Israeli General Election (2nd of March, 2020): Madness

[Walmart_shopper]

Revising my prediction:

Likud - 36
KL - 32
JL - 16
Shas - 9
MLG - 8
Yamina - 7
UTJ - 7
YB - 5

Right 59, left 56, Lieb 5

Likud 38
KL 36
JL 17
Labor/Meretz 7
Shas 8
UTJ 5
Yamina 5
Liberman 4

Right 56
Left 60

Liberman falling under is a real possibility.

That's my prediction.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/Gil_Hoffman/status/1234533721799196672

Gevelt as usual.

[danny]

Likud has been fined for taking voters to polls in limousines (!)

Private Likud supporters, not Likud itself. And the fine was more for offering food and drink on the way than for the limousines themselves.

[jaymichaud]

https://twitter.com/Gil_Hoffman/status/1234533721799196672

Gevelt as usual.

They said this last time I’m sure

[Walmart_shopper]

https://twitter.com/Gil_Hoffman/status/1234533721799196672

Gevelt as usual.

They said this last time I’m sure

They did.

But turnout in Tel Aviv is always ridiculously low. If only liberal Jews cared as much about the strengtg of Israeli democracy as Arabs.

[danny]

They did.

But turnout in Tel Aviv is always ridiculously low. If only liberal Jews cared as much about the strengtg of Israeli democracy as Arabs.

Liberal Jews generally vote at a significantly higher rate than Arabs.

[jaymichaud]

https://twitter.com/netanyahu/status/1234530075221118978?s=21

Well...

[America Needs R'hllor]

Leftists increasingly raising the alarm that we're losing.

[Walmart_shopper]

Leftists increasingly raising the alarm that we're losing.

Yeah, it sounds like Netanyahu is at 60 seats and this could go either way. It seems highly likely that Likud will be the largest party. Ehat an absolute disaster.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Leftists increasingly raising the alarm that we're losing.

Yeah, it sounds like Netanyahu is at 60 seats and this could go either way. It seems highly likely that Likud will be the largest party. Ehat an absolute disaster.

I always thought that the last election's result was fantastic for the left and should've been preserved. Yoaz Hendel, Hauser and the others who prevented a minority government are villains.

[Estrella]

If Lieberman falls below the threshold and the result is 60-60...then what? It's unlikely, but perhaps not totally implausible. Would the Telem part of Blue and White switch sides, given enough bribes incentives?

[jaymichaud]

Lol wait... you guys are taking the words of the corrupt and compulsive lying Likud as gospel? Mess.

[Oryxslayer]

Lol wait... you guys are taking the words of the corrupt and compulsive lying Likud as gospel? Mess.

Everyone's just falling for the Gevelt since we didn't get any earlier when we normally should have. Everyone's also on edge because high turnout + differences with pre-election polls =

[Walmart_shopper]

Leftists increasingly raising the alarm that we're losing.

Yeah, it sounds like Netanyahu is at 60 seats and this could go either way. It seems highly likely that Likud will be the largest party. Ehat an absolute disaster.

I always thought that the last election's result was fantastic for the left and should've been preserved. Yoaz Hendel, Hauser and the others who prevented a minority government are villains.

I agree. But the idea that Bibi would be strengthened in a third election, two weeks before going on trial for corrupting Israeli democracy, is nauseating. He is an awful leader, but the fact that he's also going to jail makes it even worse. This country is such a joke. If Trump wins in November it will literally become an Byzantine apartheid state propped up by apathetic liberals in the center. When they wake up and leave the country--give it a decade--you have Lebanon, not Turkey. Turkey will seem progressive compared to Judeastan.

[Walmart_shopper]

If Lieberman falls below the threshold and the result is 60-60...then what? It's unlikely, but perhaps not totally implausible. Would the Telem part of Blue and White switch sides, given enough bribes incentives?

Split the country in half. Bibistan gets the nail salons, settlements, and Eilat and we get  everything else..

[America Needs R'hllor]

65.5% turnout as of 20:00, a rise of 1.8%. Not as much as 3% but it's something.

[danny]

LOL, I just got a robocall from Bibi where where he gave an exact number to the single digit of how many votes they need for a majority. I wonder if their is some survey that shows that if you give an exact number people will think it's more real.

[danny]

65.5% turnout by 20:00, up from 63.7% in September and 61.3% in April.

[America Needs R'hllor]

I guess it'll be a 1.5% rise or so. Hopefully mostly Arabs, gut feeling is mostly Likudniks.

[Hnv1]

Leaked exit polls show big lead to likud but majority

[cp]

Leaked exit polls show big lead to likud but majority

Link?

[Mike88]

Leaked exit polls show big lead to likud but majority

No majority, right?

[Hnv1]

Leaked exit polls show big lead to likud but majority

Link?

WhatsApp and twitter. But let’s wait and see. So far I hear the right are on 59-60

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/emilykschrader/status/1234551059273699328

Here's the 'leaked' numbers supposedly. That said there are two big asterisks here. First - there are still voters who will be voting tonight, and last time there was a late surge. Second - I'm not even sure if this is one of the main prognosticators and it of course could still be pulled straight out of someones ass.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Leaked exit polls show big lead to likud but majority

Link?

WhatsApp and twitter. But let’s wait and see. So far I hear the right are on 59-60

If true, I'm disgusted by my people.