UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread

[Oryxslayer]

CONs gain Workington

[Silent Hunter]

Labour had held that seat continuously with one exception since 1918.

[politicallefty]

It was Labour since 1918 apart from a 1976 by-election.

[super6646]

It was Labour since 1918 apart from a 1976 by-election.

Yikes

[Paleobrazilian]

Labour had held that seat continuously with one exception since 1918.

The only exception was a by-election in 1976. Huge CON win.

[Clyde1998]

No idea what's happening on Channel 4:
https://twitter.com/scottygb/status/1205291535539027968

[Silent Hunter]

CON gain Darlington!

[DistingFlyer]

Workington: 9.7% swing to Tories
Kettering (first East Midlands result): 6.3% swing to Tories
Fylde: 5.1% to Tories

Seventeen seats in now, none showing a swing less than 4.6%.

Looking at the first fifteen counts in every election, the only times that a misleading picture was provided by them were 2015 (where they indicated Labour gains) & 2017 (where they indicated Tory gains).

Unless these early counts are incredibly out of line with the rest, tonight should enter the company of 1966, 1997 & 2005, where every result out of the first fifteen pointed toward the correct outcome (increased Labour majority, Labour gaining government with a majority & reduced Labour majority respectively).

[Oryxslayer]

Exit poll may exaggerate the SNP BBC is saying. 55 was always kinda out there, but gains are guaranteed. I wonder if my prediction of urban/rural polarization will hold up on the SNP gains.

[jeron]

SNP gain Rutherglen & Hamilton West from Labour

Tories down 5%. If this is the trend they will lose most seats in Scotland.

[Cape Verde]

Actually, BREXIT party is getting a very small number of votes in realistic Conservative target seats such as Darlington or Workington. I think without the BREXIT party candidates, Labour would have faced even a bigger loss.

[urutzizu]

SNP gain Rutherglen & Hamilton West from Labour

Tories down 5%. If this is the trend they will lose most seats in Scotland.

That might have been down to tactical voting in this seat though.

[Paleobrazilian]

SNP gain Rutherglen & Hamilton West from Labour

Tories down 5%. If this is the trend they will lose most seats in Scotland.

Could be the unionist tactical vote.

[The Free North]

Is Scotland as good as gone now? Surely the desire to remain in the EU will be enough to flip people towards leaving the UK in the next referendum.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

LAB gains Jarrow

[Filuwaúrdjan]

If the actual result is worse than the exit poll, they could be out of power for the next 10 years.

With an electorate as a volatile and bad-tempered as this I would avoid making assumptions like that.

[Silent Hunter]

Yep. After the fourth Tory victory in a row in 1992 came 1997.

[Gracile]

LAB gains Jarrow

It's not really a gain as the current MP was Labour but was suspended and became Independent.

[The Free North]

Seen on twitter, but bears repeating based on some earlier points:

Bernie Sanders approval rating average: -3.
Donald Trump approval rating average: -11.
Boris Johnson approval rating average: -12.
Jeremy Corbyn approval rating average: -40.

[Clyde1998]

If the actual result is worse than the exit poll, they could be out of power for the next 10 years.

With an electorate as a volatile and bad-tempered as this I would avoid making assumptions like that.

Particularly as the aftereffects of Brexit may have a radical impact on voting intentions, particularly if there are major negative effects.

[DistingFlyer]

LAB gains Jarrow

It's not really a gain as the current MP was Labour but was suspended and became Independent.

Jarrow ties Wansbeck for the biggest swing so far tonight (11.3%). Will be interesting to see what the largest overall will be.

[jeron]

SNP gain Rutherglen & Hamilton West from Labour

Tories down 5%. If this is the trend they will lose most seats in Scotland.

That might have been down to tactical voting in this seat though.

Tactical voting? How? Do you suggest Tories are voting Labour to keep SNP out? That is nonsense

[OSR stands with Israel]

Yep. After the fourth Tory victory in a row in 1992 came 1997.

Difference was the 1992 election was after 13 years in power and 1997 was after 18 years

[Silent Hunter]

1964 then. Tories went from a landslide in 1959 to a narrow loss to Labour.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Imagine being a 60 year old British guy from the northeast who has voted Labour his entire life, hates Thatcher with a passion, but looks at Boris and goes “hey I know he went to the most elite school in the country and was born into wealth but he wears his hair in a weird style so yeah I think he’s one of us”

Imagine having such a low opinion to think voters actually are like that.