2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Tennessee

[patzer]

Here's a more out-there idea.

You can justify it by saying you're representing the TN black vote better by having the VRA seat include black-majority bits of Memphis, black-majority bits of Nashville, and black-majority rural areas.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/3fbd5418-a7f0-411d-9cbe-c914aafeda23

[patzer]

Update, I was able to get a hold of the shapefiles for the new map. I have imported them into DRA, so you can now find an interactive version of the congressional lines here:



https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::f3ed018f-bbe1-4a98-9218-c01c75b4da74

Wow, so in the 2018 senate election Bredesen (D) won the new 5th by nineteen votes.

And he only lost the 7th by 1071 votes (49.6%-49.1%).

It'd be very amusing if both of those districts end up flipping D later in the decade.

[patzer]

Any chance TN Rs were using 2018 senate numbers as a benchmark for the best possible D performance?

That wouldn't surprise me.

Hmm, just using presidential data, the 5th went from Trump+17.1% in 2016 to Trump+11.3% in 2020, while the 7th went from Trump+17.2% in 2016 to Trump+15.1% in 2020. So while both of the districts may have had similar performances in 2016 and 2018, looks like it's the 5th that has the best chances for Dems in the future- important to look at trends as well as past performances!