2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Tennessee

[Roll Roons]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/35957d25-356d-41a9-bb12-a10613991919

I've shared this on another thread, but this is my 8-1 map. Nashville is split between four Republican districts. The current TN-04, TN-06 and TN-07 are modified to take parts of it, and the new TN-05 now takes in Williamson and several rural counties south of it. At least in 2016, Trump won them all by at least 25 points. Though I would be very curious about 2020 numbers, given the huge leftward swings in Davidson, Williamson and Rutherford. All of these districts should be Safe R for the next two election cycles, though by the end of the decade, one or more could be in trouble if it's a blue wave.

[Roll Roons]

I know it's not a perfect comparison, but GA-6 and GA-7 were both 60R-37D (-ish) districts in 2012 as well.   Not necessarily guaranteed to be safe.

TX-10 and TX-21 (Austin crack districts) each gave Romney around 60% but only barely went to Trump last year.

[Roll Roons]

I still think they're asking for trouble down the road by doing this. Let's see what happens.

[Roll Roons]

I bet we'll get a compact Dem seat in Nashville after 2030.

[Roll Roons]

I'm still not entirely convinced that 8-1 will hold for the decade.

[Roll Roons]

So the (soon to be) 5th distirct now holds a very interesting resident.

Leigh-Allyn Baker

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leigh-Allyn_Baker

Baker is best known for being on Disney Channel’s Good Luck, Charlie and her viral (hah) opposition to mask and vaccines mandates.

She’s a nut and a celebrity. Honestly could be a rock star in the modern republican party

I'm fairly sure there's a certain other former Disney Channel star who's originally from this district...