
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tarheel-leftist85
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« Reply #9 on: January 24, 2006, 08:31:26 PM »

They'll turn out...especially if Dems. even try to filibuster Alito.  Obviously they can't win on economics, but a little social pandering and the fact that Democrats are clamoring to become civil libertarians should seal the deal.
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